moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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Interesting. We'd probably see Rafaela back at SS, again, once mayer hits the IL. -
We can afford him, but ATL will want someone, most likely not Wong. I'm not sure ATL would take a far-away prospect. I doubt we'd give them any top prospects, as good as he still is. What kind of offer do you think both sides might like? Name names.
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I don't think they outbid everyone for Burnes, even if Cohen wants him. I think, at some point he will pivot to Manaea or someone else.
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I was cold towards Bregman, earlier, this winter. I'm still not a big fan of his, but maybe out of desperation, I'm thinking he might work well for us, but ONLY if it means we finally get Devers off 3B. I'm not sure if Devers can play 1B better than casas, but he can't be much worse. If he is, just DH him, or alternate 1B-DH between Casas and Devers. Maybe that would help prolong their careers and keep them a bit healthier. Maybe they'd need less whole days off, if the both DH'd 80 games a year. He's also a decent RHB with some pop. This is a pretty decent line-up: 1. Duran LF v R/ CF v L 2. Bregman 3B 3. Casas DH/1B 4. Devers 1B/DH 5. Story SS 6. Abreu RF v R Refsnyder LF v L 7. Campbell 2B (DHam v R/ Grissom v L) 8. Anthony CF v R/ RF v L 9. Wong- Narvaez IL: Yoshida Bench: Narvaez/Wong, Refsnyder/Abreu, DHam & Grissom
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Rafaela is not a salary dump, but some think he is not worth the money and contract length given to him. He may also be the type of player ATL likes and thinks they could "fix." I like Rafaela. I think he'd make an excellent 4th OF'er, back-up 2Bman and maybe emergency SS, but at that cost, it may be rather high. With as many injuries as most teams have, he may still get 350-400+ PAs over every season in a utility role. Rafaela & Romero for Murphy and a little cash?
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We can argue all day about who is more fragile or likely to be injured, going forward. IMO, we should try to avoid anyone with a higher than average injury risk situation. That may not be easy to determine, but I think we all feel Monty and Buehler are high risks than maybe half the good pitchers in MLB. WE just stretched out Houck and Crawford. Neither are an injury risk, but they are maybe the only starters we have that are not near average or worse.
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To bad there is no match for Casas.
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I think the point was that if we are taking on Murphy's backend of his contract, we may want to "balance" the cost a little bit by returning a contract that is not min wage. (I suggested Rafaela, and I doubt they take Yoshida, even with some cash.) I'd like to keep Whitlock.
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I doubt the NYY are in on Burnes. This will be a test on Cohen, though. The Mets need a SP'er and they have said they want one. I'm curious if Cohen takes the "I won't be outbid, no matter what" role on this one. I think someone can outbid him, here.
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I did want Monty, last winter, so I can see why you wonder about my differing view on Buehler, I have since changed my view on Monty. I see him as being close to Buehler on the injury risk spectrum. He did have a few more seasons of 150+ IP, but he's a year older. Both did not look good, last year. No 10 IP sample size ever convinces me of anything.
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I respect your opinions and see why people would want Buehler, I just felt like people were trying to minimize his injury history and risk to make their position stronger. Like I said, maybe I read into things, too much.
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I think I read that ATL might ease him off catching duties, so if he looks be a DH, I'm not sure he's a fit- long term. He also has just one season with 450+ PAs, so that concerns me, but good catchers are hard to find. I'd give more than Whitlock for him, and hope for some cash relief or a Yoshida inclusion, with us paying some cash, but not a lot. What does ATL need? Would you give Whitlock, Rafaela, Yoshida for Murphy with no money, either way?
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I see these comments as "minimizing" his injury history and risk: Is Buehler really oft injured or is it just one injury (TJS)? -MVP Such wonky analysis. 2018-2021 was plenty of innings.... Bell Maybe, I'm reading into things, too much.
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Yes, I forgot about Story getting more time. He should be a better runner than Rafaela. I do think DHam deserves a long look as our 2B platoon. The other half of the platoon could be Grissom or Romy. We won't add Campbell to the 40 and 26 to platoon, but I guess we could end up having Campbell play 2B vs LHPs and OF vs RHPs, if we trade an OF'er, and Anthony is still in AAA. DHam was good on D at 2B, too. He could also get some PR chances.
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Not Boston. Who cares, unless it's NYY or BAL.
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I'm not acting like Monty has not missed time. I just said avoid him, too. Saying it was just "one injury" is a classic.
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Top pitcher signings by bonus money: 2024: 1 in the top 7 (over $175K) and 3 in the top 18 (all over $50K) 2023: 0 in top 3, but 3 in top 7 ($125K+) and 7 in top 14 ($53K+) 2023-2024: 2 in top 6 (12 players)
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I agree, but what are the odds of us outbidding all the also-rans for the two biggest prizes remaining. I doubt the odds are even 50-50 we sign one. We may not even get Flaherty & Hoffman or Teoscar/Santander and Flaherty/Hoffman (2 of the 4 tier 2 guys) What are the odds we even get Manaea/Pivetta/Buehler and Estevez? (Tier 3)
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I'm not sure DHam gets as many PAs in 2025, so we may not be as good. Anthony and Mayer may be better than EValdez/Romy/Grissom and Refsnyder/Yoshida, so maybe we get a slight boos there. (I do think DHam should get a long look as our platoon 2Bman. He was good on D, there, too.)
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I'd rather have Bregman at 2B than have no Bregman, but for that money, play him where he helps the team the most: 3B. 1. Devers sucks at 3B and should be better than Casas at 1B- at worst, he's even. 2. Bregman is a plus on D at 3B. 3. We have Campbell about to be called up, and it looks like 2B may be his best landing spot. 4. A DHam-Grissom/Romy platoon at 2B would be decent, so 2B is no longer a high priority need- something we have not been able to say in many years.) I'd rather pay Teoscar or Santander less than have Bregman at 2B. (If the plan is to move Bregman to 3B, next year, maybe.)
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Let's just ignore 2016, 2017, 2022, 2023, 2024, which is 4 of his 8 seasons in pro ball. But hey, it's "just one injury." Why are we trying to minimize his history of injuries. I thought, at least this part, was a given: he's been injury prone. The part that is up for debate is will he continue to be, and is he more of a risk than others available.
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This gets to the heart of my distaste for these types of signings. We've hardly made any SP'er signings that are low risk, in terms of injury risk. You have to go back to Price & Porcello up to the Gio signing to find significant rotation additions that had little injury history.
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He is a risk- mostly age and the whole change of culture/league dynamic. I was very high on Imanaga, last winter, but not all work out like he did.
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Okay, maybe we need to avoid Monty, too.
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5 IP in 2016 (first year in minors at age 21 out of Vandy) 89 in 2017 (minors) 16 in 2018 (minors) + 137 MLB= 153 182 in 2019 Hurray! 37 in 2020 COVID, but 12 GS was there for the healthy (missed 25%) 208 in 2021 Hurray! 65 in 2022 2 in 2023 34 in 2024 I'm not going to go back and research his injury history, but these IP total are god-awful
