moonslav59

Okay. Some prefer using numbers to support their positions- some don't. Fine all around.

Steamer projects... 3.6 Yamamoto (Crochet 5.6) 3.5 Snell (Gray 3.9) 3.1 Glasnow (Bello 2.0) 2.8 Ohtani (Sandoval 1.7) 1.8 Sheehan (Crawford 1.1) 1.7 Sasaki (Early 1.1, Tolle 0.9, Harrison 0.6, Dobbins 0.2))

soxprospects.com projects this Greenville rotation: WOW! Valera, Fajardo, Witherspoon, Phillips, Eyanson, Aita POR: Rogers, Wehunt, Rivera, Holobetz, Paez, Dean (Meh) WOO: Tolle, Early, Dobbins, Uberstine, Perales, Drohan, Anderson (Nice) The Ridge Yaks: Travieso, J Bello, Finley, Patton, Brown, Morgan (interesting & promising)

It's a way of distinguishing how good your rotation is. You may think it's "overthinking," but others see it as simplifying how we compare one staff to another or one starter to another with just 5 simple numbers rather than a mix of several other numbers. The Sox might have one #1, two #3's, two #4's and four #5's. The Yanks might have one #1, three #3's and 3 number 5's. The Jays might have ... Nobody "has to assign a number," but people do it all the time, but by using EAR, fWAR, ERA-/ERA+ or other stats, metrics or combinations of things.

I've always felt it is a losing strategy to try and upgrade your 4 or 5 SP'er. It's not a bad idea to add starter depth, but the best plan is to upgrade at the 1 or 2 slot, maybe 3 slot, if that is the best you can do. That pushes your current 2 to the 3, the 3 to the 4 and the 5 to depth. In a sense, it upgrades 3-4 slots with one add. In reality, it's just one guy, and you have 5 starters who all start 31-33 games, if heathy and not demoted, so it is just 1, and your 1 starts as much as your 4. The #2 guy in the playoffs is a good way to look at it, but our #2 might be another team's #1 or #5, so in the context of the whole league, categorizing pitchers as 1,2,3,4,5 is always complex. As a general rule, I like to say the 30 best pitchers are #s, the next 30 are #2s and so on, but what stats to use and what time frame to use complicates that process, too. To me, we have this right now: 1. Crochet (top 5 of 30) 3. Gray (looks like a 2 in many areas) 3. Bello (looks like a 2 in some areas) 4. Sandoval (health concerns) 5. Crawford (health) Dobbins (inexperience) Harrison (inexperience) 7-8. Criswell Unknown: Tolle, Early, Perales AAAA depth: Uberstine & Drohan

I'm a big Rafaela fan, as you know, but if we add very little to the offense, I'm leaning towards your position. We could trade Rafaela (6.3 AAV) plus others for K Marte (19.5 AAV.) Maybe Campbell (7.5) plus Rafaela (6.3) which adds about $5M to the budget, fixes 2B and clears the OF logjam. (Garcia could be the 4th OF'er along with Masa as emergency depth- or bring back Ref for a year.) With nothing else, we'd have this... 1. L Anthony LF/CF 2. S K Marte 2B 3. R Duran CF/LF 4. L Abreu RF/ Refsnyder RF 5. L Masa DH/ Romy DH 6. R Story SS 7. L Casas 1B 8. L Mayer 3B/ Romy 3B 9. R Narvaez C 8.

There are still the conference championship games to go, but here is how it looks right now... Here are the latest CFP top 25 rankings. Ohio State: 12-0 Indiana: 12-0 Georgia: 11-1 Texas Tech: 11-1 Oregon: 11-1 Ole Miss: 11-1 Texas A&M: 11-1 Oklahoma: 10-2 Alabama: 10-2 Notre Dame: 10-2 BYU: 11-1 Miami (Fla.): 10-2 Texas: 9-3 Vanderbilt: 10-2 Utah: 10-2 USC: 9-3 Virginia: 10-2 (would be fourth highest-ranked conference champion) Arizona: 9-3 Michigan: 9-3 Tulane: 10-2 (would be fifth highest-ranked conference champion) Houston: 9-3 Georgia Tech: 9-3 Iowa: 8-4 North Texas: 11-1 James Madison: 11-1 No. 12 fifth-highest ranked conference champion at No. 5 Oregon Winner vs. No. 4 Texas Tech in the quarterfinals No. 9 Alabama at No. 8 Oklahoma Winner vs. No. 1 Ohio State in the quarterfinals No. 11 fourth highest-ranked conference champion at No. 6 Ole Miss Winner vs. No. 3 Georgia in the quarterfinals No. 10 Notre Dame at No. 7 Texas A&M Winner vs. No. 2 Indiana in the quarterfinals If Duke wins, they should not be in. If BYU wins, maybe ND or Ole Miss is booted out. Will ALA be bounced with a loss? No Texas Or James Madison?

Agreed, and it all comes down to greed.

Has Wacha's name been floated about?

The Jays are losing Bassitt, so I'm not sure their rotation will be as great as some think. Guasman will be 35. Berrios 32 in May and Lauer 31 in June. They still have some holes, as do all teams.

I doubt it, but they seem like they see the open window and are going for it. Bichette will want a long deal, so maybe they go shorter with a deal like Polanco or Suarez.

It's hard to know what AZ would demand, but you know they will want Tolle and or Early. I'd try to find a way to make the deal happen without one of them. If they want Duran or Campbell, I'd start there. I'd try to push Crawford, Dobbins, Perales or Harrison over Early/Tolle/Valera/Fajardo, but we might have to add a third piece to get them to agree: maybe Arias, Garcia, Phillips... (I doubt Sandlin, Romero or Mullins moves the needle enough.)

YES! I'd rather hear nothing than lies and deceptions.

KMarte would be a great get, and his AAV is way lower than a FA will be, which might give us the chance at signing one with the KMarte ($19.5AAV) salary added. If we include Duran (7.7) and or Campbell (7.5) the salary hit would be lessened. I'm not sure we could afford Marte + Alonso, but maybe KMarte + Okamoto,Iami or Suarez.

Maybe a nickel!

His injury issues are very concerning, but man, the guy can pitch, when healthy!

EV put up some very nice numbers on the farm, but many in HOU felt Abreu was better.

TOR is pouncing.

BR has OPSA buried on the splits page, and fangraphs doesn't list it anywhere. If we use it so much to place value on batter, it makes sense that the same stat would be good for placing value on pitchers. It's also good for SP'ers and RP'ers where ERA drops the ball w RP'er, and SP'ers are charged with ERs that RP'ers allow to score after they leave. Here are a few selected OPSA for 2025: .387 Chapman .522 Early .530 Guerrero (almost as many PAs faced as Early) .543 Whitlock .569 Bernardino (obviously OPSA means little to Brez) .580 Slaten .598 Murphy (See Guerrero & the Bernardino comment) .617 Crochet .622 Wink .647 Weissert .669 Bello .685 Giolito .697 Wilson, .706 Harrison, .713 Dobbins .779 Fitts, .809 Criswell, .812 Moran .823 Buehler, .890 Tolle, .920 Houck .949 Hicks ________________ Available/ Maybe Available? Peralta .603 (.693 in '24) P Lopez .622 (.705 in '24) Bubic .626 (.609 in '24) Sale .627 (.588 in '24) M Kelly .661 (.720 in '24) Ryan .666 (.657 in '24) Valdez .667 (.610 in '24) Lodolo .672 (.696 in '24) R Suarez .679 (.678 in '24) M King .696 (.642 in '24) L Castillo .699 (.705) M Keller .715 (.767) Singer .718 (.721) Gray .726 (.677 in '24) Gore .728 (.736 in '24)

I rubbed my eyes on that headline.

Shoulder hanging by a thread.

I was trying not to ruin everyone's day.

I was responding to someone naming those two. I've already gone through the lost 830+ PAs from Devers and Bregman plus some by Lowe & Ref that were on the plus side. Anthony had 300 PAs in 2025, so maybe he can get 300-350 more in '25. We need to replace about 1150 from Devers, Bregman, Ref & Lowe. Let's give 350 to Anthony. That leaves 800 for Mayer & Casas to hit over .800 in. I'm not buying it. If they give us anything plus, maybe it will be enough to put us over the top. I'd rather see them in that light. For now, we need to replace those 800 PAs with at least one mega bat or two decent ones.

Okamoto might be the guy we get, as his cost will be lower than Bregman, Alonso and many others.

But hey.... we got Joe Kelly!!!!