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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. I did not say I believe they are smart. I said the believe they are smart. They think the "sham" is working, and is many ways it is, since they are making money hand over fist, despite an inferior product being sold. Tell me why you think they believe they are dumb.
  2. He probably would not opt out or ask for one. He might opt out, if we pay him $30M, $30M- opt out- $20M and $15M. He probably won't. but taking a higher AAV with less years can sometimes make an opt-out more appealing, especially if it's after 1 year, when he will not be too old.
  3. I disagree. I think they believe they are being smart by making big profits and fooling enough fans to keep buying the product, despite it becoming more and more inferior.
  4. According to modern batting line-up formulas, the 3 slot should not be your best 3 hitters. Devers should bat second or 4th. If he bats 4th, I'd put Story 3rd vs LHPs and Casas 5th. I might put Abreu 3rd vs RHPs and keep Casas 5th all the time. Duran should lead off, IMO. Who bats second with Devers 4th? Campbell v LHPs and Abreu or Ref vs LHPs? V L: Duran, Refsnyder, Story, Devers, Casas.... V R: Duran, Campbell, Abreu, Devers, Casas...
  5. If you total up Paxton, Richards and Kluber, it's $30M. I think we could do better with a $30M/3 or $30M/2 type deal, but I'm not sure how much better. Kikuchi signed for $36M/2 in '22. I know that is cherry picking. Others signed for about the same and did about as badly as Richards-Kluber-Paxton. Imanaga signed for $13.5M x 4 in '24 and Lugo for $15M x 3, the same year. Not sure those are fair comps, unless you include the Sandoval or Buehler deals as part of the exchange.
  6. He probably has a 5 year deal or two offered, and that's why the Sox name is still mentioned, from time to time. If the Sox offered 4, they are close. Maybe he takes a 4 year deal with a higher AAV and an opt out after 1 or 2 years over a 5 year deal that just gives him $10-15M more. Maybe not. Maybe they think the Sox might buckle and go 5. I think Fenway would suit Bregman fine. If he gets an opt out with the Sox, he could maybe build his value with 1-2 big years w BOS. Maybe no. I'm not counting on us getting him. The odds are probably 1-5%, but I keep checking MLBTR, everyday.
  7. I think adding Bregman and Robertson would make us playoff favorites and AL championship contenders, but not the fave. Adding Bregman could also allow for a trade that could add another useful piece, like a real catcher or another RHB or pen arm.
  8. Yes, he has more power. That does not mean Paredes does "not have all that much power."
  9. ...and Giolito, Buehler, Devers, Hendriks and maybe 5 months of Whitlock.
  10. Exactly. They very well may have signed Soto, if it was at their price, even if it may have been double price's deal, so in that sense, they may not be lying, when they say they are prepared to spend big. If they never set a price at or above market value, however, they will never sign anyone. The did with Beuhler, Chapman and Wilson, as they seem to really like the lower risk, one year deals. I'm sure almost every team that has signed a large & long deal, knows or feels like they paid more than they felt the guy was worth, but the realized the need was so great, it was worth it. We do not get to that point, anymore, on anything longer than 2 years. Yoshida and Story are the only FAs signed to 3+ years in a long time.
  11. If they came out and said, we are looking to save money and have decided not to overpay on free agents, they might lose some fans and viewers, so they just keep that a secret, as "best" they can. I do think they have a very strict valuing system in place, but someone decides, when it's okay to go over that amount and by how much. It is a team philosophy on "overpaying" that all GMs and owners face. We have chose to change our approach, but we won't admit it.
  12. I'd like to see Criswell make the ML squad out of camp. When Whitlock is ready, we should know who gets demoted.
  13. Arenado with Herrera and Helsley would be awesome. I was thinking, we could take Contreras to further STL's saving$. I'd give Crawford, Cespedes and Kelly for the 3, along with some cash.
  14. I think they view Anthony and Campbell as options to replace O'Neill. Campbell bats righty, and Anthony has had decent splits as a LHB.
  15. It could work out well, especially with Ref likely to retire after 2025, and Rafaela is our only RHB OF'er, after him.
  16. I was responding to the "not much power" comment, and I think 27 HRs per 162 is quite a bit of power. Devers has topped 27 HRs 3 times in 7 years (6 not counting 2020, when he was on pace for 26.)
  17. "Moot" is the Sox word for the winter.
  18. I've heard he is plas on D, but that might just be the biased media, down here in Houston. Metrics show clear plus, but not great on D. "Not much power?" He hit 31 bombs in 2023 and averaged 27 per 162 games from '23-'24. His .244 BA is not ideal, but he's walked enough to have a near .350 OBP, in the past 2 years. That would have placed second on the Sox in 2024. Plus D, Plus Power and Plus OB skills.
  19. I already responded to this point, and I suggested a lesser offer. I also included 1 year Cartini coming back to us.
  20. Yup, but they won't come out and just say it. "If the right guy comes along, we'll pay..." What BS.
  21. See what happens when the NFL feels the pressure to let the refs call a clean game?
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