Here's what's left...
1. Alabama
AUB 11/24
GA (5) 12/1
2. Clemson
So. Car 11/24
Pitt 12/1
3. Notre Dame
USC 11/24
4. Michigan
Ohio St (10) 11/24
5. Georgia
Ga Tech 11/24
ALA (1) 12/1
6. Oklahoma
W VA (9) 11/23
7. LSU
TX A&M 11/24
8. Wash St.
Wash (18) 11/23
9. W VA
OKL(6) 11/23
10. Ohio St
Mich (4) 11/24
11. UCF
So. Fla 11/23
UCF has no shot, even if everyone loses out.
Ohio St has to beat Mich and hope everyone loses, and they still might not make the top 4, since everyone losing means someone ahead of them wins as some play each other. I'll say no chance.
WVA needs to beat OKL and hope ND, Mich, LSU and GA all lose. Even then, they may end up #5.
Wash ST has just one loss, and if they beat Wash, they could sneak to #4 if a bunch of top teams lose, but I don't think they deserve to make it.
LSU has 2 loses, and even though they play a tough schedule, there will likely be too many one loss teams that should stay ahead of them. I'd put Alabama, Clemson & ND ahead of them, even if they lose. That means they'd have to catch Mich (lose to Ohio St), OKL (lose to WVA) and GA (lose to Ala)
OKL plays #9 WVA, and if they win, they could get to the top 4, if someone loses. I'd still take a one loss ND, Clem & Ala over OKL, but late season wins and loses seem to matter more.
GA plays Ala. If they win, it's a mess. They have to pass Mich, and one would think Ala has to be top 4, if they beat Aub and lose to GA. Mich could get squeezeed, even if they beat Ohio State and win the big 10 playoff game (NWestern?)
Mich will likely go, if they win. If they lose to OSU, someone will pass them.
ND has to beat USC to go.
Clem plays So Carolina. They will go if they win and may go with a loss.
Ala probably has to lose to Aub & GA to not go. If they beat Aub & lose to GA, and Clem, ND, Mich, and OK all win out, this might be the rankings:
1. Clem
2. ND
3. GA
4. Ala
5. Mich (close)
6. Okl (close)