Yes, losing Burnes was bad, but they also lost Santander.
I wasn't buying the Yankee Soto replacement talk. They also lost Torres. The Dugo/Rizzo losses were additions by subtractions, but I did not have much faith in Goldschmidt. Rice has been surprising and a bit unexpected.
I expected us to finish ahead of TOR and TBR and be close to NYY.
I thought we could pass HOU & BAL, but the O's have so much young talent nearing prime. (I think we do, too.)
DET & KCR are hard to predict.
Basically, no AL team jumps out as dominating, so that is why my hopes were up, this season- more than out of what I saw was an improved roster on paper, over the '24 Sox team.
We lost O'Neal, but we are already talking about a logjam in the OF blocking Anthony.
We lost Pivetta, a guy no MLB rushed to sign. We added Crochet, Buehler and essentially Gio.
We lost McGuire/Jansen and added Narvaez.
The biggest losses were K Jansen and a not as great in '24 Martin, but added only Chapman and essentially Hendriks. I saw this as our weak link and the only area we got worse, on paper, but with so much pitching depth, perhaps only mediocre, I felt we might cobble together 8 arms (some starters) to form an okay pen.
Better O
Better D
Better rotation and starter depth
Worse pen.
Plaus teams that were ahead of us in '24, mostly getting worse or breaking even- on paper.