moonslav59

Lugo and Hickey homered for Woo. Meidroth and Sogard w 3 hits. POR got blasted. Anthony returned and hit a solo blast & walked. GRE was shut out. Wehunt 4 IP 2 ER Salem bashed 9-1.

Its a 50-50 bet.

Can't make any predictions with this RED Sox team, but 3 out of 4 should be the over-under.

MLB Team ERA (after Sox game) 2.75 NYY 2.93 PHI 3.19 LAD 3.25 BAL 3.35 BOS (6th in WHIP at 1.15) 3.46 SEA 3.50 CLE 3.60 KCR & ATL 3.74 DET 3.77 MIL K/BB 3.6 MIN 3.5 SEA 3.4 BOS 3.3 PHI 3.2 DET 3.0 CLE, SDP, ATL, TBR

He has pitched like the teams #1 or 2 pitcher for some stretches longer than 2-3 months. He's pitched like a #3 for 2-3 month stretches, too. ERA/FIP 3.97/3.98 first 15 starts w BOS ('20-'21) 4.73/4.45 next 17 GS (to end of .21) 7.84/5.48 first 5 starts of '22 2.60/3.17 next 12 GS '22 5.67/5.39 last 15 GS of '22 6.30/5.73 first 9 GS of 23 (sent to pen) 3.16/3.27 end of '23 (8GS and 22 as RP) 3.40 ERA first 8 GS of '24 His bad stretches are usually not all that long, but sometimes they are and they can be really bad (below a #5.)

Best MLB ERAs w 42+ IP Blue= available, this past winter 1.70 R Suarez 1.82 Gil #3 1.85 Houck (8th in IP) 1.88 Imanaga 1.97 Skubal 2.23 Wheeler (3rd in IP) 2.13 S Lugo (1st in IP) 2.26 Burnes (5th IP) 2.27 Assad 2.37 T Anderson (10th IP) 2.48 Olson 2.63 Singer 2.71 Sanchez 2.71 Hicks 2.73 Stroman 2.78 Berrios 2.78 Blanco 2.70 Nate 2.84 Nola (2nd in IP) 2.90 Stone 2.93 Glasnow (4th IP) 2.93 Fried 2.95 Webb (6th IP) 2.96 Lorenzen 2.84 Lively 2.99 Castillo (7th IP) 3.06 Gomber 3.06 Sale 3.09 Rodon 3.11 Lodolo 3.12 Fedde 3.18 B Miller 3.21 Ragans 3.22 Flaherty 3.22 Falter 3.29 Gilbert 3.29 Paxton 3.32 Yamamoto 3.33 B Brown 3.35 B Wilson 3.38 J Ryan 3.39 Abbott 3.39 J Irvin #44. 3.40 Pivetta 8 pitchers @53. 3.51 Crawford 12 pitchers #65. 3.92 Criswell

When Pivetta is on, he looks awesome. I know you can say that about a lot of pitchers, but Nick has had a few very nice stretches in several seasons, along with some real stinker stretches. Since May 28th, last year, he has been excellent. 110 pitchers with 120+ PAs (before today's awesome game) ERA- 14. Houck 73 (ahead of Kelly & Verlander) 17. Pivetta 76 (probably up close to Houck, now. Ahead of Gray and Monty)) 41. Crawford 90 (tied with Nate & Nola)

"Salvaged something" not made the trade a good one, overall. It will always be a bad trade, unless DHam goes nutty.

DHam up over .750 with that double. If this is not fluke, and with his speed, we may have salvaged something from that "horrific JBJ trade."

He was ranked 10th by sp's back in DEC '22, dipped some, and should be top 7-9 on their next update. Here is their last summation on him: Potential back-end starter or multi-inning bridge arm. Ceiling of a mid-rotation starter. Wide variance arm with a high ceiling and low, but rising, floor. Size, delivery, and inconsistent command and control profile might push him into the bullpen, but has shown among the best raw stuff of any arm in the system and was identified by scouts as the top pitching prospect in the Florida Complex League in 2022. Will flash two plus pitches, with his changeup and cutter showing potential as well. All have shown bat-missing ability, and he shows comfort throwing all of them in most counts. Athletic and moves well on and off the mound. Next step in his development is finding consistency with his delivery and showing he can handle a full season’s workload. By staying healthy for the 2023 season, has gone a long way towards addressing the latter concern.

On Sox... 1st RBIs (9 ahead of 3rd place Duran) 2nd in games and PAs 3rd SBs 4th in XBHs (18) 4th TBs (6 behind Abreu and 2 ahead of O'Neill) 4th in Runs (1 behind O'Neill)

So, we see Ref at DH vs a RHPs. Watch my idea fail miserably, now.

So, we see Ref at DH vs a RHPs. Watch my idea fail miserably, now.

But they rent from themselves, so money made by the real estate side is paid by the operations side of the ledger, right?

That has been my major point, all along, although cuts in spending has not helped matters. When you try to fix a rotation with $10M/1 guys, the odds they will not do well goes up. Our highest SP'er signing since Sale & Nate was Gio, and he promptly joined the IL gang.

No doubt. The top FAs we signed, mostly did well or okay. Hardly any were major busts or spent over half their time on the IL. 2018: 31 Price 22 JD 22 HRam did okay in '18 21 Porcello 14 Pedey 13 Kimbrel 13 Sale 11 Betts 9 Pom Pom 7 Bogey 7 Moreland 6 JBJ 4 Nunez 2013 16 Lackey 15 Ortiz (2 yr deal) 13 Dempster (opted out of 2 yr deal) 13 Vic (only did well in '13) 12 Lester 10 Pedey 10 S Drew 9 Jake 7 Hanrahan 6 Buch 16 GS but did great 5 Gomes 5 Napoli 5 Salty 4 Uehara what a steal! 4 Bailey Look how little RED there is.

Strahm for PHI in 2024: 25 IP 2 ERs (0.72 ERA) 16 Hits 3 BB 35 Ks 0.760 WHIP .468 OPS Against Some of the guys Bloom signed have done much better, after leaving, as in Strahm & Perez. (Others, not so much.)

Is that "revenue" or just value added to franchise, when sold?

Wow! #57! Quite a jump. Maybe Cespedes joins the top 100, next.

Isn't their TV deal mega more than anyone else, except maybe NYY? I found this for 2023 on fangraphs: $197 LAD $143 NYY $97 BOS

When you look at how our highest paid players have been injured, underperformed, or both in the last 5.3 years, there is some reason to consider on why JH has pulled in the strings on spending large and long. I'm not defending his choices, but it's not like spending bigly has worked for him.

That is one reason we will never near them, unless they choose to make massive cuts. To me, if we just started $5-10M under the tax line every 2-3 years and went over the first line but not the second, 2 out of every 3-4 years, it would be hard to bitch a whole lot. In theory, JH should be able to do something like this: 5-10 under 39 over (just under the second line) 10 over (just under 1st line) reset at 5-10 under repeat

Yes, that is a significant factor, but to me, underperformance by our higher paid players is number 1 on my list of reasons we can't get beyond .500 or sniff the playoffs. Granted $10M/1 is not a "big contract," but those have been among the top 10 on the team over the last few years. While we had way more higher paid players in 2019, the underperformances began, then: (Note: while a $4M deal is not "big," i included all deals of $4 or more to show the shifts from large to medium and sub medium. The line demarks the top 10 salaries, each year) Red= Underperformed, injured or both 31 Price 22 GS 4.28 22 JD 21 Porcello 5.52 ERA 20 Betts 17 Nate 12 GS 5.99 14 Pedey 21 PAs 15 Sale 25 GS 4.40 12 Bogey 9 JBJ 7 Moreland 6 Pearce 99 PAs .503 OPS 6 Vaz 5 Nunez 174 PAs .548 OPS 4 ERod/Holt 2020 was when the full throttle purge began, but injuries and declines continued: 26 Sale No show 22 JD .680 20 Bogey 17 Nate Made 9 of 12 starts 14 Pedey No show 11 JBJ 8 E Rod No show 7 Perez 4.50 not really underperforming exp's. 5 Beni only 52 PAs .442 5 Vaz 4 Pillar (Traded) 4 Workman (Traded for Pivetta) 2021 saw some improved health and bounce back years: 25 Sale 9GS 22 JD 20 Bogey 17 Nate 10 Richards 22 GS 4.87 demoted to pen 9 Ottavino 4.21 was not much below expectations 8 ERod 4.74 ERA is high for him 7 Kike 5 Perez 4.74 about as expected 5 Barnes Fell apart last 2 months 5 Vaz .659 5 Devers 2022 brought the Story contract and the $5-10M one deals: 26 Sale 2GS 23 Story 22 JD .790 & 74 RBI 20 Bogey 73 RBI 17 Nate 12 JBJ .578 11 Devers 10 Paxton No show 9 Barnes 4.31 7 Kike 7 Vaz 7 Wacha 23 GS about expected, but pitched well 5 Hill 26 GS and 4.27 ERA 2023 was the questionable choice to stay over $16M under the tax line. 26 Sale 20 GS 4.30 23 Story 168 PAs .566 18 Devers 18 Yoshida .783 not horrible, but... 16 Jansen 11 Turner 10 Kike 323 PAs .599 (Traded) 10 Kluber 9GS 7.07 9 Barnes + Blier ugly 8 Martin 7 Duvall Just 353 PAs but did well 6 Verdugo A bit of a let down but kept in black (balanced Duvall) 5 Pivetta 4 Paxton 19 GS 4.50 (had a nice stretch) 2024: the inexplicable further cuts to the budget. Jury is out on some, but we know some are toasted) 29 Devers 23 Story Out 19 Gio Out 18 Yoshida To late to redeem 16 Jansen ??? 9 Bello So far, a letdown 8 Martin So far, a letdown 8 Pivetta Missed some time 6 O'Neill Missed some time 5 Hendriks Out until AUG 5 Whitlock Out (None between 2.1 and 4.6) The RED really shows the #1 issue. By year in RED: 5 of top 7 '19 7 of top 9 '20 worst year 4 of top 7 '21 best record in 5 years and least RED (4 in top 10) 8 out of 10 '22 6 out of 9 '23 3 out of top 4, already

I'm not happy being even $10M under the tax line. It sucks, and it shouldn't be this way. That being said, if just half of our biggest contracts worked out fine, we'd be knocking on the playoff door, loudly.

Sox injury update, according to ESPN: Expected return to action date (not MLB) June 4 I Campbell is rehabbing in AAA June 5 O'Neill: begins rehab today June 8 Mata: might be DFA'd when ready June 11 Romy G; should be MLB ready on the 11TH June 11 Yoshida: should begin rehab assignment this week June 12 Grissom: getting imaging June 13 Abreu: 10 day IL June 19 Martin: will be placed on 15 day IL July 9 Casas: taking grounders at 1B August 1 Hendriks 2025 Giolito, Story, Whitlock & Murphy