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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    First of all, it’s not just the “long layoff”; it’s Bauer’s long layoff. And not playing in MLB for a prolonged period is a legitimate concern, despite your phrasing it like I’m talking about Bigfoot.. Some have overcome it, but most (all, actually) don’t carry the same PR stigma. This isn’t the same as Merrill Kelly or Miles Mikolas coming back from an extended overseas tour. Teams might give him a shot had he no baggage. But the combination of the baggage and his extended hiatus plus his age really reduces his ceiling, and if you’re talking a shot at zone of the most disliked players in recent MLB history, is what he likely brings to the table worth it? Not every pitcher can make the last 4 years disappear like Sale and jump back in at age 35 like he was still 28. And Sale was very possibly helped along by an extremely favorable and effective Atlanta system and staff that the Sox don’t have…
  2. notin
    That’s the exact deal 30 teams have been ignoring, except Bauer proposed it without the incentives…
  3. notin
    Seattle has five SPs. Apparently this time of year that’s considered an excess to be deadly from…
  4. notin
    League-wide this happens. If you look at the drafts on B-R.com and count the picks without hyperlinks (the ones without MLB overview pages) from 2010-2015, in the first round alone there are 72 players who never made their debut. 32 of them (44%) were pitchers. And that’s just ones who didn’t debut. Plenty did debut and flopped, like #1 overall pick Mark Appel. Others were not as successful as the players drafted around them. For example, Jameson Taillon was taken at #2 overall, after Bryce Harper and before Manny Machado. He’s had a decent MLB career, but he isn’t going to Cooperstown like the players chosen on both sides of him…
  5. notin
    I thought my answer was clear, too. I’m not convinced Bauer is any better at this point than any other options. So why bother?
  6. notin
    That’s my point, and Criswell is a good example. I lack faith in Bauer and I am not convinced he’s going to step in and be a Cy Young pitcher again. He had talent, but even then he was somewhat overrated. I’ve tossed around a few free agent names like I know what I’m talking about. But I have faith Bailey and Co. can find another Criswell capable of giving the Sox what they would get from Bauer.
  7. notin
    Is Bauer really an option? In the past 5 years, he’s only pitched around 400 IP in a range of leagues around the world. I think the Sox can find better options in the MLB market alone..
  8. notin
    That’s an unfair question. If he didn’t have any baggage, he’d have been facing MLB hitters the past 4 years and thus negating my primary concern. Are you saying you think the Sox should solely avoid him because of his baggage? And what is it about his baggage, that may or may not have even been real, that is so concerning?
  9. notin
    Chaim drafted position players over pitchers because position players succeed more often. Baseball Prospectus openly states they devalue “pitching prospects” because they don’t work out as often for a larger range of reasons, and abloom (along with former Astros GM James Click) is a former BP contributor. And this approach worked very well. The Sox had 3 prospects in the MLB.com top ten and four in the top 25. Yes, none are pitchers. But they have plenty of top prospects they can now deal for pitchers. Andhad they spent more high draft picks on pitching for the sake of drafting pitching, they likely would not have so many quality position prospects (and also might have the same number of pitching prospects. Go figure.) Bloom’s approach might not have been popular among fans, but it absolutely has worked…
  10. notin
    I struggle to envision a world where the team’s hitter with the second highest escape velocity gets cut despite his minimum wage…
  11. notin
    That was definitely the reason he missed 2022 and 2023. By now, not sure his name carries the same notoriety. But having no track record against hitters over 4 years as he enters his mid-30s? You’re right he’d be a low cost flier. But that’s a crowded room and it’s easy to find another one with more recent experience and less baggage. Bauer’s MLB career, fair or not, is over…
  12. notin
    That was 4 years ago. Lots of water under the bridge. Way back then, Wander Franco was dating girls his own age, for example. My issue with Bauer is, what does he really have left? The Sox might be able to get 4-years ago hiatus Bauer stuff from Cole Irvin or Griffin Canning. At a minimum, Sean Manaea or Nick Pivetta. None of these guys have his baggage and all are easier to assess. The Bauer Ship has sailed…
  13. notin
    (Comment removed)
  14. notin
    Can we stop pretending Boston is the only city with media scrutiny? Hader was playing in Milwaukee at the time, but we all heard about his tweets. Duran’s survival proves my point - that the treatment is different for All Stars than it is for 32yo career minor leaguers. Bauer is the former, which is why Dermody is irrelevant here. Want more proof? Read the article, which is now part of that Big Bad Boston media. Read the posts. People are defending Bauer. No one ever defended Dermody…
  15. notin
    Comparing Dermody to Bauer is a joke. The two are never going to be treated equally until Dermody wins himself a Cy Young. What Dermody did was similar to Josh Hader’s scandal. But while Dermody run out of town, Hader moved on after a simple “oops. My bad.”
  16. notin
    I’ve defended Bauer’s off-field antics more than most, but this is a weak case. First of all, is he really elite talent? Was he ever? Bauer has had one season greater than 3.1 bWAR, which is fewer than Rick Porcello. That one season was his truly elite 2018, in which he was worth 6.0 bWAR. But that was coming up on SEVEN YEARS AGO, back in a time when Corey Kluber and Porcello mattered. B-R.com lists his most similar pitchers as Chad Billingsley, Chris Young and Julio Teheran. That’s not elite company. And all of that was, again, a long time ago. Bauer is only 33, but he hasn’t faced MLB hitters in nearly 4 years. Could he pitch in MLB? I have no doubts. But will he return to being a top of the rotation arm? Most definitely not. At this point, what you get from Bauer you can probably get from any of a dozen other free agents, none of whom have his baggage…
  17. notin
    Arguing over which players are core is asking questions with no answers. Foundational/core players are players you build your team around. Since every one of us would build a team differently, we should all have different (even if only slightly) foundations/cores…
  18. notin
    The Pirates would probably give him away. He’s 25 years old, been in their system for 7 years, and lost two full seasons due to injury. After all that, his entire career that started in 2018 consists of 61 games. 37 of which were A ball or below. If the Sox want him, I imagine that’s a quick phone call
  19. notin
    How is that different than platooning other positions? Especially since platooning a DH doesn’t mean comprising the defense against, say, left-handed pitchers. The Sox platooned Refsnyder with Abreu last year. Sure Ref hits lefties much better, but the drop off in defense is beyond significant. Why is that preferable over platooning a DH where defense is not impacted at all?
  20. notin
    Abreu, Fitts and Kelly for Crochet?? How did that get to be a reasonable option? It turns out now reports are that the White Sox were really not all that interested in Abreu. Not sure what the price tag for Crochet is, but I expect the White Sox to want Campbell as a starting point…
  21. notin
    I’m fine with not including Bello as a foundational piece going forward. But the criticism of “not improving at all” is extremely premature for a player with 2 seasons that make up his entire career…
  22. notin
    Walker is only 32 and was pretty good in 2023 and 2022. Ifthe price is Yoshida, he’s worth the gamble. Sometimes a bad year is just one bad year. And I’d prefer the pitching depth over the injured DH. Of course, the Phillies already have too many DHs taking the field. Want this trade to happen? Yoshida to Philly for Walker and Castellanos. Dombrowski would jump at the chance to free up that much payroll and a lineup spot for Soto…
  23. notin
    Practice with the Celtics?
  24. notin
    According to many, Yoshida in an overpaid slap-hitting DH with no footspeed. What should the return be?
  25. notin
    Story barely played last year…
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