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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. I'd put the chances of winning the AL Pennant as such: 21% DET 19% SEA , HOU & TOR 14% BOS 8% NYY
  2. The 3 game stretch? It's 9 BBs, which is still ugly as sin. I'm not for calling up Harrison to start. I just pointed out he's gotten decent results in his las 3 starts, despite the 9 BBs.
  3. If Mayer can stay healthy (yea, right) maybe we see Story at 2B, next year. Of course, Bregman needs to return, so Mayer is not needed at 3B.
  4. Fangraphs has the AL odds like this: Make Playoffs 98% TOR & DET 95% SEA 94% HOU (wonder how a BOS win last night might have changed this) 85% NYY 73% BOS 27% CLE, 16% TEX World Series Win: 9.4 SEA 9.0 TOR 7.8 NYY (continued Yankee favoritism) 7.5 DET 5.8 HOU 2.9 BOS
  5. He had a rough first two starts with Woo (9IP 7 ER,) so if the "tweak" isea is for real, maybe it took a few games to see the results. Here are his game logs since July 9th: IP ER 3.2 0 6.0 1 3.2 2 5.0 2 5.0 0 5.0 0 Last 3 starts: 15 IP 2 ER (11 hits, but 9 BB. 20 Ks is nice.)
  6. Agreed, and sometimes you even catch a bad to average pitcher having a great night. Also, playing certain teams when they are doing well or poorly, have new injuries or just catching them when their 3-4-5 starters are scheduled to pitch. You figure the randomness evens it all out, but it never can perfectly. As you know, I live outside Houston, and for some reason, we always play the Astros in August- home and away about a week apart. Every year. It seems it should be mixed up from year to year and H & A series should be more spread out.
  7. Wong is hitting a mighty .703 in his last 10 games! Extend him, now!
  8. We have Criswell coming off a nice start, Harrison as an option, Fitts probably not as a starter option, right now and the two current starters: Buehler, who did not look too bad, last night and May, who looked good a couple nights ago. I'm not sure Cora boots Buehler or May from the rotation, so these others may just be pen options for 2025.
  9. We just went through the toughest part of the schedule and did not show another August collapse. Although there is still time for that to happen, I see a fight in this team that wasn't apparent in previous seasons. We just went 17-11 against no bad teams 4 TBR, 3@CHC, 3@PHI, 3 LAD, 3@MIN, 3 HOU & KCR and 3@SDP & HOU. Miami is no push-over. They were one of baseball's hottest teams, recently. BAL is playing better that the first half of the season. We still have some tough teams to face, including teams trying to pass us for a playoff berth. One game at a time, guy! Let's do this!
  10. It seems that way, but... .755 season OPS .766 RISP .771 Men on Base But then again... .705 RISP w 2 outs .730 High Leverage .669 Late & Close Losing 2 series in a row sucks. Outscoring the Astros and Padres in each series does not change anything. It's timely hitting and spreading out the hits & homers that seems to be the issue with out offense. That's not really a skill set. It's not something you can fix or even trade for. I'm not sure what can be done. I've suggested some line-up tweaks, but I'm not sure how that addresses these two issues.
  11. He homered after one ribbing, so I'm sticking with it.
  12. Still Yoshida 5th and Abreu 7th. I'm leaving soon for the game.
  13. Arias hit a 3 run blast, last night to lead GRE to a win and possible/likely playoff slot. Drohan returned from a long IL stint. KC had 3 hits in the Woo win.
  14. Ref may not retire. Jh Garcia might get a shot, if we make a trade, or if someone plays another position.
  15. There are a few posters who are happy, or very happy like me, with Breslow's total body of work- from the 26 to the 40 and the farm upgrades.
  16. Does Toro have a permanent rib issue?
  17. I guess we are not alone with this situation. Maybe Story will be our FT 2Bman for the next two year- maybe Mayer. I doubt KC gets ober 550 at 2B.
  18. I might not even put MIL as my second choice in the NL. 1. LAD 2. PHI (very close to LAD) T3. MIL & SDP
  19. It's funny how KC was "ML Ready" the first two weeks of the season, then "wasn't" the next 2 months. Brez and Cora were geniuses in mid April, and now, it was a "mistake." Players have rough stretches all the time, and for various reasons. Sometimes, we never know the reason, but in this case, some seem to think they know KC failed because "He wasn't ready." Maybe they are right: maybe not. Nobody really knows. They called Dobbins up with a 5.09 ERA with Woo. Was he ready? Oh, I guess so, since he did well. Is it really as simple as hindsight evaluation?
  20. Our 2B has been so far from perfect, it's pathetic. Of the 24 players that have 30+ PAs at 2B, only 7 have an fWAR at 0.2 or better. 2.5 Story in just 94 games 2.1 Kike in 72 games 1.8 Holt 112 1.6 Arroyo 151 0.5 Iggy in 16 gms & Chavis in 68 0.4 Romy 40 We have had 13 players with -0.2 or worse. 3 were between -0.1 and +0.1
  21. One interesting tidbit on Romy's splits in 2025: .698 v R (104 PAs, almost equal sample size as v R) 1.081 v L (108 PAs) However, he has started 18 games vs RHPs and 28 vs LHPs, and here are the splits on those games started: v R .892 v L .889 Almost identical! Should we try him FT?
  22. The Sox are tied for 5th in ERA-. No AL team, ahead of us, has a better ERA-. We are at 88 and HOU is at 94, DET 96 & TOR 105. Rotation: 91 DET 94 BOS 96 NYY 97 HOU 102 SEA 109 TOR Pen: 79 BOS 88 HOU 95 SEA 100 TOR 103 DET 105 NYY If these numbers stay relatively even, our chances look very good. On offense: wRC+ 115 NYY .776 OPS (1st in MLB) 114 TOR .769 OPS (3rd in MLB) 109 SEA .730 (13th) 107 DET .742 (9th) 105 BOS .756 (6th but has Fenway helping) 104 HOU .731 (11th) On paper, our pitching looks the best or top 3, and our batting looks to be near the worst of the top 5-6 teams contending for the AL playoffs, We are 3rd best by OPS in the AL. We rank 3rd in the AL in everyday player fWAR: 25 TOR 24 NYY 20 BOS 19 DET 18 SEA 17 HOU Pitching fWAR, we still look top 3, if we don't count TEX & KCR as contenders: 16 HOU 15 TEX 14 KCR & MIN 13 BOS 11 DET 10 NYY & SEA
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