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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    You certainly could be right, but out offer was fair. MLBTR projected $156M/6 and we went $34M/1 over that. We are not sure how close we got to a "Yes," and I'm not so sure JH & Co. were so sure our last offer would be rejected. As much as I've been bitching about all the outbidding, 8 years for Fried is 2 years too much. I'm fine with one extra year, which we offered. In another sense, I think I'd rather have 2 extra years of Fried at $27.25M x 8 than Eight straight years of signings like Buehler at $21M/1. Yes, it's $6M more a year, but he seems like more of a sure bet for 4-6 years than the continuous revolving door of injury projects.
  2. moonslav59
    We may just go with Narvaez, who is very good on D and ML ready. He showed some power on the farm and has a decent OBP, but his K rate is scary. Here are the FAs still available: Curt Casali (36) Elias Diaz (34) Yan Gomes (37) Yasmani Grandal (36) Andrew Knizner (30) Luke Maile (34) Martin Maldonado (38) James McCann (35) Reese McGuire (30) Omar Narvaez (33) Tomas Nido (31)
  3. moonslav59
    There is no curse unless you think Liverpool is No No Nannette.
  4. moonslav59
    This has been the ongoing belief, but there was more to it, than just the 2004 season and playoffs. While 83 IP is a lot, these days for a closer then 14 IP in the playoffs, could easily be viewed as the "sole reason" for his " burning out," he was 31 in 2004 and coming off these IP totals in prior seasons: 105 in '99 (67 games) 88 in '2000 (72 g) + 2 playoff innings. 81 in '01 (72) 78 in '02 (65) 87 in '03 (72) + 5 in the playoffs for OAK. That's a lot of innings for a late inning RP'er. Here is his IP in playoff games in 2004. He actually had some rest between most games: 1.1 IP Oct 6 1.1 IP Oct 8 (1 day off between games) 0.1 IP Oct 12, 0.2 Oct 13 (back-to back, but just 1 IP total) (3 days off) 2.2 Oct 17 and 1.1 on Oct 18 (back-to-back and 4 IP is a hard push), then 1 IP Oct 19 (3 days off) 1.2 Oct 23, 1.1 Oct 24 (back-to-back w more than 1 IP) Day off 1 IP Oct 26, 1 IP Oct 27 (back-to-back)
  5. moonslav59
    1. RP, if Scott or Hoffman (or trade for Helsley) 2. 3B (move Devers to 1B/DH and Casas to Dh/1B share) 3. SP 4. Catcher (via trade) I would not sign a 1Bman or 2Bman. I'd be okay with a RHB like Teoscar, assuming we'd trade Abreu or Rafaela for a RP'er of note.
  6. moonslav59
    Isn't Moran out until next year? We may add Campbell or Anthony after opening day and the 60 Day IL addition(s.)
  7. moonslav59
    Going stealth.
  8. moonslav59
    He would make for a very Merry Christmas.
  9. moonslav59
    Merry Christmas!
  10. moonslav59
    As much as I wanted Fried (even more than Burnes,) I think not going 8 years is very understandable. That contract will take him to age 38, and not many pitchers do well up to that age. The guy does have a very nice prior 5 year stretch, despite missing half of 2023. He missed about 20-25 starts, which comes to about 4-5 per season, but these numbers are pretty freaking amazing: 54-25 2.81 (151 ERA+ is mindblowing for a 5 year stretch.) 3.7 K/BB, 1.09 WHIP and 3.11 FIP Burnes is slightly younger and will almost certainly get 8 years, too- maybe 9.He's missed only about 5-10 starts in 5 years (1 to 2 per year.) 52-31 2.88 (142 ERA+) 4.2 K/BB, 1.02 WHIP and 3.01 FIP Both look very close with their 5 year numbers. 3 years ERA+ 149 Fried (3.03 FIP) 128 and 3.33 in 2024 131 Burnes (3.49 FIP) 128 and 3.55 in 2024 (Both nearly identical, this year, but Fried better over last 3 yrs.) I will say, I'd rather have signed Fried than a Buehler every year for 8 years.
  11. moonslav59
    As long as they don't take up a 40 man roster slot, I'm fine with signing these guys that overlap, so that every year, one or two get healthy enough to make a run at joining the 40. The good thing is, we don't add the guy to the 40, until we need him on the 26. A guy like Sandoval, Hendriks and Paxton need or needed a 40 man slot. We can't/couldn't add them to the 60 Day IL, until the season starts, so they kind of create a brief, yet significant roster crunch situation. Wow, what a list of TJS pitchers!
  12. moonslav59
    They may not be done bidding, but when you keep coming up short on not only the AAV but the years as well, you are never going to win a high-stakes auction. $190/7 is $27.1M x 7. While that is a "fair offer," it came short on both ends. He signed for $227.25 x 8. They guys we win the auctions are: ($10M+) Story, Yoshida, Giolito, Jansen, Martin, Turner, Kike, Richards, Kluber, Paxton, Hendriks. ($5-9M) Diekman, Wacha, Duvall, Perez I, Perez II, Hill (1.5-4.5M) Pillar (re-sign,) Strahm, Marwin, Renfroe, Mondesi, Moreland (re-sign,) Sawamura, Peraza, Andriese, Joely, Lucroy _____________________________________ Extensions: $313/10 Devers $55M/6 Bello $50M/8 Rafaela $24/2 JBJ $18.8/2 Barnes $18.8/4 Whitlock $10/1 Kike $2/1 Refsnyder Notable trades for contracts: $8M/1 Ottavino & $5.9M/1 O'Neill
  13. moonslav59
    Excellent post. Lackey is another example of the team signing someone with injury concerns, and they even insisted on an injury clause for the deal that ended up being triggered. Lackey was a good signing, IMO. I think he pitched hurt, that one season, and that made his overall numbers look worse. We ended up getting Joe Kelly for him, along with the dud, Allen Craig.
  14. moonslav59
    Both Whitlock and Buehler have shown extended times of greatness. Both have dealt with injuries, and ended their 2024 season pitching very well. Whitlock's season ended in injury, while Buehler's ended in glory. I hope both find their mojo and go nutty in '25. We have a lot of pitchers on our staff that have had some great seasons, some not too long ago- some 5-9 years back. Most have had decent to excellent seasons very recently (1-3 years ago.)
  15. moonslav59
    Thanks for the kinds words, everyone. It means a lot. Merry Christmas, everyone, and may Henry...errrr...I mean Santa bring you all nice gifts and peace.
  16. moonslav59
    How quickly this team has become Breslow's. In just two years, half of the 40 man roster are players added to the 40, after his arrival, and a big chunk of them were acquired by him. (Many have come and gone, in between day one and now.) Here are his 16 acquired players on the 40: Crochet, Buehler, Giolito, Sandoval, Criswell, Fitts, Priester Slaten, Chapman, Hendriks, Wilson, Penrod, Weissert Grissom, Romy, Narvaez These may be joining the 40, at some point: Campbell, Arias, Cespedes, Cason Sandlin, Early, Wehunt, Tolle, Valera, D Reyes Let's see if he has one major signing in him.
  17. moonslav59
    I think Chapman and Hendriks will be given a 50-50 shot, going into ST'ing. If both fail to win the job, of suck after winning it, I think Whitlock might have the same shot as Slaten. People are all gah-gah over 10 innings of Buehler and a great season, two years ago, but Whitlock was lights out for his last 18 IP of 2024 and was great, two to three years ago, too.
  18. moonslav59
    I like our depth- now we need quality over quantity.
  19. moonslav59
    I agree. All we've heard is talk on some b ig names, and almost anytime a number gets released, we are way off the final price tag. I love the Crochet trade, but I wanted to see some money where there moth has been, and all we've seen is a little more money spent on the same type of FAs- ones that are looking to re-establish themselves, because they have been recently injured or had a down year or two. So, we spent more on Buehler than Kluber, Richards and Paxton. So, he's been better in more recent years than they had been. It's still the same thing but with more fluff, due to his last 10 IP of 2024 (the playoffs.) Chapman is a worse signing than Jansen or Martin. I was hoping for actions not talk, and so far, no money deal has impressed me into thinking anything is different. You are right, there is still time, but I seriously doubt we sign Burnes or Bregman. I'll be surprised, if we sign Teoscar or Hoffman. They have me looking at Estevez as the best I can hope for, now.
  20. moonslav59
    If we weren't so thin at catcher, he may have been traded or DFA'd by now. The bottom of our 40 is getting better, and a little closer to a crunch, especially when you figure we may want to add Campbell, Anthony and Mayer, at some point in 2025. We could wait for players to go on the 60 day IL to do that, while also adding an extra year of control by waiting. The DFA/Trade list is shortening... Shugart Chris Murphy, Bernardino or Penrod would be traded, not DFA'd. I could see one of these three traded: DHam (the lefty,) Grissom or Romy. Yoshida has been discussed, a lot.
  21. moonslav59
    AAV Budget Update: 29.1 Devers- 9 23.3 Story- 3 + opt 21.1 Buehler -1 19.3 Giolito-1 + opt 18.0 Yoshida- 3 10.8 Chapman- 1 9.2 Bello- 5 + opt 9.1 Sandoval-2 6.3 Rafaela -7 5.0 Hendriks- 1 +opt 4.7 Whitlock- 2 ~4.5 Houck (Arb 1 of 3) ~4.3 Duran (Arb 1 of 4) ~3.0 Crawford (Arb 1 of 4) ~3.0 Crochet (Arb 2 of 3) 2.3 Wilson- 1 2.1 Refsnyder- 1 (All others are at pre-arb or minor league pay.) 175M Sub Total $7.2 Pre-arb + $2.6 Minors on 40+ $1.7 Bonus Pool and about $0.5 Hosmer - Ref credit for no buyout= $12M. Add $18M for player benefits and the total comes to about $205M AAV. That leaves us $36M under the first tax line and $56M under the second one. There is room to sign any remaining FA, including Burnes or Bregman. We could maybe sign Teoscar plus Hoffman for under $36M AAV. If we go to the second line, we could sign any two FAs, but we all know, we won't. In theory, we could sign Teoscar $21M x 3, Hoffman $15M x 4 and trade for Arenado and cash and stay under the second line.
  22. moonslav59
    Just don't call it a "sham," I guess.
  23. moonslav59
    What broke is our pitchers. The solution: sign more pitchers with injury histories and hope the don't all end up on the IL, at the same time. Sorry, if I'm not jumping on your bandwagon, just yet.
  24. moonslav59
    I probably wouldn't have known about his injury history and liked the deal. BTW, I was a stat geek as a kid, too.
  25. moonslav59
    He's on a minor league deal, so this opens a slot on the 40 for Buehler. No biggie. Narvaez was ahead of Gasper anyway. (We still need a catcher, IMO.)
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