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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. Price’s contract is pretty awful. Although if you use the trade values on baseballtradevalues.com, he could theoretically be dealt straight up for Chris Davis or Wil Myers. Both have lower AAV’s than Price, but Davis is the unquestioned worst player in MLB. Myers, on the other hand, actually makes sense. His AAV is $18mill less than Price’s, and he’s owed $30mill less overall. And, depending on the fates of Bradley and Betts, the Sox are likely to need outfielders, and have none in the minors that can step in. And San Diego has a glut of outfielders, but apparently is hoping to add a veteran SP to go with their inexperienced rotation. Price for Myers. Book it...
  2. And I used to think you could evaluate a hitter by the mechanics of his swing. But then I realized some of the most flawless swings I ever saw belonged to Frank Catalanotto and Gerald Perry (who would later be a hitting instructor in the Sox farm system). Whereas some of the ugliest swings belonged to Ichiro and Bernie Williams. Which set of those two contains better hitters?
  3. I get that the stat was an example. But there is a difference between objective data and analysis performed with cognitive biases. And the observers’ view of the data - which can be laden with cognitive biases - doesn’t change this. It’s like two people looking at a plant and you ask both what color it is. The first one says “Green.” The second person - the colorblind one - says “It looks grey to me.” But really, regardless of colorblindness or cognitive bias - is the plant green? It has a true, objective, unbiased color regardless of the person viewing it. (And FYI - “Colorblindness or Cognitive Bias” is a great title for a nerdy country song.)
  4. I think that if the Sox trade Betts this offseason, they're more likely to sign him to a long term deal...
  5. Who knew Andrew Luck was so influential?
  6. How does the significance of batting average place a bias in the batting average numbers?
  7. He has a 98mph fastball. That might get him to #3...
  8. Imagine how high Groome will be ranked when he actually pitches!!
  9. Or he might have been nailed at third. Really, Tucker was the one who screwed up there by going back to tag...
  10. Houston did win the season series against 4 of the 5 East teams, with their only losing record against Tampa at 3-4...
  11. GM Slasher9 must think Justin Verlander cannot handle the bright lights either, given his performance in 5 World Series games spread out over 12 years.
  12. Unless he can offer some tips on recovery or knows some really good doctors...
  13. We are definitely not going to agree. The data is not biased just because someone made a determination on what data to collect. There is no cognitive bias involved in the actual data itself, but there may be one in the determination of what data is useful, but that is not the same thing at all. ur evaluations as humans can be subject to cognitive biases that make observations in question due to systematic errors in our thought processes and errors, but that comes into play afterwards. If, for example, we determine BA to be significant, that poses no actual bias on the data itself, but only on the importance of it. This is a form of what is known as Selection Bias...
  14. So what games do? Only important games where players don't do well?
  15. Yes, Rich Hill is the perfect solution for the Sox injury-plagued rotation...
  16. Maybe the AL West hitters feasted on those weaker AL West pitchers....
  17. I’m not sure how many 40 man roster spots, but the ones I’d protect over Ockimey include Dalbec, Wilson, Chatham, Bazardo, Hart and De La Guerra. Maybe Raudes. And just possibly and very oddly, Tate Matheny. The Sox do need outfielders...
  18. Today’s World Series Observation: Asdrubal Cabrera looks like Gollum. That is all...
  19. Non-tendering doesn’t mean “cutting.” The Sox could non-tender Hembree and then bring him back, possibly even on a MiLB contract if he has no other offers...
  20. Think they will protect Ockimey this year?
  21. I just think he never worked out at 1b because the Sox already had 2 first baseman.
  22. You said "but i believe if JDM does not opt-out this will directly lead to JBj being non-tendered. " Basically, JBJ's fate might hang in the balance of JDM's decision to opt out or not. Probably true...
  23. Or it could make him Jarrod Parker or Nathn Eovaldi.Historically, a TJ surgery has a shelf life of about 600 innings, and that's when nothing goes wrong. The Yankees might get 3 years out of Montgomery, but his value is in eating innings, not in being an outstanding pitcher. He's mediocre at best, and not likely to replace Happ in the rotation...
  24. So you owned the Rays outside of the games you lost?
  25. Worse than Hanley? And maybe some of the older folks can tell us about Dick Stuart aka Dr. Strangeglove, Actually Offerman was not so much a bad 1b as he was a player who did not fit the mold of what fans wanted from a 1b - a prototypical slugging bulwark who can at third thru fifth in any lineup...
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