Let's say the Sox do plan to trade Bogaerts.
First, is this really the right off-season? Any team willing to spend on a shortstop can go sign Carlos Correa or Corey Seager or Javier Baez or Trevor Story and not give up any prospects beyond the draft pick, and also get them for more than a single season of control.
So any team interested in Bogaerts will be a team that 1) needs a shortstop 2) has a significant budget 3) plans to be competitive in 2022 and 4) cannot afford the free agent players listed above.
Obviosuly the teams losing those shortstops should candidates, but the Dodgers appear to have already filled Seager's role. The Cubs and Rockies are not likely to be very competitive next season. That leaves the Astros as one potential target,
Maybe the Phillies? One could argue the Yankees fit the criteria, but I think they are a likely landing spot for Seager and his left-handed bat. And even if they weren't, the Sox are not dealing them Bogaerts (I hope). An maybe we can add the giants to that list, since they undoubtedly plan to try and get back in the battle for the AL West, and while they are losing Brandon Crawford to free agency, they also have a lot of other money coming off their books. So they might be spenders and grab one of the 4.
So the Astros or the Phillies.
No one wants the Astros. Let them go sign Freddy Galvis.
That leaves the Phillies. Per BTV, Bogaerts (with 1 year left) has a surplus value of $32.4 million. This makes him roughly equal to Philly RHRP/RHSP Ranger Suarez ($29.4 mill) or maybe a package of former 1st round pick RHP Mick Abel, AA Shortstop BRyson Stott, and the contract of Jean Segura (1 yr/$15.8 mill).
The flaw in this plan is the Phillies might just as well go forward with Stott and Segura up the middle next season and allow themselves to hold on to the pitching depth.
So where would Bogaerts go?.
The Giants? For prospects?