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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. If that is the case, then asking for Pablo or Buxton with Ryan without giving much salary back, might be the trick. Pablo is owed $121.75M x 2 ($18.4 AAV) Buxton is owed $15.1M x 3 ($14.3M AAV) While taking back Duran at $8M or 3 arbs or Rafaela $48M/6 still owed may seem like too much, the savings would still be significant. Abreu is still pre-arb, followed by 3 arbs. Taking Rafaela might be okay, since he gets paid very little for the next 2-3 years, and maybe they can trade him, later, if he still has value. His AAV is just $6.2M, but including him on a deal would lessen the tax line hit. He's cheaper per year than Buxton by a lot. Would MIN take Rafaela, Campbell, Crawford (arb 2 of 4 pending) Clarke and Sandlin or Mullins for Buxton & Ryan? I'm not sure JH would pay for Lopez & Buxton, even if we gave back Duran and Hicks (higher cost players)
  2. Probably not, unless we wow'd them. Rumor was Casas was offered with others.
  3. We are not going anywhere, if we keep hitting like this. The good thing about baseball is that games and stats are rarely repeated over and over. Players and teams have ups and downs. The team has a .676 OPS over the last 14 days, and of the 11 batters with 25+ PAs (actually 13+, but all have 25+.) 4 are REAL bad (OPS): .244 Rafaela .439 Yoshida .483 Lowe .576 Bregman 3 are decent: .750 Duran .777 Sogard .793 Story 4 are good: .857 Eaton .864 Narvaez .868 Romy .929 Refsnyder (Wong is at .833 in 12 PAs/ DHam is at .432 in 12 PAs)
  4. Just asking him to do what's he been doing for 3+ months: .827 June .870 July .817 August .938 Sept & counting Since June 1st: .851 .295 17 68 in 375 PAs The guy goes .938 in SEPT and his OPS only goes up from .744 to .749 (actually .731 on Aug 31st)
  5. I wanted Woo, last winter. Now, he's the untouchable one.
  6. Is Pablo Lopez expected back for 2026? If yes... Yoshida and Crawford for Pablo ($43.5M/2, but $18.4M x 2 tax hit.)
  7. Yoshida, Rafaela & Crawford for Yelich Duran or Abreu plus Clarke & Sandlin for Ryan.
  8. They get a longer controlled pitcher back.
  9. Yoshida, DHam and Crawford for Marte ($19M tax hit until 2031.)
  10. Yoshida and Crawford for Luis Castillo (owed $24M x 2)
  11. Agreed. I forgot Arenado is owed $15M in 2028. $69M total and a $30M tax hit for3 years! We'd need some money sent back to offset the money. Yoshida is owed $36M/2 and Hicks $24M/2, but their tax hit is just $28.3M x 2 (not 3 like Arenado.) Arenado would be a 1B/DH option and back-up 3Bman, where we have little depth other than Mayer and maybe Romero. I think I'd say no to Yoshida and Hicks for Arenado and $15M. On Contreras, we could add Sandlin or Mullins (Rule 5 guys.)
  12. Romero had a couple doubles, last night, but I Campbell blew the lead by allowing 3 in the 9th. I gotta think I Campbell's time is BOS is limited, despite the promise he showed a few years ago w SEA.
  13. I think we need Bregman, Story and Duran to all hit over .750 and maybe .800+. Our next hope is Abreu's return. Narvaez, Romy & Ref can only do so much.
  14. In sp.com's first rankings list, they had.... 3. Jorge de la Rosa 5. Dumatrait 7. Lester By the end of 2003, it was... 1. Jorge de la Rosa 2. Lester 3. Youk 4. Shoppach 5. C Spann 6. HanRam 7. D Murphy 8. Delcarmen Lester was #1 by the start of 2004, but Abe Alvarez passed him and was a head of Papelbon at #5 in midd '04. By the end of 2005: 1. Papelbon 2. lester 3. Anibal Sanchez 5. C hansen 6. Delcarmen 10. Pauley, 15. Alvarez, 17. Buchholz
  15. True. Prospect and draftee rating and rankings are often based on how hard a guy can throw or how much break he gets on his breaking pitches, and not so much on college or HS ERA or WHIP. It's easy to be mislead, and these guys are human- both the pitchers be evaluated and the people doing the evaluations. For all the talk of how bad our farm had gotten with acquiring and developing young pitchers, and rightfully so, I feel like a shift began a few years back and the trend can just about be called "over." Call it luck or whatever, things started changing when Houck came up and showed some skills. DD got a lot of grief for "emptying the farm," but he did keep or add some arms that turned out to be pretty good, and certainly better than we had seen for quite a few years after Lester. Crawford and Bello, added to Houck were the best trio of SP'ers from our farm in a long, long time. Then, Bloom acquired Whitlock (Rule 5) and guys like Pivetta, Kelly and Wickowski- not great, but better than much of what we had before. (Pivetta was not a prospect.) He also drafted Early, Dobbins, Valera, Guerrero and others Perales has yet to get a shot, due to injuries, and we did see several rather highly touted pitching prospects fizzle out- like Mata, Groome, DHern & TWard. The Brez regime has marked a major push towards acquiring young and promising pitchers Trades landed us Slaten, Fitts, Priester, Fajardo, Holobetz, Weissert, Sandlin, Harrison, J Bello, I Campbell, Moran and others in just 2 years. The amount of pitchers taken in the draft was astounding, and larger IFA bonuses were paid to pitchers than in recent years. If Houck was not out for the 2026 season, we might have seen 4 homegrown SP'ers in the rotation with Crochet (Houck, Bello, Crawford, Dobbins, Early, Tolle...) Soxprospects.com has 7 of our top 9 prospects as pitchers! 5 of the next 11 are pitchers, too. Holobetz, Delzine, Mullins and others may crack the top 20, soon. Now, it seems we need to focus on acquiring a couple big bats to rebalance the roster.
  16. Seems like everyday, we can say, "What a difference a day makes." Now, we are the 3rd WC team, after everyone closest to us won. CLE is now our main contender, as TEX lost. 83-68 SEA ALW leader (Tonight: B MIller v Ragans) __________________________ 84-67 NYY (Tonight: Gil v Bradley) 83-69 HOU (Javier v de Grom) 82-69 BOS (Gio vs Barnett) 11 games to go & up 2.5 ________________________ 79-71 CLE -2.5 (GWilliams v Flaherty) 79-73 TEX -3.5 (de Grom v Javier)
  17. The other middle relievers are worse and have been all year.
  18. Yoshida for Wm Contreras (1B.) Or, maybe Masa & Hicks for Arenado?
  19. It's kinda funny how GMs and scouts are routinely bashed for "missing" on draft picks, especially high ones, yet every one of us thought Tolle was our best pitching prospect, including me. I had offered Abreu, Early and Sandlin for Ryan.
  20. He doesn't seem to try and steal as many bases, anymore.
  21. MLB.com projected two Sox GG winners. Here are their write-ups: RF: Abreu: Seeking his second straight Gold Glove, Abreu touts an elite combination of range and arm strength. Abreu has made more five-star catches (eight) than anyone not named Pete Crow-Armstrong, an impressive accomplishment for a corner outfielder. Not to mention, his average arm strength is 94.3 mph, good for the 98th percentile. Should Abreu and Rafaela each win a Gold Glove, they would become the first pair of Red Sox outfielders to win Gold Gloves in the same season since Mookie Betts and Jackie Bradley Jr. in 2018. CF: Rafaela: Rafaela has split time between second base and center field, but injuries to Wilyer Abreu and Roman Anthony have shifted the 24-year-old back to center on a full-time basis. That's good news for the Red Sox, because he's elite in the outfield. He's been worth +19 Outs Above Average, tied with Pete Crow-Armstrong for the most among outfielders. Much of his value derives from his excellent jumps, as his average jump is 5.2 feet better than average.
  22. I had the right players, just juggled 6-7-8 batters. See above.
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