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notin

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Everything posted by notin

  1. notin
    Why would the Sox put Duran on the bench? If he comes up, it's to start. Kimbrel is having a great year, but I seriously doubt the Sox give up Jeter Downs for him. Kimbrel is also expensive, which, unless the Cubs pay a huge chunk of money, drastically reduces what they get in a trade. BTV gives Kimbrel a trade value of 0, which feels a bit low but by the deadline he will still have owed about $6.3 mill (with a $16mill option for 2022). BTV gives Downs a surplus value of 29.6. So even if the Kimbrel value is low, like I think it is, Downs is still a massive overpayment. Maybe someone like Jay Groome (BTV value: 4.3) would be the best offer the Sox make....
  2. notin
    Again, there’s no reason to avoid the tax line. The argument that “but we might be even better in 3 years” is not only hypothetical and uncontrollable, but also falls outside the current CBA and this penalty might not exist in 3 years. Also it ignores the other obvious outcome - that the Sox might be worse in 3 years. Plus the Sox are winning NOW. The 2024 season should NOT be the priority…
  3. notin
    Except notin…
  4. notin
    With the sole caveat being Matt Bush, who was drafted number one overall as a shortstop but had to move to pitcher. Then prison. Then back to pitcher…
  5. notin
    But there was something not right about the Dodgers needing 13 postseason wins after only getting 43 regular season wins. That’s a pretty small difference…
  6. notin
    Can you agree it was an outlier season? I was glad to have it, even though I gave up on the Sox the second I saw Ryan Weber start the third game of the season…
  7. notin
    He was traded to make the team better, stronger, faster… and cheaper with more financial flexibility…
  8. notin
    The draft thread is on the Minor League board…
  9. notin
    I only looked at first round high school shortstop picks, since that’s all that mattered in a discussion about the future of Mayer/Lawler/etc. But numerous players went on to play different positions from where they were drafted (and not just high school players). In fact, I would bet that the starting lineup of every single MLB team has at least one player who was drafted at one position but is playing another. Heck, the Red Sox gave two just on the right side of their infield. But still, I agree 100% that Bogaerts (or any current player) is NOT going to influence who the Sox draft…
  10. notin
    Actually if you go back and look at most of the first rounds from 2007 through 2017, the overwhelming majority of high school shortstops who made MLB either played SS or 2B. The only exception I found was 2008 late first rounder Lonnie Chisenhall, who played 3B and OF for Cleveland and Pittsburgh. (And homered off David Price in the post-season!) I might have missed someone, but the bulk of those who made MLB stayed in the middle infield...
  11. notin
    The woefully short regular season certainly had an effect on the post season. Since the 60 game mark this season, the Sox went from being half a game behind Tampa to 4 games up. Certainly some teams in 2020 would have made the post season in a full year that wound up on the outside looking in...
  12. notin
    Technically the foul pole could be renamed “the home run pole”…
  13. notin
    Not true. Limited only to those who get tickets…
  14. notin
    I wouldn’t leave out a very under-the-radar trade of Deven Marrero for Jake Taylor, which also looks really good right now…
  15. notin
    I don’t see the Sox moving either player on the left side of the infield at any point during the 2021 season. If they add a 1b at the deadline or try some weird experiment with Cordero, that’s one thing. But we won’t see either Devers or Bogaerts changing positions anytime soon. If they are going to try Cordero, they probably should soon, so they can determine if he succeeds or fails before the trade deadline…
  16. notin
    … which opens up a 40 man roster spot…
  17. notin
    You so funny
  18. notin
    Duffy has a value of -1.2, which happens when your remaining salary exceeds the value of your projected WAR…
  19. notin
    No idea what KC would want, but BTV gives Santana a surplus value of 5.3. Comparable Sox players include Groome (4.3), Darwinzon (4.4), Whitlock (4.6), Renfroe (4.8), Seabold (6.0), and Yorke (6.8)…
  20. notin
    Schoop is also signed for 3 more months. He might not be in Detroit come August…
  21. notin
    That’s actually true. He can’t be serious. He’s physically incapable of it…
  22. notin
    His OPSA in the first 23 games was .409. In the last nine it was 1.546…
  23. notin
    If healthy, Garrett Cooper is another candidate. However he might cost an actual prospect…
  24. notin
    He’ll go to some team with minimal offensive talent and an aging reliever to spare. I’m thinking Detroit, who uses Jonathan Schoop at 1b…
  25. notin
    1. Santana is a bench player. Duran won’t be called up to replace a bench player. 2. Chavis has maybe 27 days left as a member of the Red Sox…
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