notin

Besides the initials (which they share with Carlos Baerga, Carol Burnett, and Crème Brûlée) and Yale, what are these “scary differences”?

Brandon Drury?

And Snell is just flat out overrated…

Burnes switched his representation to Boras after a couple years of feeling underpaid in arbitration. Chances are very good he wants to test the market and it would be EXTREMELY costly to convince him otherwise. He’s a tough target. Bieber on the other hand has already said he’s open to an extension and isn’t likely to require the same outlay of prospects. But he had some physical issues last year that likely mean he is well aware this coming season is a big risk for him. Not sure who else is on the trade market for pitching. Cease is still available but not so tempting (as far as we know) to Breslow. I can see reasons for and against Cease. Cabrera seems to be perennially available from Miami. But he’s a walk machine who struggles to avoid getting demoted. On the other hand, he does have a live arm with tempting radar gun readings (which supposedly is something Breslow prefers). The Sox and Marlins do matchup somewhat given out outfield surplus. But I can see some red flags in Cabrera, too. On the free agent front, Montgomery is solid, Imanaga is intriguing, and Giolito want as bad in 2023 as some stats indicate. (However he was worse in 2022 than he was in 2023. Is he declining?)

He already is..

I believe Cohen has more in his frivolities account than Henry…

At what point do we note that Steamer projected Duran to be worth 0.6 fWAR in 2023 and Duran was worth 2.1. If he continues to maintain be 150% than his projections, his true projected 3.2 fWAR does make him equal to Castillo

And for every owner that number is lower than it is for Cohen…

If the Sox sign Montgomery and Imanaga, I’ll be ecstatic. More likely however, they sign Giolito and trade for a pitcher. I’m not as down on Giolito as many on here are. He’s probably a smarter target than Snell…

You ask that as if you believe it’s only one possible outcome and not the ironclad reality of the situation…

The Sox aren’t outbidding the Mets for him. The Mets unloaded a TON of salary at the deadline last year in anticipation of a moment like this…

You’re salivating…

Like how Ohtani took them out of the Glasnow sweepstakes?

Glasnow is a Dodger…

His WAR will get bigger if Seattle plays him in more games…

BTV gives Castillo roughly the same value as Kyle Teel. Probably fair, but would Seattle even be interested?

Maybe. I just put what they said out there with citations. attach credibility as you see fit…

The Blooms are in bloom!!

After one month?

So far it seems to be more the MLB Network guys like CJ Nitkowski and Brad Lidge. I haven’t seen actual scouts or execs say it anywhere. I don’t know a thing about the guy myself…

Last 3 years Montgomery 10.2 fWAR / 9.2 bWAR Musgrove 8.8 fWAR / 5.0 bWAR Plus free agency vs contract extension…

It would make the Sox rotation - much like their lineup - very left-handed…

I’ll take the under on Imanaga there. One thing to keep in mind is Ohtani might not be the market setter. Aaron Nola (7yr/$172mill) is just as relevant. I can see Yamamoto and (maybe) Snell exceeding his deal. Montgomery? Certainly in the neighborhood. It’s tough to see Imanaga in that neighborhood given that he has no MLB track record and simply is not as young as Yamamoto. Plus apparently several talking heads see him as a reliever at some point. (No idea if scouts or MLB execs do, but unlike me some of these talking heads have actually seen him pitch.)

What was Fangraphs thinking predicting Jordan Montgomery in free agency would only get a Joe Musgrove contract extension?

Were either of them so eager to sign a month ago? Especially Montgomery, after his postseason made him one of the top prizes this off-season?