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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    Personally, I'm guessing we want to avoid any big deals longer than 2 years, so that would mean no Eovaldi, Kimbrel and probably Kelly. We may go Morton, Cody Allen for 2 and maybe Miller takes a 1 year deal looking to up his value.
  2. moonslav59
    The luxury tax only affects about 6-8 teams, and it seems like those 6-8 just try to reset every 3-4 years,so it's not a big issue in terms of the limit. The mega taxes on the 3rd year is what gets teams wanting to reset.
  3. moonslav59
    I get your point, but our talent is not cheap. We have a solid 25
  4. moonslav59
    That's why every other excuse was a smoke screen. It was always about the money. Hram>Swihart
  5. moonslav59
    Pretty amazing that we've dropped these contracts and are still over the luxury tax limit after signing Pearce (and projected arb raises): $22M HRam $13M Kimbrel $11M Kinsler (We did not pay most of this.) $8.5M Pomeranz $3.8M Joe Kelly $2.0M Eovaldi (We did not pay most of this.) $0.7M Phillips $61M gone (maybe $58M from our 2018 budget)
  6. moonslav59
    Unless Henry is okay with spending big this winter, I doubt we touch 2B. We have too many options to try first, and we can look mid season, if none work out. Pedroia Holt Nunez Lin M Hernandez Quiroz
  7. moonslav59
    Yes, but $11M x 2 vs $6M x 1 makes me cringe.
  8. moonslav59
    Top Free Agent RH'd Starters Ranked by MLBTR (overall ranking listed & projected salary) 7. Nathan Eovaldi ($60M/4) 14. Charlie Morton ($32M/2) 28. Anibal Sanchez ($22M/2) 29. Matt Harvey ($22M/2) 30. Trevor Cahill ($22M/2) 36. Lance Lynn ($16M/2) 40. Bud Norris ($12M/2) 49. Ervin Santana ($6M/1)
  9. moonslav59
    2018 Pitching Splits OPS Against vs RHBs .313 Brasier .508 Kimbrel .610 Barnes .703 Kelly .798 Walden .725 Workman .847 Hembree .882 Poyner .918 Smith .947 Pom .972 Thornburg .555 Sale .630 Wright .636 Eovaldi .672 Porcello .679 ERod .695 Price .734 Velazquez .810 Johnson vs LHBs .200 Smith .420 Poyner .551 Hembree .610 Walden .610 Kelly .631 Kimbrel .643 Barnes .647 Brasier .670 Workman .800 Thornburg .424 Sale .665 Johnson .670 Wright .672 Price .691 ERod .705 Pom .727 Porcello .733 Eovaldi .806 Velazquez
  10. moonslav59
    I said two. I never said a lot of support. You can tell it's getting boring, when these kinds of issues get beat to death.
  11. moonslav59
    I'm hoping for Alabama to win, for maybe the first time ever, just so they won't move down to 3rd and ND would have to play them first round. USC won't be easy in SoCal, but we looked pretty sharp today against a very good Syracuse team. We've had some easy games, but we beat... #4 Michigan #12 Syracuse (who will drop now) #22 N'western (who should move up a little) Va Tech, Stanford and Wake are pretty decent and were ranked at some point this year.
  12. moonslav59
    let's move JD to catcher and maximize our offense.
  13. moonslav59
    Well, it's been brought up like 20 times, and someone always agrees with the idea, so there's at least two of them.
  14. moonslav59
    You'll be wishing him luck, then.
  15. moonslav59
    IMO, other options provide better chances of contribution, but I'm fine wil as many minor league deals we can get, as long as they don't retard the growth of legitimate prospects.
  16. moonslav59
    I think they just want to see the best line-up possible- damn the defense.
  17. moonslav59
    Plus!
  18. moonslav59
    I'm okay with offering him a minor league deal. I just think someone offers him a ML deal with incentives. I'm not sure anyone is dead set against a minor league deal, but counting on him for anything is foolish.
  19. moonslav59
    All it takes is for the patient to wave confidentiality, and that is what appears to have happened, since it is in Eovaldi's interest that GMs know more about his arm (since the news is good).
  20. moonslav59
    My guess is the Sox have a pretty good idea what Eovaldi's arm looks like right now. They could be wrong. It wouldn't be the first time, but if we are going hard for him, like it appears we are, I'm pretty certain they have confidence his arm is fine. Certainly, I worry more about Eovaldi's arm (with 2 TJ surgeries) than say, Porcello's, but I'm trusting DD and his crew on what they see. If we don't get Eovaldi, we'll probably get someone else with a good outlook.
  21. moonslav59
    Yes, they are separate but related. You can't save the tax without cutting the salary, and both end up saving Henry loads of cash the year he cuts $40M in salary and saves $20M in taxes. The added bonus is the taxes he saves over the next 2 years until he reaches the 50% tax rate again in year 3. If cutting $40M in salary for just one year saves about $40M over 3 years, it's a plan that certainly is being seriously considered by Henry at some point around 2021 or 2022.
  22. moonslav59
    A new DH would cost money and prevent money from being spent of pitching, in theory. I'm not sure Chavis or Swihart at DH would outhit Holt/Nunez at 2B.
  23. moonslav59
    I hope we re-sign Eovaldi, but I'm on record as saying I don't go 4 years. Even 3 years bumps into my projected 2021 re-set season. I'm worried about his age and health, but Buch is a train wreck. I don't see a comp.
  24. moonslav59
    It was pretty telling that Kinsler kept starting, even when Devers returned and Kinsler slumped. It makes you wonder how much confidence DD has in Holt/Nunez/Pedey/Quiroz/Hernandez/Lin going into 2019. I think DD waits it out, and if needed, he'll get the next Kinsler in July.
  25. moonslav59
    ...and a lot depends on how DD and his crew view the projected value of Chavis. For all we know, they may like Dalbec & Ockimey better or the same. They may think none have a good chance. They may think 3 have a good chance. This is what will determine the choice of trading one of them and not our ideas of how good these kids are.
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