moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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Yes, my bad.
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I don't mind crazy swinga as much as most, as long as he ends up over .830, like he did for 3 years in a row. (Actually, I wouldn't mind .750 all that much and think he's still a net plus at .650.) Since we'd essentially be replacing JBJ with Moreland/Nunez, we don't gain any "team control: years by trading JBJ.
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We'd not really be adding beni to the line-up, so the 40-50 point increase in CF BA is not the true comp. The real offensive comp would be to whom JBJ was replaced by. My guess is Moreland would play 1B, HRam DH and JD LF. That means whoever was going to be on the bench out of HRam/Moreland would be the guy getting more playing time in place of JBJ. It could also be Nunez once Pedey returns. The comp: Defense: JBJ>>Beni CF Beni > JD LF Moreland > HRam at 1B Offense: HRam/Moreland/Nunez >= Then, what plus does who we get for JBJ bring to another area of the team?
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I think this one may have the most impact: Chris Sale and David Price looked at each other and smiled when Cora first suggested they do less work between starts and slow down their spring training build-ups to be more rested later in the year. The starting pitchers loved the routine so much that the relievers eventually began scaling back too. It’s a gamble to mess with the routines of veteran Cy Young contenders, but so far so good.
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He's not. I just listed all current Sox players with 10+ PAs.
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I have written about trading JBJ. For example, I mentioned trading him for a healthy Salazar (I know- oxymoron). The plus we gain in the rotation could off set the loss in CF defense. If Moreland can hit better than JBJ, then we might gain or stay even on offense and make JD happy by playing the OF. As soon as JD hurts his foot running into the wall, all hell would break out on this forum.
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It's a puny sample size, but his total OF one is not that small. If you are arguing beni might be close to as good as JBJ on defense in CF after 3 months, I think it's you that has to provide some evidence. I seriously doubt he can.
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I don't doubt they worry about JBJ's slumps. My point was that his ST'ing slump probably did not significantly increase that "worry."
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+0.3 career OF UZR/150, but -0.6 in CF compared to JBJ's +9.7 (+8.5 in CF) is more than a significant disparity.
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The $13M differential would have put us over the max penalty limit. We could take away $4M for Holt and Leon, but that last $6M is hard to find (no Nunez?).
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Certainly not defensively, but the down grade in LF defense would be significant from Beni to JD. (1B would improve from HRam to Moreland/Travis)
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Isn't 2/16 pretty close to 15/162?
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Thanks. Good read. I don't disagree with anything. That doesn't happen often.
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I'm not a huge fan on thinking ST'ing numbers are indicators of what is to come, but here are some interesting factoids: Catcher OPS: 1.058 Vaz (38 ABs) .771 Swihart (66) .833 Leon (30) Top OPS 1.236 Beni (46) Ready for a bust out season? 1.058 Vaz (38) Maybe last year's offensive surge was not a fluke. 1.042 Betts (52) We sure could use the "old" Betts in 2018! .961 Bogey (47) Hopefully, this is a sign he's over the wrist issues. .948 Sam Travis (63) Maybe we've found that in-house boost we need. .946 Devers (50) Could this be a very special year for the kid? .846 Moreland (45) I'd like nothing more than for Mitch to prove me wrong. Walden (0.64 in 14 IP) and Poyner (0.87 in 10 IP) earned their slots on the 25 man, but what about Haley? He pitched 17 innings with a 2.12 ERA. Nice to see Johnson looking good: 2-0 1.72 (0.83 WHIP) I'd love for Price to keep this up for 32 starts: 3-0 2.25 (0.85 WHIP)
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Sox vs opening day starter Chris Archer (RHP): PAs Player OPS 54 Pedey .703 39 Betts 1.352 34 Bogey .653 31 JBJ .544 26 Holt .500 25 HRam .773 18 JMart .748 13 Moreland .748 11 Beni 1.145 Chris Sale vs TBR last year: 4-1 2.66 (.564 OPS against/0.885 WHIP)) At TB 1-1 3.48 (.637 OPS against/0.919 WHIP)
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Yes, this year, even with 7 guys on the DL, we maybe had 20 guys with their jobs pretty much safe: 18 Locks: Sale, Price, Porcello, Kimbrel, Smtih, Kelly, Barnes, Hembree (out of options) Vaz, HRam, Moreland, Nunez, Bogey, Devers, Beni, JBJ, Betts, JD 2 Close to Lock: Johnson, Leon 5 Had to earn their slot: Swihart, Holt,, Velazquez, Poyner & Walden Had ERod, Pom, Thornburg, Wright and Pedey all been healthy, we might have just had one or two slots open: Leon vs Swihart Wright vs Johnson Holt, Walden and Poyner would be in AAA. Johnso or Wright would be traded or phantom DL'd. Leon or Swihart- the same.
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Except maybe for players who are seasoned vets with a history of slow ST'ing but good seasons. Even someone like JBJ. He slumps often in the regular season. I'm sure that's always been a concern to management. I'm not sure there any more concerned now, after a slow spring.
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Sox vs opening day starter Chris Archer (RHP): PAs Player OPS 54 Pedey .703 39 Betts 1.352 34 Bogey .653 31 JBJ .544 26 Holt .500 25 HRam .773 18 JMart .748 13 Moreland .748 11 Beni 1.145 Chris Sale vs TBR last year: 4-1 2.66 (.564 OPS against/0.885 WHIP)) At TB 1-1 3.48 (.637 OPS against/0.919 WHIP)
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Speaking of pens, here's a list of Sox pitchers likely to see some time in the Sox pen this season: Kimbrel Smith Thronburg (DL) Kelly Barnes Hembree Poyner Walden Workman Scott Maddox (DL) Elias Starters perhaps used in the pen: Wright/Johnson/Velazquez/Beeks/Haley/Sheperd Maybe... Buttrey Martin Layne Jerez (DL)
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Theo was left a pretty decent base as well.
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Maybe they'll end up being as good as Kelly.
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On the flip side, it often felt like JF would sit players just as they were showing signs of heating up. No data to back that up- just a feeling I got often.
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I thought I remember him saying something about putting your best hitters where you want them and not by lefty-righty, and that he was not big on platoons and pseudo platoons. I could be wrong.
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Kind of hard to pinpoint thate exact time a slump is starting (or will continue). I'm not against the idea, but let's see how it works out.
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Not yet, but...
