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Demote Mayer? Pass on Arenado. Arenado’s best friend (Trevor Story) is saying Mayer reminds him a lot of Arenado. Sure, Trevor could have an ulterior motive (“He’s Arenado at third. No need to put Mayer at SS!”). But why take on $42mil for a declining Arenado when we might already have a minimum wage ascending one? Move Story to 2b and move on CJ Abrams? I prefer that over Arenado and Donovan..

Talk to the folks who do AI Honestly, if Steamer projected 52 HRs and the player hit 48, would anyone call it a failure? I still prefer Paredes. Suarez is approaching an age where players can fall off rapidly snd without warning…

AI models using Baseball Savant data have him hitting 50-53 home runs if he played ladt year on the Red Sox. If he signs wuth Boston for 2026, the model predicts 42-50 home runs, 46-50 if he can maintain a contact profile like he had in 2025, but more likely and age-related regression to 42-45 home runs. Impressive, but I have my doubts. Plus 42-45 home runs or not, what he does with the other PAs matters too..

And here’s the problem. Do you think 1) the FO prioritizes stuff the same way fans do? Have they ever? Also the notion that the solutions the fans come up with are the only ones is kind of ridiculous…

Following the Isaac Paredes arbitration drama? While the sides are only $1.2mill apart, Paredes - who doesn’t have a spot in the starting lineup right now - would push the Astros salary up to $238-239mill, dangerously close to the $244 limit they want to stay under. They won’t want Campbell…

Chances are decent someone gets hurt and you could have both…

If the Sox need more offense, catcher is not a bad place to add some. I have less faith in Narvaez than I do in Mayer or Anthony, plus catchers cannot play everyday so a good backup is essential…

Romy has a spot as long as the Sox have Cora managing and one left-handed hitter in the lineup. The rest of the logjam will clear itself out as injuries happen…

St. Louis is the only team in MLB that carried 3 catchers (Herrera, Pages, and Pozo) on their roster last year not counting Contreras. Not sure why they feel the need to have a fourth..

Rushing might not be a backup. Hes a top prospect with potential to outhit Narvaez…

Bohm - would definitely be available but he’s kind of mediocre by corner infielder standards. Painter - not even at gunpoint…

Houston might, considering what they gave up for a rather nondescript Mike Burrows. The Dodgers should, but Friedman appears be more willing to trade one of his own children before dealing a young pitcher. Not the child that can pitch, mind you. So probably the boy…

… and it was his idea to move Babe from the mound to right field…

Free agency is for PR. They need some positive PR right now…

Some BTV-approved trades to help the Sox snd their trading partners: Boston gets 3b Isaac Paredes. Houston gets RHP Marcus Phillips Granted, influenced by AI analysis, but if Paredes is the fit the model says, he’s a no-brainer target over Bichette. Houston’s barren farm system could use some young pitching, but whether or not Phillips is a guy they like is another matter Boston get C Dalton Rushing, RHP Jackson Ferris LA gets OF Jarren Duran Boston has Carlos Narvaez and not much else behind the plate. Rushing is blocked in LA and they struggle to find places to play him. Ferris replaces Phillips in the Sox farm. The Dodgers could definitely use Duran, given their outfield situation is best described as a Slapdash Clusterf*** made of versatile infielders and a Frankenstein clone (named Andy? How does that animatronic beast get named Andy?). Their best outfielder plays shortstop, their best second baseman plays CF, their best CF plays LF on occasion, and RF belongs to a guy who needs to DH. Duran gives them some stability at either LF or CF. Teoscar in LF, Duran in CF and Pages in RF looks much better than the rotational mess they trot out their nightly. Friedman (or whoever I called) says he is fully on board. I’m sure Houston is, too, given what they gave up to get an NPC starting pitcher from Pittsburgh. Then sign Ranger Suarez and his groundball tendencies. Make it happen, Craig…

I don’t think any of my posts can generate that type of revenue…

What do my old post trade at these days?

So I got bored and ran some AI models for who would hit more home runs in 162 games on the Red Sox - Alex Bregman, Bo Bichette or Isaac Paredes using Baseball Savant data. Paredes was the runaway winner with 30-33 home runs and, as the model said “Fenway’s Green Monster is almost purpose-built for his swing” (I did not add the italics.) Bregman was second with 24-27 home runs. His 18 home runs in 114 games does support this, as it extrapolates to 25.5 home runs over 162 games. Bichette’s line drive tendencies and opposite field power left him in the 18-21 home run range. Granted, this is just home runs and not all aspects of hitting. But is it time to really hope the Sox move on Paredes? Or is this AI gobbledegook?

And did so as a batter…

To be somewhat fair, as overpaid as Soler is, he does have some decent credentials like “former home run champ” and “former World Seried MVP” on his resume…

The Reds don’t need a DH. They need to stop putting DHs like Spencer Steer and Sal Stewart out in the field…

And an unhealthy fascination with Jacoby Ellsbury…

Dr. Strangeglove played 2 years in Boston and was charged with an unfathomable 53 errors in that time. But he also did become the first first baseman in MLB history to get 3 assists in one inning. Of course, it’s entirely possible he also got 3 errors in that same inning.. (Buddin played for Boston from ‘56 to ‘61. Stuart was from ‘63 to ‘64. So no overlap, plus a potentially relaxing 1962 for the official scorer..)

Youre working in the realm of theory, and not even supported theory, on the role of thr CBO/GM, and not only holding these theories against Breslow, but pretending the playing field is equal. When the Sox fired Dombrowski and hired Bloom, they did so to create a sustainable pipeline of minor league talent aka make the team cheaper. If Dombrowski was all about talking Henry into spending more money, why didn’t he 1) get enough money to keep Betts or 2) buy a closer to replace Kimbrel for 2019?

Laundry on Mondays?