I’m somewhat confident DD will be involved on Kimbrel. But signing Rosenthal is really more of a gamble on getting another power arm at the back of the bullpen, not to make him an instant closer. More for a Hembree/Kelly role.
Of course, who knows what shape his arm is actually in...
I also wonder if going after a full time 1b might be one way to upgrade. Pass is WS hero Pearce, move Moreland to the bench, and signing (Matt Adams? There isn’t much else.) or trading (for Jose Abreu?) might be an option.
It would certainly be an unpopular move today, given what Pearce did for this team. But it might be a better move for next season...
Not to mention, Dombrowski also has given out some questionable contracts. The Miguel Cabrera deal in Detroit might be one of the worst extensions of all time.
But then, the only GMs who don’t make bad moves are the ones who don’t make any moves...
It’s the only reason for me. He simply might not be one of the best 25.
But if the Sox wait until spring training to deal him, it makes sense. Injuries do happen..,
The guideline is not outdated because closers still get fewer years. Even Chapman only got 5, while top tier starters get 7. Wade Davis got only 3.
But if you like experimental closers, I think free agent Garrett Richards is a good fit. His arm can’t handle starting anymore, so maybe the role will suit him. He certainly has the talent...
The years are a bit much for Kelly and Pearce, although not horrible. I’m just comparing them to recent deals.
Is $4-6 mill for a lefty reliever even possible? Mediocre LOOGYs like Boone Logan and Zach Duke were getting more 5 years ago. Besides, Poyner is a minimum wage guy and Robby Scott isn’t dead yet...
He isn’t going to net a valuable piece on his own, but Swihart might have some modest trade value in a package.
For example, Brian Johnson might be in a similar situation, especially if Eovaldi returns. What might the Sox get for Swihart and Johnson?
Generally my thoughts are: sign the closer (trade demands are typically crazy high relative to what closers bring and they typically sign shorter deals) and trade for a starter (starters usually demand more years than you want them for as free agents and more often justify high trade prices).
This is just a general guideline...
One intriguing reclamation project is Trevor Rosenthal, who is definitely a Dombrowski type pitcher. Maybe not as a closer, but certainly as a late inning reliever...
Kimbrel’s is reportedly looking for 5/$100mill. While he may not get that much, he will definitely come closer to it than the he will to the value of a QO...
Wright’s career was ended by spinal stenosis. But Grady Sizemore had micro fracture knee surgery that effectively ended his career. And Matt Kemp had the same surgery and moved on....
No need to waste limited prospects on a closer when there are numerous options on the free agent market. Britton, Allen, Familia, Herrera, Kintzler, Ramos, Rosenthal, Soria to name a few...
Pearce is 35 and never really had any type of contract. He won't be too expensive to keep, and in act replacing him might be more expensive if the Sox don't do it from within.
The WS MVP won't effect his price tag. David Freese has won that award in the past (as a starter no less) and it didn't appear to make any GM ever think they had to overpay to keep him.
The Chris Young/Jonny Gomes/Mitch Moreland contract should suffice...
The 2013 team was special because only 14 months before the parade, that team was on its way to last place, managed by Bobby Valentine, and still had Crawford, AGon and Beckett in what looked like a hopeless future of bad contracts...