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Everything posted by notin
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That's a big part of the problem is th sample sizes. Mookie has 181 post-season plate appearances, but they're spread out over 5 years. You can't weigh 23yo Mookie Betts in 2016 the same as you do 2020 Mookie Betts at age 27. But when you look at post-season stats asa whole, that's what you do. And if you simply count every post-season plate appearance as equally clutch because you over-romanticize October baseball, you cheapen the whole idea of clutch. Also, you ignore other factors... -
Last year, the Dodgers put 11 runs on the Braves in the first inning of a postseason game. Are you telling me that - to use your words - "most of" the last 8 innings of that game had clutch moments?
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I was one blogger’s take that the Sox needed a leadoff hitter and should be in and Adam Frazier. While I agree he could upgrade that role, where would he play defensively?
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His point is that if hitters can be clutch or choke, can’t pitchers, too? If you argue postseason is clutch because of the magnified pressure, aren’t pitchers also under the same pressure?
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I’m on board with high leverage, but really clutch isn’t so simple to define. For example, people are citing postseason stats. Are all postseason stats really clutch? We all saw the Sox beat Cleveland in back to back games by scores of 11-2 and 12-2. Were the hits that drove in runs 11 and 12 really all that clutch? I can agree that late and close numbers and high leverage numbers are good, but they can’t be all there is. JD Drew hit a pretty clutch grand slam in the 2007 ALDS, but it was in the first inning. So clearly, not late. The only truly clutch hitter I can think of as the one guy with situational super powers was Pat Tabler. Career OPS - .724. Career OPS with the bases loaded - 1.198. Considering he wasn’t really even a starter for most of his career and was used as a pinch hitter - often because of his track record with the bases loaded - he’s the only truly clutch player I can think of…
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7 inning double headers need to go…
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I was mixing up Hernandez and Gonzalez. My bad. But then Gonzalez is a bench player so my point still stands that these are not the guys holding the team back
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I take it you mean in his career and not just Boston..
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Gonzalez is the best CF on the team. Santana is a bench player. Chavis is on the Worcester-Boston shuttle. Not sure these are the guys holding the team back…
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Then all we would need is some lions!!!
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Who said Dalbec had to go for a rental? And why would dealing him mean no one else could play 1b? Dalbec to Colorado for Anthony Senzatela gives the Sox another SP with some control. And the Rockies are devoid of any talent up and down the organization at 3b. Dalbec is no Arenado, but he could provide some fun in that ballpark. Then make a deal with Miami for Garrett Cooper or Jesus Aguilar at 1b. I like Cooper better…
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I go back and forth about how much Potts and Groome are really worth in a deal. Sure they could be dealt, but for what? Groome has that big name value based solely on his draft status, but that was so long ago and he’s barely logged a half season worth of IP since 2016. I floated a Potts/Christian Walker deal on BTV a while back, and some DBacks fan liked the idea in the comments. But is it really something they would pursue?
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I think his agent will advise him to…
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Dalbec might be on the block right now. Several teams could still use him as a cheap controllable source of power at 3b…
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I’m not so sure that was the goal as everyone knew one of the most important pieces (Sale) was going to be a minor factor at best…
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I think it’s unlikely Duran gets dealt, but there are probably a few players that couldn’t be had without including him (Jose Berrios, for example). Dealing Houck seems counterproductive since the Sox are going to need pitching depth. I think Duran debuts later this year. There’s just no reason to rush promoting him right now…
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I did. What other reason did Bloom have to help the Yankees get under the bar while taking on a one year deal during a rebuilding season?
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I kinda like Gray, and if he doesn't work out he's a straight up rental. And don't sleep on the under-utilized Cooper. Another name I thought of as a fit might be Christian Walker...
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Well, he has power, years of control, and makes no money. And could start on a few small market teams. But yes, he is not going to be a highly sought-after commodity. Possibly not even a lowly sought-after commodity...
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A skillset that would make him the lamest superhero ever...
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Ottavino's "not great 2020" was not so much Recency Bias as it was a Cursory Bias (which, I admit, I just made up). He only had 2 innings all year where let let up more than 1 run, and allowed 0 runs in 17 of his 22 IP, but with the small sample size, those two big innings inflated his ERA dramatically...
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I actually hope they prioritize extending Bogaerts first...
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… which he will exercise…
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Thinking Jon Gray and Jesus Aguilar or Garrett Cooper as realistic trade targets…
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Your logic confuses me a bit, Nick. You want to go all in and promote Duran to a bench role but then be patient with Dalbec at first. Shouldn’t upgrading the starting lineup be a priority over upgrading the bench?
