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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    I agree, but your max offer of $180M is pretty close to tier 1. I know deals given to Soto and Ohtani blow that away, but $180M is a top 50 FA contract in MLB history.
  2. moonslav59
    Casas and Romy signed for $1.6M each.
  3. moonslav59
    I'm not sure how much the "great clubhouse" value is worth. I'd like to have Bregman back, but he's not a great player and has not had a great season for a long time. I don't see him or Bichette as "the one" we should break the mold for. We need a big bat, and both may not or barely meet what I consider a big bat requirements. We are running out of options and have already traded away a few younger players and prospects to get Gray, Contreras and Oviedo. We are nearing a point where we'll be cornering ourselves and coming out short-handed, again. I'm not sure what the best plan is. If we overpay, the guy usually sucks and we bitch about wasting money on the wrong guy. If we don't outbid anybody, we bitch about being cheap and broken promises.
  4. moonslav59
    I'm just saying it seems to matter to JH, not what we think should matter.
  5. moonslav59
    It worked for the Dodgers taking many players from the loser Sox team.
  6. moonslav59
    It's not my theory: it's yours.
  7. moonslav59
    I'd apply the same type of offer to a 5 year deal with a 6th year option, of go higher on the 4 year deal. To me, $130M/4 is already too much. If rather we sign Suarez to $70M/3 and make a trade for a SP#2, which would keep us far below the top tax line. Apply the theory to this offer I would not make: $128M/4 with a $24M option for year 5 and an $8M buyout. That's $34M x 4 or $30M x 5. If the Sox are offering 5 years, and he's says no, then try adding a 6th year option year. The plus, is we can say no. He'd be essentially be getting more for the shorter years, but we'd have a way to save some money by saying no.
  8. moonslav59
    I would not mind going through this again in 3 years- after having Breggie for 3 more years. That's the point: getting him to sign. I'm not for optouts, either, but if it got him to sign, I'd do that, too. We could really use Breggie in 2026.
  9. moonslav59
    I do think the tax paid matters to JH. Even when we go over the line, it's usually by just a little, and the tax is tiny.
  10. moonslav59
    We don't need to assume bad trades are necessary. We could trade Duran ($7.8M) and Crawford ($2.7M) for a $3-6M pitcher and save $5 to 7M. Dump Hicks and pay all but $3-5M and we're under the line. No bad trades. Done deal. I still think trading for KMarte's near $15M AAV makes more sense. He's a better batter, too.
  11. moonslav59
    I gave some examples. MY point is that if one year is what's holding things up, then cut back $10M from the deal but add an option year with a $15-20M buyout and the same AAV for that year. If it's not enough, well we tried sweetening the pot a little without committing that "extra year." Get creative. Give massive deferrals. Whatever.
  12. moonslav59
    Highly doubtful. I'm glad we brought some "CWS culture" onto our team with Crochet. Do you really believe this culture implication?
  13. moonslav59
    Houck ($4.1M) and Oviedo ($1.55M) agree to pre-arb contracts.
  14. moonslav59
    100%. I've also pointed out that JH has a history of recognizing when a window is opening wide AND we are a key player or two away from having a really good shot at a ring and spending more. Often times, it has not been a long stretch of spending more, and we've seen cut backs immediately after a ring season. I agree, the time is now. (I thought last year was, too, and if we didn't trade Devers, maybe we go much further.) Does Jh see what I see? I sure as hell don't know. I can just hope he does and repeats his pattern. Another 3 year run at mega-spending, like with DD would be nice, too, but I don't expect it.
  15. moonslav59
    They are certainly famous for fixing a value level and not going over it. They also do that for their own players reaching or nearing free agency. They've been right on a lot of those calls, but of course we remember Adrian Beltre and Derek Lowe more than Pedro & Ellsbury bolting.
  16. moonslav59
    I think Suarez may take 2 years. If he gets 3 years, he moves to 1B, when Contreras bolts. I'm not thrilled about Suarez, his high K rate and his defense, but his shorter term deal fits the plan B requirements for the budget and no large or long limits. Gray, Contreras and Donovan are better than what we have, so I could care less about having 3 guys from the Cards or any team..
  17. moonslav59
    I'm pretty certain on Peterson, too, and that's why I asked. The big downside is just the one year of control. Maybe we extend him. I'm not high on Vientos, at all, but he's better than DHam, Sogard & Eaton. He'll probably outhit Romy, too.
  18. moonslav59
    I think adding an option year with a hefty buyout is like insurance to Breggie.
  19. moonslav59
    I said "coulda" not that you did. I actually said you said "the opposite." NOT the same. You have always assumed there was a reasonable offer Bogy would have taken, earlier. We have no idea what he'd have agreed on as the minimum. I wouldn't be surprised if DD offered the most JH would allow. We were maybe lucky Bogey said yes. "Offered more" is vague and easy to say. You also argued we "should have" offered more the year before he bolted. I agreed, but we don't know what his agents were asking for, not what he'd have accepted. He bolted after 2022. Would you be happy, now had we offered (at the end of 2021) and he accepted an extension for $180M/6 that kicked in after 2022? (Note: he's had a 104 OPS+ since 2023.)
  20. moonslav59
    I think Suarez is the back-up plan. If it's Donovan, it better not be a big package.
  21. moonslav59
    The more money and years worked.
  22. moonslav59
    Your comment I responded to started with this: Never make your final offer first, as they say. To me, that was an all encompassing statement that did not (fully) apply to the Lester situation. I thought I'd bring it up.
  23. moonslav59
    I really like KC, a lot. I'm trying to avoid trading Duran, because I'm not sure we'll add the big bat infielder we need. That leaves DH for our 4th OF'er and NOT Campbell (or Yoshida/Casas/Romy.) Trading a top 4 OF'er makes the most sense, as I don't think KC's trade value is worth his upside value or predicted value, but I might trade him, now, for the right piece. We need 2 good pieces or one high quality piece.
  24. moonslav59
    I see the benefit of pulling the ball to maximize power, but I hope it's not at the expense of knowing when it's the right time to go oppo.
  25. moonslav59
    I agree that that was their position on a maximum offer. I don't think it was "competitive," but I think they viewed it as such. At some point, to get real good talent, you have to bite the bullet and overpay. More importantly, you have to correctly identify who that guy should be. When we signed Price, I could think of no surer bet that he seemed to be. They go burned. The Story and Yoshida signings were not "the guys" in anybody's view, failed as well. I can see why JH & Co. are gun shy. I get it, and maybe they just haven't seen the right guy come along. they seemed to be willing to go super large and long on Soto, but again fell significantly short of paying what it took to get him. As far as I know, we haven't come close to a similar FA offer, and I can't help but think, they money was "there" for Soto, so where did it go? (Or was that offer just for show?)
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