If that is the case, then asking for Pablo or Buxton with Ryan without giving much salary back, might be the trick.
Pablo is owed $121.75M x 2 ($18.4 AAV)
Buxton is owed $15.1M x 3 ($14.3M AAV)
While taking back Duran at $8M or 3 arbs or Rafaela $48M/6 still owed may seem like too much, the savings would still be significant. Abreu is still pre-arb, followed by 3 arbs. Taking Rafaela might be okay, since he gets paid very little for the next 2-3 years, and maybe they can trade him, later, if he still has value. His AAV is just $6.2M, but including him on a deal would lessen the tax line hit. He's cheaper per year than Buxton by a lot.
Would MIN take Rafaela, Campbell, Crawford (arb 2 of 4 pending) Clarke and Sandlin or Mullins for Buxton & Ryan?
I'm not sure JH would pay for Lopez & Buxton, even if we gave back Duran and Hicks (higher cost players)