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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    Last 1.5 seasons (817 PAs): .229 23 86 .312/.377/.689
  2. moonslav59
    That's almost as bad as his first 530 PAs in MLB 92013-2014) .196 (.268/.280/.548) 4 HRs 40 RBI
  3. moonslav59
    Plus, if they ever traded him, it would not be for a big contract exchange. It would be for top prospects, for which we have none.
  4. moonslav59
    A question about the playoffs. If the Red Sox win the wild card and win the wild card game, do they go on to play the team with the best record in the next round? Or, does the best record play the worst record in the first round regardless of whether the worst team is the wild card winner or division winner? Sadly, the WC play-in winner faces the team with the best record no matter what division they are in. This does not seem fair to the top division winner, if they have to face the second best team in the divisional playoff round.
  5. moonslav59
    There's also a chance Pom regains his form and wins the 4 slot. Really though, how many teams have 3 guys like Price, Wright and Pom, to fight it out for the 4 slot. This is not a weak spot. yes, the Astros have a better #4. yes, the Yankees will likely trade for a decent #3, but they still lack a good #4 right now. Severino (#1 in ERA- at 47) Sabathia (#19 in ERA- at 72) S Gray (#84 in ERA- at 130!) Let's look at just the AL and widen the sample to size to 73 SP'ers with 40+ IP, so far this season: ERA- 1. Severino 47 2. Verlander 53 4. Sale 56 7. Cole 62 8. Morton 64 11. Sabathia 72 18. Porcello 84 23. McCullers 89 31. ERod 96 39. Price 100 46. Keuchel 105 52. Tanaka 110 63. Gray130 66. German 141 If any of the top 3 teams have an issue with starter depth, it's the Yanks- not us.
  6. moonslav59
    While every player has "bad luck" stretches, you are right, it is not an excuse. The fact that JBJ's bad luck stretch fell during a stretch of severe struggles at the plate just made it worse. Even, if he had some better luck, he'd still be at about .220/.650. Who knows why this pattern seems to repeat itself every year. If it was easy to answer, maybe it could be solved. I also feel like his hot and cold streak have been somewhat exaggerated. Iknow some of his hot streaks were straddling 2 months, making both months look normal, but these numbers do not lie: Months that JBJ's monthly OPS since Aug 2015 was... 3- 1.000+ 0- .840 to .999 5- .770 to .839 3- .677 to .736 5- .596 to .651 1-- at .517 8 months over .770 3 months .675 to .770 6 below .651 11 out of 17 months, he's been over .677. It seems like he's had more bad months than this. He actually has had more decent, good and great months than bad ones at almost a 2 to 1 ratio. I believe, this year has seen his longest bad streak since pre-2015.
  7. moonslav59
    Our 6-9 starters will not be starting in the playoffs, and assuming Pom never becomes available, we'll choose 3 or 4 from this group: Sale (8th in ERA- at 56) Porcello (26th in ERA- at 84) ERod (40th in ERA- at 96) Price (46th in ERA- at 100) Too many people are writing off our starters based on 2018, yet we have 4 starters in the top 46. okay, the Astros have 4 in the top 30, but the Yanks have only 2 in the top 83! Even if they trade for a top pitcher, we'll still have more in the top 50.
  8. moonslav59
    I hope to hell no Red Sox management person makes any decision based on one start. There is absolutely no way Price does NOT start a playoff games, unless he's hurt.
  9. moonslav59
    I've been one of JBJ's biggest supporters, and of course, hitting just .200 matters. It matters a lot. Hitting is a big part of a player's value, but it is not everything. Defense and base running add or subtract value. I guess the debate is how much and is it enough to keep JBJ as an overall plus or not. My position on JBJ has been that I think he's still a plus at .200 (.600+ OPS), but he will likely not end up at .200/.600, if past history has anything to do with future outcomes. If he ends up at .200/.600 by season's end, I would not be upset, if we traded him and found a less expensive great defensive CF'er with more offensive upside.
  10. moonslav59
    Chris Davis qualifies and is hitting .155. 7 players have a worse BA than JBJ, plus we all know OBP is more important than BA. JBJ ranks 144th at .290 and has 19 players below him, including Nunez, Longoria, Seager, Pujols, Moncada & Pillar. JBJ's OPS ranks 155 out of 163 at .616.
  11. moonslav59
    I know he's not going anywhere. Maybe the best we can hope for is that he has the surgery and gives us a couple good years after the recovery.
  12. moonslav59
    In the past, I'd agree, but apparently the 3 slot is not for your best hitter. Then again, they say the 2 slot is and neither Betts or JD bat there. If we move JD to 3, we lose the "protection" he gives the 3 slot hitter. I still like Bogey 2nd. I might prefer.... 1) Beni 2) Bogey 3) Betts 4) JD 5) Moreland/Pearce 6) Devers 7) Nunez/Holt 8) Vaz/Leon 9) JBJ
  13. moonslav59
    I'd do it. I'd even throw in a prospect. I'd also look to trade Pom, if he shows he's healthy. With the money saved, maybe we could do more.
  14. moonslav59
    Horrible loss. Now, go kick the Nats ass, and put this behind us.
  15. moonslav59
    He has been unproductive through the halfway point of the season. It's a big concern. I fully expect he won't end up below or even near .200, but at this point, who knows. I'm still glad he's our FT CF'er, but I know he may not be there until his contract expires.
  16. moonslav59
    That's for sure. Hitting was always my downfall in baseball.
  17. moonslav59
    It is frustrating as hell, even to those who really like JBJ. The long slumps hurt him and the team. While his defense keeps him in the line-up, I agree, he may be dealt if his struggles continue this year. The shift really kills him, and that's part of the reason he can hit the ball so hard and still make more outs than it appears he should be making. Not learning to go the other way or to bunt down the 3rd base line is hard to understand, but maybe JBJ is just too rigid to change. I'd love to see him stay in a Sox uniform, even if he stays around .700 every year, but I'm not sure DD sees it that way. The problem is, who knows if he can give us even .700 every year.
  18. moonslav59
    He's got one arb year left, so maybe the option comes in handy, but if he's doing so poorly, we're thinking about sending him back and forth to AAA, I'm not sure what good it does us other than giving us flexible depth in the pen. Hembree, Wright & Pom are out of options.
  19. moonslav59
    Last 30 days by position: .900 LF .883 RF .826 DH .815 3B .814 C .784 SS .750 CF .744 1B .666 2B MLB Catchers in June: .844 TEX .837 CWS .814 BOS .812 CIN .810 ATL .805 SFG #15 .703 #20 .628 #25 .522 #30 .381
  20. moonslav59
    Add Leon to Vaz and our catchers, all of a sudden, are looking like a top 10 offensive catcher tandem. Leon the last 28 days: .258 2 8 (just 31 ABs) .810 OPS
  21. moonslav59
    We all hope JBJ could do some things differently. K less. Go the other way more. Choke up at times. Make more adjustments. Watch some film. Be more consistent. Sometimes I think it seems much easier to say than to do, and asking a player to try an make a major adjustment to his mechanics or approach is a risky thing to do. If a guy is doing so poorly, you think what harm can it do, that's one thing, and JBj has certainly had long enough stretches of deep struggles. I guess what I'm saying is that maybe he is what he is and trying to mess with him could unravel the good in his offense. (Maybe not as well.) Here's a look at JBJs OPS and K rate by month since August 2015: 1.163 26% .739 27% .807 24% 1.175 13% .805 11% .839 18% .651 33% .731 23% .596 25% .808 19% 1.009 18% .596 28% .770 27% .517 23% .600 19% .599 36% .653 23% There is certainly a relationship between his K% and OPS, but there are lots of head-scratching flip-flops.
  22. moonslav59
    I've lost a lot of my hopes for Thornburg but not all of it.
  23. moonslav59
    I'm just glad he's not in AAA, as you suggested he needed.
  24. moonslav59
    I never even hinted at "headliner" value. My beef was over your comment that he had "no value at all." You still have not really disavowed that claim. Some included him as part of a package for headliners, but I never said he was a key value to any big deal. We got Pearce for Espinal. Are you saying Groome doesn't even have that value? I'd say we could get someone better than Pearce for Groome, despite the injury.
  25. moonslav59
    It's time to knock Sevy out of the top leaders in the Cy Young race this year.
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