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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. Well, there isn't much else to do in St. Louis...
  2. The one thing I don't care about is getting 117 wins. In fact, I don't want the Sox to set that record. As a sports fan, the biggest disappointment for me was watching the Patriots go 18-0 and then lose the Super Bowl. I also saw the Mariners win 116 and even make the World Series, and I absolutely do not want to see the Sox in the same situation...
  3. From what I've seen, a lot of people also just give up at it's mention. There are plenty of counterarguments out there...
  4. We all do that. But there is a big difference in saying "JBJ is the best defensive CF I've ever seen" and "JBJ is the best defensive CF in the game today."...
  5. Actually, Chicago's gun culture is blown a little out of proportion. https://www.thetrace.org/2018/04/highest-murder-rates-us-cities-list/ https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2018/02/21/states-most-and-least-gun-violence-see-where-your-state-stacks-up/359395002/
  6. I admit I don't grasp the calculations. I've see the formulae, but that doesn't mean I know why they count everything the way they do or arrive at baserunning and defensive components. But I think most people attribute some element of faith to those who put in a lot of work that their observations and calculations are better than most fans can arrive at. Even if you don't believe in the exact numbers, as skr points out, it can be more of a directional component than an exact value. Especially since it can never be truly verified as it is. We will never know if the Red Sox had 8 fewer wins this year if Betts was not playing and, say, Aneury Tavarez or Rusney Castillo was manning RF. And honestly, I think the single biggest advantage Fangraphs' WAR (fWAR) values has over any of the other encompassing stats is their accessibility. B-R.com doesn't have any functions on their website to sort by bWAR or compare bWAR over spans of years. This may seem like a trivial reason, but if you are one of those who think WAR is a good debate starter, this can be very important as opposed to doing all the tedious research and browsing needed on other sites...
  7. And for the record, she was not shot by Dee's father, former Sox pitcher Tom Gordon...
  8. And maybe I am behind in my knowledge of how this data is tracked and recorded. It did all start out the way I said, and maybe some agency someplace is still watching it manually. But the bottom line is, every play made by every player is taken into account somehow, which is something we as fans simply cannot do for the reasons that spurred your doubts in the first place, among other reasons. That in itself is an advantage. That doesn't mean we as fans don't know a good play or a great play when we see one. It just means we have no idea who else is also making that play...
  9. Well, by "every play", I was referring to every batted ball in play. No need to watch all the called strikes and balls and certainly no need to count home runs. Now somehow pitch-framing data is also accumulated. I am not sure if that is simply done by a computer or done by an observer. But as robot ump technology exists, it can easily be used to measure OOZ strike calls from an individual catcher. And maybe they do use computer-aided technology to monitor defensive ratings now. If they don't, it certainly cannot be that far off...
  10. It may also not be as complicated as you think. For example, unless they are monitoring catchers for pitch-framing, etc, how many plays does it really entail? There are maybe 50 batted balls in a single game on average, which is all they need to focus on. (This is a guess on my part, but with an average of 66 plate appearances per game, 9 strikeouts per game and an average, 6 walks per game on average, and maybe about 1-2 HR/game that they don't need to make a call on, it's probably close.) By watching a game that is already over and fast forwarding to the batted balls in play, it won't take a full 3 hours to watch a game. They also may have access to camera angles we don't have access to when we watch a televised game. No one has said the system is perfect. In fact, everyone admits it is not. But that doesn't mean it is useless, either. In fact, right now it is the best system in place and th incorporation of StatCast data for launch angles and exit velocity has probably enhanced it even more...
  11. "They" implies multiple people. Presumably they have set of guildelines and/or standards to judge plays against. There will be differences in opinion and judgment on a lot of calls, but every play from every team is taken into account. I also would suspect a game is watched by multiple observers to reduce bias. And I would be shocked if a single observer was assigned to a single team for that exact same reason...
  12. And those are two very different statements. And really, considering that baseball has been attracting more athletic players for the past 20 years or so, it's not surprising we are seeing better defensive center fielders and fewer Jon Kruk/Greg Luzinski/Pete Incavliglia type (although there are a few non-pitcher, non-catchers out here. Hello, Russell Martin, Matt Adams, and of course, Panda.)
  13. While people should be responsible for their tweets, that the media feels the need to incite this issue over tweets some of these players made in high school is the really annoying part. I don't think I have condoned or agreed with any of the controversial sentiments any of the players have tweeted. But a lot of them grew up in an era where this type of communication is more mainstream as opposed to (what I would use Twitter for) a time for a more careful communication. And I'd be crazy naive to think that every player in MLB is a wholesome gentleman without any controversial thoughts in his head. I used to say if I met most of the players on the Sox, I probably would not like a lot of them. It's probably still true...
  14. Especially since a lot of people apparently think that is what the second amendment refers to - keeping the citizenry armed in case the government gets too powerful. I digress politically - back to baseball. Go Sox. Squish the fish!
  15. Exactly. The key is that they watch every play from every game. Certainly they categorize some incorrectly for Bradley, but that also means they are mis-categorizing some of the catches made by other center fielders as well. A lot of it balances out...
  16. Or purée it and give him a straw...
  17. Well how about that?
  18. Yeah that part is a little too reminiscent of the XFL...
  19. Well, not really. The US has no official language (an amendment to make English our official language was introduced in 1981 but never ratified). And in the past couple decades, the US has certainly become more accommodating for Spanish-speaking citizens to the point where most government offices and many businesses have bilingual signs. I could foresee this happening with another language, although who knows which one will be next...
  20. Maybe MLB needs to institute a rule that you can only join a bench-clearing brawl if you are dressed in a clown costume, complete with oversized shoes...
  21. Not necessarily. Don’t forget the last 3 expansions in baseball were not a result of growing popularity; they were needed to pay off collusion lawsuits the owners lost. I’d rather MLB just got rid of this “division” thing and took the best 4 teams from each league, or best 5 teams if they want to keep the wild card (which the networks probably do).
  22. This is easy to believe. The more OOZ plays Betts makes, the fewer JBJ has a chance at. And some of the other better defensive CF’s in the AL are surrounded by some rather inept corner outfielders. However then there is Lorenzo Cain, was putting up great UZR numbers while playing in between Alex Gordon and Jarrod Dyson in KC...
  23. I caught the tail end of Paul Blair’s career. In the 1970s and early 1980s whenI was a kid it was possible to see lots of other teams on Monday Night Baseball and see highlights from around the league onTWIB. ( Who else remembers TWIB?) One player I loved was Terry Puhl of the Houston Astros. He played so shallow and could still get back. Lee Mazzilli of the Mets did the same thing...
  24. It’s tough to say because we see so much of him and so little of the others, unlike the people compiling UZR. Bradley does have a highlight reel this year, but are fans so sure Lorenzo Cain and Kevin Pillar don’t?
  25. In fact, defense is also tough to judge by watching games on TV. How can you tell what kind of jump an outfielder gets, for example? On my TV, by the time the camera cuts to Bradley, he’s already in motion and sometimes already under the ball. (On rare occasions the camera behind the catcher is used, I can sometimes see the middle infielders and CF at the start of the play. But again, rare occasions.) Now physically being at Fenway or your local park of choice is another matter...
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