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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. Well, depends on where the beer is....
  2. But my point was he would have been hazed as a rookie regardless of team.. He would have had to go through something demeaning or humiliating or whatever had he been a rookie on the Athletics or the Braves or the Dodgers or the Nippon Ham Fighters...
  3. But Herandez has alread been there. Those projections are basically projected fWAR/bWAR against salary projections. As of now, it looks like the difference in projected performance vs projected salary favors Hernandez...
  4. But it is the off the field stuff that can keep him, well, off the field...
  5. A little bit of liberty with his past there...
  6. I think Cora is doing to "gut feel" thing with Hernandez. Nothing in his past says he should be hitting leadoff, but I would not be surprised if the role was not his to lose...
  7. Does he think other teams didn't do stuff like that?
  8. I think it's the anti-Rhodes lobby. And Rhodes was barely a contemporary of those pitchers. Much like saves, holds and blown saves have been back-filled by a lot of these sites. No one even used the term until 1952, when it only meant you finished the game regardless of score. It was not given actual criteria beyond that until 1961, and not made a stat until 1969. And it was re-defined a few times in the following seasons. Yet I can pull up the stats for the 1903 Red Sox (technically the "Boston Americans") and see that Cy Young and Bill Dineen each recorded two saves. And the Holds thing is even more recent than that....
  9. They all pitched before the 9th inning closer specialization, and are all among the all time leaders in games played. Holds were barely worth recording then, because those guys would come in in the 7th inning and just finish the game up...
  10. Yes Ottavino has converted his 72 of his 87 "save" opportunities (83%) in the last 3 seasons with 8 saves and 64 holds, and Barnes has converted 68 of his 83 opportunities (82%) with 13 saves and 55 holds. So they are similar to each other, along with being just behind Kenley Jansen (85%), Liam Hendricks (85%) and Josh Hader (86%). Some other elite relievers are not so far off, including Brad Hand (89%), Edwin Diaz (87%), and Aroldis Chapman (89%). From what I can see, the conversion leader since 2018 appears to be Kirby Yates (95%)...
  11. BR does track Blown Saves on the Game Logs...
  12. Blown Saves is an overrated stat, because it is misunderstood by some. It has nothing to do with 9th inning traditional closer work. Pitchers can get Blown Saves in situations where they were very unlikely to ever get the actual save itself (i.e. in the 6th and 7th innings) and were just in line for a Hold...
  13. Without Sale anyway, this is the perfect time to take these kinds of high upside gambles...
  14. I think we all know German has other issues that are far more dangerous than just giving up the occasional home run...
  15. ... and less velocity....
  16. Kluber is the bigger name, but both carried a lot of risk for the 2021 season, and both are very, very capable if healthy....
  17. Ottavino is 12th in MLB (discounting Felipe Vazquez, who ain't coming back) in fWAR among relievers with 3.4 along with a 2.61 ERA over the past 3 seasons. He's a pretty underrated reliever...
  18. Hernandez threw 8 IP last year. I'm expecting a vast increase in that total...
  19. Technically it's on Cora...
  20. There’s also the story from March, 1986 when George Steinbrenner was watching Dennis Rasmussen get lit up in a spring training game. Reportedly he turned to GM Clyde King and told him that Rasmussen should be cut and King better start looking for a new pitcher. Rasmussen went 18-6 3.88 that year...
  21. I don’t think the Sox have improved anywhere more than they improved the bullpen. I’m not wild about Brice and Valdez (which is putting it mildly). Whitlock is an unknown. Sawamura, too, but successful Japanese relief pitchers often do well in MLB. But adding Ottavino and Andriese along with the return of Taylor and Darwinzon Hernandez to the other holdovers from last year in Barnes and Brasier is a vast step up from watching the futility in Walden, Springs, Hall, Covey, Weber, Triggs and Stock plus others. I would like to see them dump Brice and replace him with Houck. Looks like it won’t happen by April but I’m hopeful by May...
  22. I disagree when it’s made as a sweeping generalization. Players - especially pitchers - don’t always seem to go all out or be in games during ST. And I’m sure they have to know the bulk of the hitters they face won’t be in the same uniform come April. Back on that other board, every spring I awarded a player the Jeff Bailey Award, which was given to the player who had an outstanding spring but we all knew or should have known was not going to last, even in Pawtucket, something Bailey did every year. And even after him, there was some Pedro Ciriaco/Chris Carter/Jon Van Every type who just lit it up for March, and that was their season’s highlight. Once April rolled around, it was back to Eastern League Obscurity..
  23. He doesn’t play Major League Baseball, where HIPPA laws go to die...
  24. I’ve been more critical of Brasier than most people, but this is flat out untrue. Unless you meant to type “Brice”. In which case, I agree...
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