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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. They both have done pretty well with getting the most from the pitching staff. 2022-2024 Statcast Throwing (63 catchers qualify) 13. Wong +4 (top 25%) 31. McGuire +1 (about average) Blocking: (72 catchers) 44. McGuire -3 70. Wong -20 No 3 year period combined is offered Framing: 2022: McGuire 15th out of 60, Wong N/A. 2023: McGuire 32nd, Wong 52ns out of 63 2024: McGuire 22nd, Wong 58th out of 59 Looks like Wong is near worst and McGuire better than average, here.
  2. Our defense has hurt the team, a lot, for sure. Here is a look at runs scored vs earned runs allowed: +159 PHI 406-347 + 146 NYY 510-364 +131 LAD 507-376 +127 BAL 496-369 +106 CLE 469-363 +105 BOS 473-368 +102 KCR 471-369 +100 MIL 484-374 +80 ATL 418-338 +78 MIN 484-406 +68 HOU 470-402 +64 NYM 481-417 +48 ARI 501-453 +42 SEA 389-347 6th best differential (just 1 from 5th best), not counting unearned runs allowed vs 10th best overall record in MLB. It's not our baserunning. It's not our offense. It's not our pitching, until recently. It's the D that is mainly responsible for our lower place in the standings.
  3. Wrong. I said his "issues" are defense (thinking 2B not 3B) and whether he can carry over his OBP, if he can't prove he can hit MLB pitching. I then said, "Is his sample size big enough" at 2B? I still wonder. Being better than Campbell and Valdez and maybe Yorke, too does not mean defense is not an issue. To me, his 2B is largely unknown, but is probably adequate to decent. You really know how to twist things.
  4. Expect some draftee signings, soon. Slot $$$ 5.5M Montgomery 1.9M Tolle 878K Neely 631K Erhard 458 Clarke 351 B Alta 275 Turner 220 Carson (may get significantly more than slot) 195 White 183 Futrell
  5. Top Prospects by Position: C: 3Teel, 18 Jo Garcia (DH), 33Hickey (DH,) 40Brannon (DH) 1B: 19Jordan, Kavadas 2B: 5Campbell, (see top 3 SS and Meidroth,) 12Yorke, 26Romero, 28 Coffey SS: 2Mayer, 7 Cespedes, 10 Zanetello, 26Romero, 28Coffey 3B: 11Meidroth, 15 Paulino, 28Coffey LF: 5Campbell, 7 Cespedes, 12 Yorke, 13 Lugo, 17 Castro CF: 1Anthony, 5Bleis RF: 1Anthony, 5Bleis, 23 Jh Garcia DH: Campbell, Yorke, Lugo, Meidroth, Hickey, Kavadas SP: 6Perales, 8Fitts, 9Sandlin, 16 E R-C, 21Dobbins, 20 Wikelman, 22Penrod, 24Early, 29Portes 27Mullins, Bastardo, Paez, Gambrell, Wehunt, Ryes, Dean RP: 30Guerrero, Murphy, Horn, Mata, Zeferjahn. Hoppe, Walter MLB 2025 Depth Chart C: Wong/McGuire 1B: Casas (Dalbec: non tendered?) 2B: DHam, Grissom, Valdez, Romy, Westbrook (Non tendered?) SS: Story (DHam/Romy) 3B: Devers (Romy) LF: Duran/Refsnyder (Yoshida/Valdez) CF: Rafaela/Duran RF: Abreu/Refsnyder DH: Yoshida/Refsnyder/Valdez SP: Houck, Crawford, Giolito, Bello, Criswell (Wink RP) RP: Hendriks, Slaten, Kelly, Bernardino, Fulmer, Weissert, Wink Booser, ICampbell, Murphy, Horn, Speas/Wingenter/Walter (trade/non tendered?)
  6. Teams out of it (sellers) -29.5 CWS -16.5 MIA -16.0 COL -15.0 OAK -11.5 LAA -10.0 TOR Borderline -6.0 DET -5.5 WSH -5.0 SFG -4.5 TBR (always a possible seller) Maybe... -4.5 CIN -4.5 CHC Not likely sellers: -3.5 SEA (Tied with HOU for ALW) -6.5 TEX (-3.0 ALW) -1.5 PIT
  7. And since DHam bats LH'd, playing Rafaela at SS allows for DHam and Romy to platoon at 2B, where their splits help our 2B position to not be the auto out it has been for a long time. (Not horrible on D either.) Next year should see Rafaela back in CF. I doubt it happens, this year, unless we trade Abreu and go with O'Neill/Ref in RF.
  8. You know errors does not tell the whole story, but when every metric shows he is a significant minus on D at SS, I agree. He should be our CF'er and maybe emergency MI'er. His time at 2B has been very limited, but his metrics there are from zero (OAA and DRS) to plus on UZR/150 (+6.3.)
  9. Agreed, but it still is a plus that he can play MI, when needed. I think he might improve, overtime, there, but I hope we never need him there, longterm, again. 2016-2024 OAA -35 Bogey -12 Kike -9 Rafaela -7 Lin -5 DHam
  10. Did not answer the question. Meidroth GS by positions: 89 3B 59 2B 52 SS (indicates he can't be all that bad on D) 13 DH (102 MI/ 102 3B/DH) 50% (29% at 2B) Campbell 47 2B 22 CF 8 SS 4 LF 2 RF (55 MI/28 OF) 66% (57% at 2B) Meidroth would probably be better on D at 2B than Campbell and maybe even Yorke, but I'm not sure he can even top .333 in OBP in the bigs. He has to be able to hit, in order to draw walks.
  11. Noted. Done. I'm not used to winning w the game post.
  12. Pivetta vs a RHP (finally) Quantrill 1. Duran LF 2. Abreu RF 3. Yoshida DH 4. Devers 3B 5. Smith 1B 6. Romy 2B 7. McGuire C 8. DHam SS 9. Rafaela CF No red hot O'Neill, but going with the lefties makes some sense. Only 6 Romy and 9 Rafaela bat RH'd. Go SOX!
  13. He's a better defender, too, and his ability to play SS and 2B make him way better than Dugo. The money saved on Dugo could be justification for the O'Neill trade, but that is not really a fact. Whether Weissert of Fitts amount to anything, I like these two deals, combined: Dugo, Robertson & Santos for O'Neill, Weissert, Fitts (8th ranked soxprospect.com) and Judice
  14. Has he played enough 2B to know enough?
  15. We were up in game 1 vs LAD into the 8th and lost. We were up in game 2 in the 9th and 10th, and lost. We did not deserve to win game 3, despite being up 2-0 in the 1st w Crawford on the mound. We were up 2 in the 10th and up 1 in the 12th vs COL, game 1, and lost. No 4 game stretch like that should be definitive.
  16. Max, you often cite how things can change so quickly after 1-2 games, so heed your own words. It's a 162 game season for a reason. We can split with the CWS and not suck, and we can get swept by the Dodgers and not suck. We can also have nice winning stretches vs very good teams and not be great. We are a top 10 offense (top 5 after May 15th) We are a top 10 pitching team (bottom 10 after May 15th) We are a bottom 10 defensive team (close to middle 10 since May 15th) We have been a top 10 baserunning team, all year. Together, we should be a playoff team, or a PO contender, at worst. If we can get some pitching help in the next week, we should be a make the playoff favorite.
  17. We had the worst D ever until May, but things have changed. Taem D: We are currently 24 in team OAA (-12) 25th in UZR/150 at -2.1 11th in DRS (+26) amazingly I'd say bottom 10 covers it, especially after May. (Besides, are pitching could be said to be top 6-8 not top 10. Speaking of shifting and malleable stats. Sox before May 15 and after... Before May 15th 14th in runs scored and 12th in OPS 2nd in runs allowed (including unERs) and 1st in ERA May 15>>> 4th in runs scored and 3rd in team OPS (.001 from 2nd) 27th in runs allowed (21st in ERs allowed) and 21st in ERA fangraphs does not allow a fielding breakdown by dates, but we allowed 33 UNErs in the first 43 games and 33 UNERs in the last 59 games, so it has improved.
  18. We are top 10 on O, top 10 in pitching, bottom 10 on defense and top 10 on baserunning. Why cant we be a playoff team?
  19. Criswell has the 79th best ERA in MLB among starters with 60+ IP. That's pretty damn good for an 8th starter, but yes, not a "stopper."
  20. Being streaky always gets under many posters' skin. I get it. To me, being streaky helps as much as it hurts, and it all evens out in the long run. Here is one breakdown of Tyler's 2024 streakfest: 1.045 first 108 PAs .515 next 64 PAs (right before IL stint) 1.215 in 38 PAs after IL stint .847 last 102 PAs or 1.045 first 108 .515 next 64 .947 since June 5th He's really just had one really bad, somewhat long stretch. Our GMs have done pretty well with their one and done power OF bat winter additions: .891 O'Neill, so far in 2024 (312 PAs is 4th on the Sox) .834 Duvall in 2023 (353 PAs- kinda hurt not being 550.) (2022 was a disaster with JBJ .578/Kike.629) .816 Renfroe in 2021 (572 PAs w 31 Hrs and 96 rbi) .795 Pillar in 2020 (126 PAs before being traded)
  21. Or trade Valdez, promote Campbell to AAA and every other 2Bman down the line. Reimer to Salem.
  22. Indeed, and that is why I said I hope not I think. Two words with very different meanings. Here is an interesting point about the last 5 games: 1-4 record Outscored just 29 to 27.
  23. Although KC has a pretty mild schedule in mid September, they end the season in ATL and have a pretty tough schedule through early Sept: 2 AZ 3 CHC 3@CWS, then BAM! 4 @DET 3 BOS 2 STL 3@MN 3@CIN 3 LAA 3 PHI 4@CLE 4@HOU 3 CLE 3 MN 3@NYY MIN ends the season w 4 @CLE, 3 at BOS, 3 v MIA and 3 v BAL Their next few series: 2 PHI 3@DET 3@NYM 3 CWS 3@CHC 4 CLE 3 KCR 4@TEX 3@SDP 3 STL 3 ATL
  24. Best 4 SP'ers in MLB with 60+ IP: CHC: 4 in top 28!!! 13. Imanaga 2.86 21. Steele 3.07 23. Taillon 3.10 28. Assad 3.15 ATL: 2 in top 8 and 3 in top 22 2. Lopez 2.12 8. Sale 2.70 22. Fried 3.08 73. Morton 3.92 PHI: 3 in top 17 9. Wheeler 2.70 14. Suarez 2.87 17. C Sanchez 2.97 46. Nola 3.54 SEA: 4 in top 48 12. Gilbert 2.79 33. Kirby 3.20 39. Miller 3.41 48. Castillo 3.55 KCR: 3 in top 34 5. Lugo 2.38 19. Singer 3.00 34. Ragans 3.23 50. Wacha 3.55 BAL: 2 in top 25 4. Burnes 2.38 25. Suarez 3.13 67. Rodriguez 3.83 79. Irvin 4.06 DET: 3 in top 35 3. Skubal 2.34 24. Flaherty 3.13 35. Olson 3.23 86. Mize 4.23 BOS: 4 in top 79 10. Houck 2.71 36. Crawford 3.33 69. Pivetta 3.87 79. Criswell 4.02 PIT 4 in top 80 1. Skenes 1.90 37. Keller 3.34 51. J Jones 3.56 80. Falter 4.08
  25. Sox Rotation ERAs 2.71 Houck 123 IP (106 ML high in IP/119 minors) 3.37 Crawford 118 IP (129 ML high/144 minors) 3.87 Pivetta 81 IP (180 ML, 164, 155, 143 ML other totals) 4.02 Criswell 65 IP (33 MLB, 117 twice in minors) 5.27 Bello 96 IP (157 in '23, 118 in minors '19)
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