moonslav59

So, our arb guys are... Lowe 4th of 4 (may make $9-10M) Houck 2nd or 3 and will miss 2026. Crawford 2nd of 4 and is coming back from injuries. Wong 1st of 3 (should not make a lot) Bernardino 1st of 4 Other first of 3 are: Wink, Casas, Romy & Kelly Grissom is one year away from arb year 1, so are Criswell, Abreu, DHam, Slaten, Weissert, Murphy, I Campbell, Harrison & Moran. Maybe Lowe is non tendered, but I doubt others will be. Maybe Grissom is DFA'd.

Yup. One team will lose 3-6 games- maybe two lose 3.

The next week: BOS: OFF, 3 v ATL, 3 at TBR HOU: 3 v TEX, OFF, 3 v SEA (somebody will lose 3-6 games) TEX: 3 at HOU, OFF, 3 v MIA SEA: OFF, 3 @ KCR, 3 @ HOU NYY: (No days off) 3 @ MIN, 4 @ BAL,

No. I thought we should have dumped his salary before his value went down further. I thought we had better options at DH, like moving or rotating an OF'er to DH, since we failed to trade one last winter. I wanted Anthony on the opening day Roster and Yoshida not part of the 26 man roster. You think that's worse than supporting our 4th best WAR guy, despite his long slump?

I wrote him off before the season even started. And, he's a DH only with little power. Ceddanne plays GG type defense in a tough position. His offense has sucked, of late, and is barely passable as a whole.

Probably, although with 4-6 games left, TOR might still need a win or two to stay ahead of NYY. They are 4 up, now.

Why? Because he slumped at the end of last year, too? I'm not sure why you even try to predict what anyone will hit over the next 12 game stretch. I hope you are wrong, but certainly you may end up guessing right. It was easy projecting doom & gloom for the last 3 years. Now, things have changed, but you cling to the doom. I'm sure we'll never hear the end of it, if you end up being right.

When did I ever say there is no lower limit? He doesn't "keep sucking worse and worse." He goes up and down and has his whole career. He is sucking now, and you act like he always has and always will. Maybe he will. He was at .577 in early May (30 gms/112 PAs) He then hit .807 in his next 30 gms (110 PAs) He hit .849 next 30 (93 PAs) .568 his next 30 (93 PAs) .529 last 24 gms (89 PAs) I've never been one to judge a player on just his last 40-50 games or so, like the cherry-picked worst sample of .472 in 36 games. That is horrific. That cannot keep going on forever, but until we have a better option on the 26, I'd keep playing him in hopes that the previous 95 games sample size of 358 PAs at .798 might return. It's over half his season- that sample size, but to you, that is not an cannot be him. Only this recent sample size is him.

I'm saying it will go to 8, but maybe after we expand to 32 teams. (Maybe we go to 7, in between)

No doubt, Rafaela has been bad for a month or so. The number support that. Only Yoshida (.516) and maybe Bregman (.561) are even close to his last 4 week OPS or .496. I guess we should have benched Story for hitting .432 in May, which is worse than Ceddanne's last 28 days. The question is, why should we expect he will hit.496 the next 12 games? What evidence supports players keep batting the exact same as the weeks beforehand? I'm fine with playing hothands and giving slumping players a breather or short break, but I'm not benching my 4th or 5th best player in crunch time. How long a leash does he get? Maybe until Abreu returns? Is Eaton's short spurt of glory enough to take Ceddanne's place?

We've discussed the "lower/lowest limits" his OPS could be and still be acceptable or a plus. We disgree by a pretty big gap. I'm a big fan of defense up the middle and may feel it has more value than you think it does. He's taken away countless hits and some homers. Way more than Duran or Anthony would have taken away in CF. He should never have been moved to 2B. You may not value WAR, and I agree it has flaws, but Ceddanne has the 4th best WAR among position players. I don't see why our 4th or 5th best player is bearing the wrath you heep on him. He's not even close to being the worst batter. He's not even top 9 in K% on the team (among 12 batters with 190+ PAs) and you bash him for lack of plate discipline. (That is a problem, but he has his K rate down to 20%.) His BB% has almost doubled since 2023-2024 combined. His OPS is better than 2023 & 2024. He's slumping, now, like he has before. I wish he wasn't. I'm not benching him, at least until Abreu returns. I'm not one to believe a player repeats what he's done over the last 2, 3, 4 weeks. I go through this with Max, almost weekly. Rafaela is one example of a player who never repeats month to month. He may hit .400-.500 the rest of the way and be a reason we lose. He may not. He's streaky. I think he has a hot streak left in him. You don't.

Cora destroyed Ceddane by playing him at 2B. LOL!

.690 is fine with me, and it's actually showing improvement over 2023-2024 combined. I'm not sure if he can ever have a season over .800, like JBJ did, but maybe .750 for a few years would be very nice.

Here are some factoids: 1. Only 7 Catchers have more PAs and a higher OPS than Narvaez at .747. He's also pretty good on D at a key position. He's 9th in Catcher OPS 2. Only 3 CF'ers have a higher CF fWAR than Ceddanne: 5.3 J Rod 5.2 Crow-Arm. 4.2 Buxton (finally a healthy season) 3.7 Rafaela 2.7 Jake Myers (not even close) 3. Despite being a platoon and missing a few weeks to injury, Abreu ranks 7th in RF fWAR at 2.9 4. Top ERA- pitchers with 150+ IP 44 Skenes 55 Skubal 56 H Brown 59 C Sanchez 61 Crochet 62 Abbott 63 Yamamoto 64 Peralta 67 Pivetta 70 de Grom 73 Boyd 74 Fried 76 Bello 76-81: M Kelly, Rodon, G Williams, Woo, Webb, J Ryan, Wacha

Not true. 2025 162 PAs v RHPs (.709 vs .498 in 2024) 137 PAs v LHPs (1.023 vs .879 in 2024.) Over two years with the Sox, yes more vs LHPs but close... v LHPs .953 in 267 PAs Romy .956 in 276 PAs Ref v RHPs .636 in 248 PAs Romy .700 in 223 PAs Ref (also pretty close in total PAs v R & v L)

TOP SOX OPS since 6/23/24 (400+ PAs) .878 Devers .835 Bregman .813 Romy .804 Duran .784 Abreu .754 Yoshida .749 Story .747 Narvaez .676 Rafaela .616 Wong Go to 300+ PAs and add... .859 Anthony .824 Refsnyder .594 DHam

When you go three years in a row getting it mostly right, it's hard to break out of the paradigm.

If Ceddanne stinks in 8 years, fine.

After 8 years. Like JBJ, that's what Ceddanne is signed for. I guess every site needs a Mr. Negative.

On Rafaela, nobody will claim his plate discipline has been fixed. He still has a long way to go, and we know they've been trying to help him improve in this area for many years. 2023-2024 to 2025 K%: 27.1%>20.0% BB%: 2.9%> 4.7% HR%: 2.6%> 3.0% OPS: .664>.695 We need to see continued improvement in these areas. It would help if he'd not decline sharply near the ends of most seasons. I think we all like consistency over streakiness, but I'll take a rerun of JBJ's first 8 seasons in MLB. Near GG defense. .732 OPS, but .769 after his first 2 seasons (101 OPS+) I'm not sure why JBJ has gotten such a bad name. He started slowly and dropped off badly after age 31, but so what?

What a difference one day makes, huh? 12 games left. WC Race 83-66 NYY 82-68 BOS -1.5 from NYY and +1.0 HOU/+3.0 TEX 81-69 HOU __________ -2.0 TEX (from HOU) -2.5 CLE In the NL, 3 teams are within 2.5 games of the Mets for the last WC slot -1.5 The SF Devers -2.0 AZ -2.5 CIN

You choose to do that. You could spend some time talking about Narvaez, too. If you choose to.

Not even close. Maybe when Abreu returns, give him a bretaher.

You stopped bashing Narvaez. I wonder why?

Wow, 16 Ks. Big win. Guts,