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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    As RP'ers in 2024, here are the OPS Against in... Leaders in High Leverage (Chapman was at .534) .564 Winckowski (60 PAs) .581 Slaten (64 PAs) .598 Martin (75 PAs) .628 Jansen (123 PAs) .790 Bernardino (79) Late & Close (Chapman was at .615) .489 Slaten (114) .572 Jansen (167) .642 Martin (124) Nobody else was below .739 (Booser) or .745 (Wink) unless you go down to 13 PAs with Guerrero at .237.
  2. moonslav59
    They should be okay, but if the next guys we add are like Chapman and Wilson, I'm bummed.
  3. moonslav59
    If Chapman as the closer and Wilson as the lefty mid-inning guy ares a sign of things to come, I'm not impressed, at all.
  4. moonslav59
    I'm wondering, if we can even view Wong as our longtime back-up to Teel. I'd be fine adding a capable catcher on a 2-3 year deal, and then think about trading Wong. If we think Wong can improve his defense, maybe a 1 year gut is fine.
  5. moonslav59
    It won't be a very hard kick, but sure- you can watch.
  6. moonslav59
    6 BB/9 over the last 4 years is shocking. 6 hits per 9 helps keep those runners from scoring, but yes... Heart attack city. I'm guessing they are making him the closer.
  7. moonslav59
    I'm thinking the same thing on "if all things are close to equal." I think taxes plays into the final bottom line on the money part, so that may help when comparing to the NYY, NYM and LAD. I'm gonna kick myself, if Soto signs somewhere else.
  8. moonslav59
    It seems that Chapman does not really have to be better than 2021 to 2024 to think it was an okay deal. He turns 37, before the season starts. These numbers suggest he has not shown steady decline after reaching age 33. OPS Against .678 in 2021 .654 in 2022 .558 in 2023 .636 in 2024 K/BB: 2.6>1.5>2.9>2.5 FIP: 3.99> .4.57> 2.52> 3.04 2021-2024 combined: 3.60 ERA (118 ERA+) 3.41 FIP 1.33 WHIP 14.4 K/9 but 6.0 BB/9 is frightening.(just 6 hits per 9 with a 0.9 HR/9.)
  9. moonslav59
    On the budget, now... AAV (Only 15 players above min wage or near min wage.) 29.1 Devers 23.2 Story 19.3 Giolito 18.0 Yoshida 10.8 Chapman 9.2 Bello 6.3 Rafaela 5.0 Hendriks 4.7 Whitlock 2.3 Wilson 2.1 Refsnyder Arb Est... 4.5 Houck 4.3 Duran 3.0 Crawford
  10. moonslav59
    The other worry is that he has only pitched over 65 IP, once- counting college.
  11. moonslav59
    According to cots, the Sox are still $67M under the line, after the Chapman signing. This includes the 3 first year arb estimates for Houck, Duran & Crawford. If we spend $50M a year on Soto, and try to stay under the second tax line, that would leave us $37M to spend on a SP'er, another RP'er and a catcher. (We could lower the cost by making a trade.) $27M per for Fried and $10M per for Holmes or Estevez? (Trade for a 1 year, defensive catcher?)
  12. moonslav59
    At his age, it is a good thing to be just one year. I'm hoping we sign a top RP'er to 3-4 years. Chapman and hendriks would be okay as set-up me. Slaten & Whitlock as 7th inning guys, and Wink as the long man.
  13. moonslav59
    I hope they don't think Chapman and hendriks are the 9th inning/8th inning guys. Slaten & Whitlock are the 8th inning/set-up me. Wilson or Bernardino the other lefty Guerrero/Penrod/Kelly/Weissert/Fulmer fillers Winckowski/Criswell/Fitts/ Priester/Dobbins the long men and spot starters. I'm not even sure adding Hoffman, Estevez or Holmes would be nough. Maybe a trade for Helsley would be the best idea.
  14. moonslav59
    Sign or trade for one- maybe a one year gut.
  15. moonslav59
    Makes me think Scott is not coming to BOS. Maybe, we can still add Hoffman, Estevez or Holmes (who may be signed to start.)
  16. moonslav59
    Also, we could trade Wong, if Teel shows he's the real deal.
  17. moonslav59
    I saw an article suggesting Casas for L Ortiz.
  18. moonslav59
    MLBTR on catchers.... With teams like the Rays, Orioles, Cubs, Blue Jays, and Padres all potentially in the market to add behind the plate, Danny Jansen and Carson Kelly are the top names ahead of an assortment of mid-30s veterans such as Gary Sanchez, Elias Diaz, and James McCann. The lack of quality options behind the plate could create a seller-friendly trade market for catchers, but few obvious trade candidates at the position exist. Minnesota’s Christian Vazquez stands as the most logical name available, but the $10MM he’s owed in 2025 eclipses his market value by a few million. Could the upcoming Winter Meetings involve a mad dash to lock up the remaining catchers on the market?
  19. moonslav59
    True, so it may not be such an "easy" choice for the Sox.
  20. moonslav59
    I'd love to get Sasaki, but I am not convinced he can step right in and be a better SP'er than Bello.Gio/Craw. I also included Yoshida in with Mayer, which would bring Castillo's cost to about $3M a year.
  21. moonslav59
    Bregman would certainly make us better, but at what cost and vs who else at a similar cost? I'm not a fan of Arenado, and I still want Casas in our line-up, maybe as a co-1B/DH w Devers, but a trade with STL might make sense. Somehow including Helsley and or Yoshida would clinch the deal, for me. It's just 1 year for Helsley, so the return package should not be too high. 1. Duran CF 2. Soto LF 3. Devers 1B/DH 4. Casas DH/1B 5. Campbell 2B 6. Anthony RF 7. Story SS 8. Arenado 3B 9. Wong & ____ C Bench: C, DHam or Grissom, Rafaela & Refsnyder (assuming we trade Abreu)
  22. moonslav59
    Mayer and Castillo makes the Castillo contract chump change. We do not have an unlimited budget.
  23. moonslav59
    add more.
  24. moonslav59
    STEAMER projects 4.9 fWAR (He was 4.7, last year.) Maybe, I'm too hung up on the risk of trading for a guy who has only pitched over 65 innings once, including college and the minors.
  25. moonslav59
    Higgy signs for $13.5M/2 with the Rangers. (That includes the the $1M buyout for the year three $10M option.) I kinda liked him as an option to bridge to Teel, but I'm not sure how good he is on defense, and that is what we need.
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