moonslav59

It's games like this, we really miss Casas, who kills lefties. v LHPs in '24 .608 Devers .602 Duran .477 Abreu This would be the time for Cora to schedule a day off for Abreu and maybe one of the other two. Here is an interesting quirk to Sox splits: 2023-2024 L-R splits by our catchers: v RHPs .748 Wong (a RHB) .647 McGuire (a LHB) v LHPs .940 McGuire (a LHB) .649 Wong (a RHB) McGuire has a .193 reverse split Wong has a .099 reverse split

Players doing better than I expected, so far: .929 Refsnyder (and I've been pretty high on him) .910 Devers (improving his D, of late.) .855 Wong (on D and O) .843 O'Neill (needs to right the ship) .829 Abreu (better on O and D) .799 Duran (showing '23 was no fluke) .733 DHam (Felt he was DFA fodder in March) .708 McGuire (better on O & D) Tweeners Casas & Yoshida (injured) Rafaela & Romy (Good D/ bad O) Under performers 1B .596 Smith, .566 Cooper and .377 Dalbec 2B .453 Valdez, .451 Reyes and .314 Grissom SS Story and his IL stint Pitcher Pluses Houck Crawford Criswell Bernardino Weissert Slaten Pitching tweeners Jansen Martin Pivetta, Kelly, Wink, Anderson & Booser Underperformers Bello (not bad, but I expected better) Joely, Campbell, Jacques Gio & Whitlock and their IL stints. Really, we have 4-5 major areas that need improvement and consistency: 2B 1B SS (on O) 4SP/5SP Bello/Pivetta

We are 2 games from the 1/3 season mark. My guess is we go 1 and 1.

You're calling the trade grade over, already. Noted.

He's in a huge slump, recently- much to your delight. I did not pick the "after 50 PA" number.

We are lucky the Rays and Jays keep losing more than us. We do seem destined to finish near the .500 mark, despite some some surprises we've seen, so far. I'm enjoying watching this team, more than 2022's and 2023's teams. Maybe having lower expectations is part of it, but we have quite a few players AI like watching play. I think Brez and Bailey have set us back on the right track, but we had so far to go, maybe .500 is the best we can expect. There will be no in-season return of Gio, Story or Whitlock, like the hopes we had in season's past of returning player promises. Maybe Casas can give us a mid/late season boost, or someone like Hendriks makes some noise, but to do something special, this year, we will likely need to see big turn-arounds from several players... like... Grissom Winckowski Rafaela (on O) O'Neill (bust his slump) McGuire (on O) Bello (I probably forgot 1 or 2.)

While true, there were other ways to cut $10M, and even more. To me, this is way to early to be having a strong opinion of the results of the trade.

And besides, after his first 54 PAs: 115 PAs .744 OPS 5 HRs in 27 games. (on pace for 30 HRs in 162 games) The .744 OPS would be 6th best out of all Sox players with more than 90 PAs on the team. If that's a slump, geesh!

The future did not look bright in 2020, and some saw this coming before that season. It did look bright in 2021, as it looked like we were getting better, and the farm[ was steadily improving, if slowly.

Agree 100%. It's all... Me, me, me,,, Now, now, right now!

It looks like a good trade, so far. He might tank or get hurt, but I doubt Robertson or Santos are going to light the world on fire. Who knows, maybe we trade O'Neill at the deadline and the gift keeps giving. (Maybe not.) I'm not a huge fan of O'Neill, but he's done as expected or better, and there are so many others more worthy of criticism. Also, we have yet to reach the 1/3 mark for the season, so the report card is still far from complete.

This is Yankeesque!

Find his worst stat and post it. We did not acquire him for BA. His career BA is .247. How about these stats? .510 SLG (2nd to Devers is what we signed him for.) .349 OBP (4th on team and .001 from 3rd, Abreu) 0.8 bWAR (T 5th on team) 11 HRs (1st on team) 17 RBIs (6th, despite missing time) We gave up Nick Robertson and Victor Santos for one year of a guy who was a question mark for 2024. He's given us what we hoped for. Good D (in LF), poer from the right side and is 4th in PAs on the team. Oh, and by the way, 8 players have a worse BA than .241 (34+ PAs) and 9 have a better one. If he gains .003, today, he passes Casas to the top tier in BA on the team.

He quickly identified players to trade, last winter, and he did not shy away from trading some bigger names, like Sale & Verdugo. I'm pretty sure he has a list of players he does not see as longer term Sox. I could see him making several moves, and one again, we could see some sort of "buyer" and "seller' type moves. I'm not sure being "in the hunt" will matter, in terms of the types of trades being made. I doubt we make any trades for a rental, even if we are 2 games up in the WC standings. (Just my opinion. I think the strategy is all about 2025 and beyond.) Recap of winter moves: Chris Sale for V Grissom Verdugo for Fitts, Weissert & Judice N Robertson & V Santos for Tyler O'Neill Urias for I Campbell Schreiber for David Sandlin R Ammons for Justin Slaten (Rule 5 selection) Cash for T Heineman In season: Signed S Smith Cash for G Cooper Cash for V Gutierrez Cash for B Horn Cash for Z Short & Short for cash. Possible summer trade chips: Last year of control: Pivetta O'Neill Martin Jansen Anderson Cooper Smith 1.7 years of control: McGuire Might not be part of long term plans (might not have any or much trade value, either:) Winckowski (apparently had issues with management before demotion) Zach Kelly (can't seem to find control) E Valdez (Romy & DHam seem to have won his slot) Wikelman & Perales (perhaps as pieces to an upgrade in pitching) Mata (out of options) Dalbec, Murphy, Walter This deadline may be much more interesting than any under Bloom, except for maybe the Schwarber trade.

He's already been out hurt 45-50 days, right? Can we retro the start date to give us a few more weeks?

Like clockwork. Just like the silence after a 3 for 5 night.

If you randomly generated sample sizes the size of what players have in the playoffs, some would have better or much better numbers than their regular season norms, and some would not. The fact that reality matches up with what a computer would generate proves nothing about the make-up of the people who dod exceptionally good or bad. It doesn't prove there is no skill involved, either. On Papi, he playoff, RISP, high leverage or whatever "clutch" stat you choose was pretty close to his norms of the regular season, which happen to have been pretty damn awesome. I will say, no player I know of hit more big homers or hits than Big Papi. If anyone can be called clutch, it would be him.

A whole thread on a guys first few weeks of play?

The Brewers were my first baseball team. I grew up living 2 blocks from the old County Stadium. Those were the days when parents just cut their kids loose to roam the area, at will. I remember going to some games, by myself at 12 years old. The bleacher tickets were a dollar. I quickly became a huge fan of the game and Tommy Harper. Shortly after we moved to Maine, Harper was traded to the Sox, and I switched team loyalty to the Red Sox in 1972. We face a lefty today: Koenig, and we send Pivetta to the hill. The Brewers are a good team, even without Burnes, and we have our work cut out for us. One game at a time!

Had to watch the game, this morning, due to work needing to get done. Crawford looked human. Duran was about the only highlight. Get 'em, today!

Even if he had options, his time seems to be running out.

He's certainly made more plays most or no others make than errors, so he is a clear plus on D, at SS and CF. His offense is a big negative, and rbis are not something WAR counts. It is also not a skill or something that can be counted on as being repeated, going forward. That being said, those RBIs were huge and helped us win, so yes, WAR does not recognize things like that. By and large, the other numbers look about right. I listed games played to highlight how some of our highest WAR players have half the games as other near them in the team rankings. Ref would jump. Wong + McGuire would place 5th.

Sox fWAR Leaders 2.2 Houck (10GS) 1st in MLB for pitchers 2.1 Duran 50 gms (T 13th in fWAR everyday players) 1.8 Crawford (10 GS) 10th in MLB 1.5 Abreu 44 (T for 33rd in MLB) 1.5 Devers 39 (T33) 1.1 Wong 34 1.0 O'Neill 39 0.9 Slaten (26 IP) 0.6 McGuire 31 0.6 Casas 22 0.5 Criswell (7 GS + 1 RP) 0.5 Jansen (17 IP) 0.5 Refsnyder 24 0.4 Bernardino (20 IP) 0.4 Whitlock (18 IP - maybe out for 1+ years) 0.3 Martin (19 IP) 0.2 Bello (8 GS) 0.2 DHam 25 0.1 Wink (24 IP) 0.1 Romy 12 0.1 Uwasawa (4 IP) 0.0 many -0.1 Kelly (14 IP) & Anderson (22 IP) -0.1 Cooper -0.2 Short -0.2 Joely (11 IP) & Campbell (6 IP) -0.5 Dalbec/Smith (in less gms than Dalbec) -0.6 Rafaela -0.7 Grissom, Reyes & Valdez (One can see why we tried to fix 2B.) Team Positional Rankings in fWAR 2nd Pitching 7.5 (4th SP 5.0 and 2nd Pen 2.5) 3rd RF 2.0 (Abreu & O'Neill have been bright spots.) T3rd LF 1.7 (Nice!) 8th C 1.7 (I had hopes we could be above average, this year, but WOW!) 11th CF 0.7 (A mix of players, here.) 18th 1B 0.1 (Only Casas kept us from being negative) 23rd 3B 0.3 (I know Devers at 1.5 missed time, but...?) 23rd DH -0.3 (What a shame! 28th SS -0.1 (No story has hurt, here.) 30th 2B -1.4 (Grissom has yet to fix the 2B problem.) The Pitching, Catchers and OF have saved us: 4th OF 4.4 (POW!) The pen is ranked higher than the rotation! It's obvious, our middle infield and DH have been big weak areas, this year.

He went 251-65 in 6 years. He played in 7. (106-21 in 2 seasons, combined) 325 GS in those 6 seasons. He had a career .313 BA.

Woo lost 6-3. Fitts did okay (5IP, 3H, 1ER, 3BB, 3K) Zeferjahn and Luetge lost it. Westbrook homered. Meidroth 1-4 w BB. POR lost 10-1. Mata 3IP, 5H, 3ER, 0BB, 2K Coffey got rocked. Mayer doubled. Arias walked 3 times in a loss w FCL.