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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. Don’t forget about Shane Greene; Dombrowski has traded for him before...
  2. Why can’t Workman just be a RHRP who gets key outs?
  3. It does if you replace Reyes with Duran, which makes more sense for NY anyway...
  4. It’s really not two weighted factors, as “park” is a subset of “league”. You're trying to over complicate it. A baseline is determined for the AL parks. If the baseball is a factor, the baseline will rise. The only factor going into it is OPS in a variety of locations...
  5. What exactly is your point? It’s it like Mookie was struggling with a sub-.600 OPS before Devers moved to the 2 spot. The guy is a reigning MVP for a reason, and that reason isn’t the guy hitting behind him...
  6. If the Sox wanted Strickland, they would have 1) signed him this offseason or 2) not traded him away in the first place...
  7. I think just about all of those deals would get Mets GM Brodie Van Waggoner fired faster than he should have been over the whole “Cano/Diaz” trade...
  8. According to Betts, he was doing a poor job with pitch selection and adjustments. The game thread (for my brief entry) was really deep into “See? Lineup protection works.” It is amazing how often I get called a “Stat Guy” despite how infrequently I actually quote stats..
  9. Adjusting for park does take the Manfred Missile into account. If the OPS in, say, Fenway for all hitters was .750, and this year it’s .850, you get a higher league average OPS aka an OPS+ of 0. For example, last year Bogaerts had an OPS+ of 134 with an OPS of .883. This year Betts has an OPS+ of 135 with an OPS of .906. In 2009, or the year 6 BM (Before Manfred), Jason Bay had an OPS+ of 134 with an OPS of .921. The baseline moves...
  10. Extremely weak. Last year’s Benintendi is nowhere near this year’s Devers and you know it. You can argue that the team turned around with the lineup change, but the fact remains Betts has shown himself to be a better hitter in the past with lesser hitters than Devers behind him. But I guess a lot hinges on one game against a struggling pitcher and we should ignore Bets career to date. Including the comments about the adjustments he was making that just weren’t working. It’s not you, Millie. It’s Benintendi!!
  11. But then what’s the extent of involvement for an “average fan?” Do they attend games? Buy season tickets? Watch every game on TV? Subscribe to Baseball Digest? Read baseball websites like MLBTR, Fangraphs, etc.? Play fantasy baseball? Or are we just talking about a guy who knocks back in a recliner with a couple beers and takes in a game because “Shark Fishing With The Stars” is on hiatus?
  12. Too late. The Yankees played in no World Series from 1903 to 1919. The 1900’s was a shortened decade World Series-wise,as there were no series played in 1900, 1901, 1902 and 1904...
  13. Actually a lot of fans in the general fan base do accept them. A big reason is Fangraphs. But some, like OPS, have made their way to the back of baseball cards. A lot of sportswriters covering baseball rely on them in their articles. Jeff Passan is nationally syndicated and uses them frequently. Most of the Bleacher Report writers do as well. So anyone using Yahoo (who publishes Passan) or CNN (who publishes and links to many Bleacher Report features) reads articles daily covering baseball with advanced metrics...
  14. Yahoo fantasy baseball is forecasting 44.5 saves for Eovaldi for the remainder of the season (which is 57 games). I’m taking the under on that one...
  15. Despite your campaigns to the contrary, the analytics have gained widespread popularity. And they will only be short-lived when they get replaced by newer, better ones. Which is why no one talks about VORP or Win Shares any more...
  16. The Manny-Bay trade broke about as close to the deadline as it could have. MLBTR’s original “story” was just a headline...
  17. Mookie had an OPS over 1.000 last year batting in front of Benintendi. And really, the argument is that Betts sees better pitches because pitchers fear Devers with a man on base? Betts is the reigning AL MVP. He’s not a guy who needs protection in a lineup (if you believe in that); he’s a guy who provides protection...
  18. Paying Betts would be great. But come 2021, this team will have a serious financial crunch with no good cheap players filling holes for them. A lot of Sox fans complain about Bradley’s offense. Wait til they see how his replacement hits...
  19. The Sox are still in third place, 9 games back, with only 57 to play. The division would be awesome. But the Wild Card might be more realistic...
  20. Betts had 4 3-HR games without Devers batting behind him. But now that it has happened one time with the red-hot Devers, it’s undeniable proof that “support” in the lineup and BOP are real and important...
  21. Recognizability. Understandability. Familiarity. Or are you saying they show W-L record because it’s really good indicator of a good pitcher?
  22. The Sox did acquire a rental starting pitcher. His name is Andrew Cashner. He has a beard...
  23. Right and not enough “the game should be played the way I learned it from my Little League coach and the backs of Topps baseball cards” types...
  24. Yankee starters are worse than the Sox bullpen. By a lot...
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