Maybe they have better stats than us. They have a whopping 9 run differential lead on us.
Of the six teams between us and the playoffs, 4 have worse run differentials (two by 32 runs!) That's not to say run differential is an exact science, but there is about 110 games left to play.
No other team, other than the NYY and TBR have a clearly better roster than us in the AL.
If we keep playing like this, the chances of sneaking in are not good, but even playing this badly, a chance remains.
Again, not because I have faith we might do better, but only because I have equal faith in most of those 6 teams doing worse.
Two teams ahead of those 6 are the 29-27 CWS and the 27-29 TOR Blue Jays. Both of them can collapse at any minute.