I know the success rate of many of the biggest signings, every year, is not that great, but we have been over the top atrocious.
Back when we were signing just $5-10M/ 1 year SP'ers, I argued we were "getting what we paid for" to some extent, but even then, the two $10M guys really bombed, and we did better with $5M Hill and $7M Wacha. Then, we finally "splurge" (yea, right) on Gio and immediately get bonked on the head.
Anyway you slice it, if we can't start hitting on some signings, we'll never pick up the pace on the already expected improvement plan.
The Grissom trade sure looks like a bust, but he has years to prove us wrong.
The Dugo trade looks better to the Yanks, right now, but I like having Weissert and Fitts for 10+ yrs vs 1 of Dugo in a crowded OF while in Cora's doghouse.
The ICampbell trade might end up being a steal.
The best moves by Brez, so far, looks like the Slaten & O'Neill trades and Criswell signing.