moonslav59

Final 2018 Splits vs RHPs (100+ PAs unless noted) 1.051 JD 1.037 Betts .923 Lin (56) .901 Bogey .877 Beni .825 Pearce (37) .788 Holt .780 Moreland .768 JBJ .748 Swihart .691 Nunez .527 Leon .518 Vaz vs LHPs (60+ PAs unless noted) 1.207 Betts 1.018 Pearce .966 JD .809 Bogey .718 Holt .694 Beni .684 Moreland .641 Nunez .619 Devers .603 Vaz .562 JBJ .466 Leon .319 Swihart .180 Lin (17) You can see why Pearce looks so important. he was one of only 4 Sox hitters over .718 vs LHPs.

My choice (likely not Cora's) vs RHPs 1. Betts RF 2. Beni LF 3. Bogey SS 4. JD DH 5. Devers 3B 6. Moreland 1B 7. Nunez/Holt/Pedey 2B 8. JBJ CF 9. Vaz/Leon C vs LHPs 1. Betts RF 2. Beni LF 3. Pearce 1B 4. JD DH 5. Bogey SS 6. Devers 3B 7. Nunez/Holt/Devers 2B 8. Vaz/Leon C 9. JBJ CF 13th everyday player: Swihart or Lin (Quiroz/Hernandez/Chavis/Ockimey/Travis)

Yes, I went back and adjusted $1M off the books.

Does Pearce's signing now prevent someone else's?

The lowest salary on MLBTR's projections was $6M/1, and Pearce did not even make the list, so this does not look like an overpay. It's the years that surprised me.

Updated for Pearce signing (and Smith FDA)... Here's how 2019 looks with MLBTR's arb estimates included: In Luxury Tax Dollars 31.1 David Price 22.0 JD Martinez 20.1 Rick Porcello 18.7 Mookie Betts 13.8 Dustin Pedroia 13.5M Chris Sale 11.9 Xander Bogaerts 7.9 Jackie Bradley Jr. 6.5 Mitch Moreland 6.3 Steve Pearce 5.0 Eduardo Nunez (with PA bonus reached) 4.8 Eduardo Rodriguez 4.5 Christian Vazquez 3.4 Brock Holt 2.3 Tyler Thornburg 2.3 Sandy Leon 1.5 Matt Barnes 1.4 Brandon Workman 1.4 Steven Wright 1.2 Heath Hembree 1.1 Blake Swihart $177M Total (21 players) $2.2M Min for 4 MLB roster players $2.2M 15 players in minor leagues on 40 man roster $14.5M Player Benefits $18.5M Sandoval $214M Total

Not so fast! Trade Moreland! (LOL)

Wow! One year! Excellent!

He's had some great numbers, but his BB/9 scares me, and I'm not sure about a lefty closer in Fenway. The GB rate is nice, but he's K'ing way less (than 2015-16) and may be in the process of reinventing himself and a non-K guy.

I live just outside of Houston. Many here have seen a significant drop off. His K rate is down from 8.4 to 6.7 over 3 years. His WHIP has been over 1.285 in 2 of the last 3 years. Outstanding bulk? He's been under 170 IP in 2 of the last 3 years. That's not anything like Porcello. 2016-2018 Porcello has 100 more IP ERA- 89 to 92 WHIP 1.19 to 1.25

I was glad the Yanks got him at the deadline. He'll still be too costly for my liking. If he'll take a one year deal, I'm listening.

He's still better (eyes closed) than Devers at 3B.

Cause nobody should want that train wreck back.

Who is moving to 1B? Devers? For just one year of Donaldson? Pearce makes the most sense, if we go that route. Kikuchi would give us a low AVV and possibly 5-6 years, but he's a lefty. For RP'ers that could be a closer and won't cost as much as Kimbrel: Familia Ottavino Herrera Cody Allen (might take a 1 year deal) I'd stay away from Britton, Robertson and maybe Miller (health?)

I feel Keuchel will, so I'm glad we aren't in on a lefty.

Yes, the O's traded him, and Ben signed him that winter.

I think we go after Eovaldi first and Morton may be our fall back. I wouldn't sign Ryu to more than 2 years, and only then, if we can't sign Eovaldi or Morton. I could also see us not signing a starter and hoping we can score another Eovaldi-type next summer, then use all (most) our resources on the pen.

If we don't add a closer, I'll be surprised, but DD may acquire two solid set-up men to add to the mix fighting for (or sharing) the closer role. We got Uehara this way.

It might be Chavis' time to show what he's got. If he doesn't work out, finding a 1Bman mid-season is one of the easiest positions to fill.

Yes, good add. To me, this is what makes the Porcello deal look good: Pay Lester: $95M/4 & still owed $60M/3 at ages 35-37. Porcello: $74M/4 & still owed $21M/1 at age 30.

I'm sure DD is well aware that there are a lot of good players out there to be plucked via signing or trading, not just Eovaldi, Kelly and Pearce. It wouldn't surprise me, if we don't bring any of those three back but still get some fine talent to fill our biggest needs. Of all the needs we have, DD will likely choose 1-2 to wait it out and see if an in-house solution can be found, and if not, leave enough budget space to go out and get a couple players we need mid-summer. He's done a great job on those types of deals. Here's a look at our in-house solutions to some key need areas this winter: Starting Pitcher: Sale, Price, Porcello & ERod are locks Johnson Velazquez Wright (had surgery) Cuevas Walden Shawaryn Shepherd (D Hernandez AA) Relief Pitchers: Barnes, Brasier, Hembree, Workman are probably locks Thornburg Poyner (Johnson/Velazquez/Wright) Scott Walden Lakins (Feltman AA) Maddox 1B (platoon) Moreland is a lock Swihart (Holt can play 1B in a pinch) Chavis (move to 1B?) Ockimey Travis 2B Pedey (big question mark) Holt Nunez (Knee needs to improve to play 2B) Lin Quiroz M Hernandez (injury history) To me, DD might let 1b & 2B ride, until mid-season and available spend resources on SP & the pen.

All clubs should seek out similar sponsors! (lmao)

When Mookie smiles all is good.

I knew a girl named Anita Humphrey. I worked with a guy not named Harold Butts, but literally (birth certificate) Harry Butts.

Cost wise, the better comps are probably... Kelly vs Pearce Eovaldi vs Keuchel or Morton