Jump to content
Click here to check out our updated free agents rankings, now up to 150 players and sortable by position! ×
Talk Sox
  • Create Account

moonslav59

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    109,029

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    164

 Content Type 

Profiles

Boston Red Sox Videos

2026 Boston Red Sox Top Prospect Rankings

Boston Red Sox Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Boston Red Sox Fan Guides & Resources

2025 Boston Red Sox Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Boston Red Sox News, Rumors & Analysis

2026 Boston Red Sox Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    I think NO. The rotation and pen are very weak and there is no youth infusion on the horizon, except for maybe, and I stress the word maybe, Feltman. I also think keeping JD might mean saying good bye to Betts the following year, so signing guys for 2020 has to have 2021 and beyond in mind as well. (As I have said, 2021 looks like the cliff year to me, as i doubt we reset after 2019.) No Sale (the best starter we've had sine Pedro) No Porcello (the rock of our staff) No Kimbrel (the best closer in the last 6 years) No Kelly, Holt, Thornburg, Kinsler. No rings.
  2. moonslav59
    I think we'd all like to have Eovaldi & Kimbrel back, and I'm not saying the closer is not important, but if I had to choose, I'll take 150-200 IP from Eovaldi over 60-65 from Kimbrel. He's cheaper, too.
  3. moonslav59
    What makes you think we don't think about a drop off in our closer position? I do. I also know I was scared shitless the last few times Kimbrel came into a game.
  4. moonslav59
    It’s not a slavish devotion to Jamesian philosophy as much as it is a strong belief that Henry isn’t going to ignore economic realities, which he has shown in the very recent past he does not like to do. Not to mention the revised history that the Sox have ever gone into a season thinking “any schmuck can close” and been proven wrong. (The 2003 closer-by-committee experiment actually provided good results in ninth inning situations with only 3 lost leads in the ninth in a 54 game stretch, resulting in 2 losses). The 2013 season turned into a closer by committee out of injuries, and we all know how that one ended up. Hanrahan got injured early. Bailey sucked and got hurt. Tazawa got 8 save opporunities. There was talk of making Aceves the closer, but he sucked, too. Uehara became perhaps the best closer we ever had for a year or two.
  5. moonslav59
    Sox recent payrolls $156M 2014 $184M 2015 $198M 2016 $197M 2017 $234M 2018 I may be wrong, but I see 2018 as an outlier and not as a continuing trend to blow past the max penalty line and stay there for the remainder of a 4-5 year Kimbrel contract.
  6. moonslav59
    1. "Reasonable cost" is likely $18M x 5 years. We can afford that this year, but forget about Eovaldi, then. The real problem comes when we let Bogey or betts go, because we are paying Kimbrel. 2. Kimbrel is not a sure bet closer going forward, especially with a 4-5 year contract. Foulke gave us one year and then aged out (injury). 3. Yes, it's choice, but it is an either or choice that is no as simple as one isolated decision. We do have an ABSOLUTE NEED to create a hole somewhere, if not this year, then more holes for later.
  7. moonslav59
    Many felt like Bailey or Hanrahan was the answer. It turned out to be Uehara. Was that "going cheap?"
  8. moonslav59
    Foulke gave us one great year, then he sucked. Papelbon was a converted starter that worked like charm. Uehara was signed as a set guy. Kimbrel cost 4 prospects and a hefty salary (at the time). How do you "rinse and repeat" that? What's your plan?
  9. moonslav59
    Familia is a good pitcher. If Henry is is going to spend $250M this year and into the future, then sure, sign Kimbrel & Eovaldi. Hell, why stop there? Let's sign Harper and trade JBJ for another pitcher! We aren't signing Kimbrel and Eovaldi, so we better look at other options, lesser or "discount" out of necessity.
  10. moonslav59
    This from MLBTR on the Sox 2019 budget... ...The Red Sox will try to minimize their tax bill and ensure that they avoid hitting the $246 million threshold at which point their top draft pick is dropped 10 spots. It seems overwhelmingly likely that they will incur the 12 percent surtax for exceeding $226 million in luxury tax payroll, but, again, I expect that they will avoid the 42.5 percent surtax for exceeding $246 million in luxury tax payroll. Provided that they plan to leave a little space for in-season acquisitions, let’s peg them at a spending level that enables the club to replace Craig Kimbrel at the back of the bullpen without breaking the bank. Projected 2019 Payroll: $230 million cash ($232 million luxury tax) Projected 2019 Payroll Space: $15.8 million Read the full article here: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2018/11/red-sox-payroll-2019.html
  11. moonslav59
    Plus, Kela has closing experience- for what that's worth.
  12. moonslav59
    I'm thinking Familia or Ottavino might be better fits.
  13. moonslav59
    So true. You win by having good players. Good players get paid a lot and get raises. It's nearly impossible to keep all the good players without eventually spending through the roof. A team need periodic, low-cost youth infusion. The team we have now had those infusions 2-5 years ago in Betts, Bogey, JBJ, Barnes, Beni, Devers and others. Who is going to be our next Beni or Devers? Is anyone close to their skill level and close to ML ready right now? Filling key roles with players like Chavis, Shawaryn, Lakins and Lin is not likely going to lead to the same results as the infusion mentioned above.
  14. moonslav59
    Others might include... Keone Kela TX Joe Jimenez DET Amir Garrett CIN Drew Steckkender MIA
  15. moonslav59
    There is a players only meeting where all this is decided before the playoffs begin.
  16. moonslav59
    Eovaldi, Kimbrel and Kelly need to be replaced or re-signed. Guys like Johnson or Velazquez might have to be traded to fill some of those open slots.
  17. moonslav59
    Cots has us estimated at $18.5M over the luxury tax after arb signings. If we sign Eovaldi to $15M per year, we'll be just $6.5M under the $40M line. We still need pen help and may want some money for summer pick-ups. It only gets scarier in 2020 and 2021, despite losing Pablo's contract.
  18. moonslav59
    Projected arb costs for 2019: >(Projections for 2020) $19.5M Betts (2nd or 3 arbs)> $26M (3 of 3) $11.25M Bogey (3 of 3) Free Agent $8.75M JBJ (3 of 4)> $11M (4 of 4) $4.25M ERod (2 of 4)> $8M (3 of 4) $3.5M Holt (3 of 3) Free Agent $3.25M Barnes (1 of 3)> $5.5M (2 of 3) $3M Leon (3 of 4)> $3.5M (4 of 4) $3M Wright (2 of 3)> $5M (3 of 3) $2.75M Thornburg (3 of 3)> Free Agent $1.25M Hembree (1 of 3)> $3M (2 of 3) $975K Workman (2 of 3)> $1.5M (3 of 3) $950K Swihart (1 of 4)> $1.25M (2 of 4) First arb in 2020: Beni >$4M (1 of 3) Marco Hernandez> $900K (1 of 3)
  19. moonslav59
    Projected arb costs for 2019: $19.5M Betts (2nd or 3 arbs) $11.25M Bogey (3 of 3) $8.75M JBJ (3 of 4) $4.25M ERod (2 of 4) $3.5M Holt (3 of 3) $3.25M Barnes (1 of 3) $3M Leon (3 of 4) $3M Wright (2 of 3) $2.75M Thornburg (3 of 3) $1.25M Hembree (1 of 3) $975K Workman (2 of 3) $950K Swihart (1 of 4) First arb in 2020: Beni & marco Hernandez First arb in 2021: Devers, Brasier, R Scott
  20. moonslav59
    Here are some names... https://www.minorleagueball.com/2018/11/24/18109863/here-are-9-intriguing-milb-prospects-left-unprotected-heading-into-the-mlb-rule-5-draft
  21. moonslav59
    Coaches almost always get full shares. The Yankees gave way less shares than the Sox this year. They released who got theirs (and who did not).
  22. moonslav59
    Yes, and Velazquez still has 2 options remaining. If everyone is healthy, and we pick up a couple pitchers this winter, Velazquez might start in AAA, no matter how well he does in ST'ing.
  23. moonslav59
    You'd think you should be able to be at least a decent contender spending one dollar below the luxury tax limit, no matter what, right? However, if you have 5 guys making $110M and you add $15M for the players' benefits, there's not a whole lot left to fill the other 20 slots on the roster, assuming the team goes under the luxury line for one season.
  24. moonslav59
    I hate Oklahoma & Ohio St. Who makes it, if Georgia, Oklahoma and Ohio St all lose? I can't see UCF, Michigan or Texas making it.
  25. moonslav59
    True. Probably, we'd offer either one and let them pick.
×
×
  • Create New...