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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. On our catchers... Some 2018 numbers: Framing Runs 7. Leon 11.6 in 4,892 chances 12. Vaz 9.0 in 4670 chances (Both with less chances than many on the list) 40. Swihart 0.7 in 1209 chances Framing + Blocking + Throwing 7. Leon +11.1 14. Vaz +9.0 out of 117 catchers listed. How about 2017? 111 catchers on the list 6. Vaz +19.6 10. Leon +10.7 https://legacy.baseballprospectus.com/sortable/index.php?cid=1899536 These numbers don't reflect staff handling that includes pitch-calling and building confidence and comfort.
  2. We did not "tank" to build our farm to where it was before DD got a hold of it, but we were helped by getting higher draft picks during our 3 last place seasons and a system that rewarded richer teams, at times, with comp picks and loose restrictions on international splurging. We got Michael Kopech as a comp pick for losing Ellsbury, which was an addition by subtraction to begin with.'' We got Beni with the 8th pick in 2015 due to doing so poorly in 2014. We got Groome, Dalbec, Shawaryn and Chatham in 2016 thanks to higher picks due to 2015's poor showing. Moncada, Devers, Espinoza, Margot and several others were snatched from the international market during the years leading up to our high farm ranking under Ben.
  3. You make some good points, but Swihart is no where near an above average catcher. It's hard enough convincing people that the intangibles Leon and Vaz bring to their game makes them a net plus.
  4. Yes, there are catchers who do what ours do on defense and with the staff but also hit better, but I still view our catchers as a strength. They are not the best, but they save so much behind the plate it more than makes up for their poor hitting.
  5. I think they are special. Does that make up for me not thinking our farm is special? LOL
  6. Hey, we had 3 last place finishes in 4 years. One could call that a "tank", although it wasn't. Yes, there are exceptions, but the fact remains, 3 of the top 8 farms saw their ML club win the division. One won the WS 2 years ago and another made it to the WS last year.
  7. I view our catching tandem as a clear strength.
  8. I'm not hearing that many non ex-Sox names.
  9. What's the excuse for the high-spending Dodgers being tied for 5th with the most top 100 prospects? I know none are above #35, but they went to the WS AND have a strong farm and several recent grads.
  10. That team sure knew how to acquire great young talent.
  11. Wait until you see Law's ranking, then we'll talk about his statement.
  12. I'm looking forward to watching rising prospects, too, and we have some good one. The problem is, very few are close enough to ML ready to avert a serious drop in competitiveness. I'm not sure we'll ever see a "massive free fall" with a one-year budget of $1M below the luxury tax line in our re-set year.
  13. I'll stop talking cliff for a while, if you stop talking pen woes. Deal?
  14. lol!
  15. Historic stretches in the NBA: Wilt's first 7 seasons in the NBA: 40 PPG 25 RPG 3.4 APG (his first 4? 43/26/2.5) Oscar Robertson's first 6 seasons combined averaging a triple double: First 5 seasons: 30.3 PPG 10.4 RPG 10.6 APG First 6 seasons 30.4 10.0 10.7 First 8 seasons 30.3 9.0 10.6 First 10 seasons 29.3 8.5 10.3
  16. Harden's streak is the talk of the town here in Houston, but it made me wonder about Wilt's amazing season averaging 50.4 points a game. I looked over his game logs. Here are some interesting factoids about the 1961-1962 season: His lowest scoring games that season were: 26, 28, 30, 31, 32, 34 (The lowest 4 were all vs BOS) He scored over 30 points for 65 straight games! He scored 35 or more for 34 straight games. He scored over 44 points for 14 straight games. He scored over 50 points in 12 of 13 games. When he scored his 100 points in one game, he also had scored 251 points in the 4 games surrounding that game (62.8ppg), making the 5 game stretch at 70.2 ppg. He scored just 22 in the game 7 loss to the Celtics in the 1962 playoffs. In that series, he had 131 rebound in game 1-4, but he had just 57 in the last 3. He averaged 38 ppg in games 1-4 and 28 in games 5-7. I know it was a different era, but Wilt also had 25.7 rebounds per game that year. (He had 43 in one game!)
  17. I'd try and find a guy like Guerrero but with options. Trading Swihart straight up will not solve our pen issue or even put a moderate dent into solving the problem, but he might give us another hope and prayer to add to the list. To me, the trade that makes the most sense is one that has Swihart is part of a larger package that might get us someone better than Hembree or with less health issues than Thornburg. I don't have a bunch of names, but my guess is someone likes Chavis or Dalebec. Someone likes Johnson or Velazquez or really needs a 5th/6th starter type badly.
  18. Henry was also the owner in 2012, 2014 and 2015. Those years, the teams were not bad on paper, but we finished last 3 out of 4 years. I'm not saying we'll finish in last the year we reset, but we won't be competitive...let alone highly competitive.
  19. You are assuming a lot, and the cliff will happen in 2020 or 2021, so again, how is the new CBA that comes after 2021 going to help us avoid the cliff? It may shorten it, if it strips away the luxury tax or sets the limit at $280M.
  20. MLB.com Top 100 by Team 9 SD 7 CWS 5 TOR 5 HOU 4 TB (all top 40) 4 ATL (all top 40) 4 CIN 4 LAD 3 of these 8 teams won their division last year.
  21. MLB.com's top 100 by team and rankings.... Top 40 5- SD: 2, 15, 23, 26, 34 4- CWS: 3, 18, 21, 40 4- TB: 13, 28, 29, 39 4- ATL: 24, 30, 32, 37, 38 3- CIN: 6, 16, 31 2- TOR: 1, 11 2- MN: 5, 9 2- HOU 7, 8 2- WSH: 4, 25 2- LAD:35, 36 1- COL: 9 1- OAK: 12 1- LAA: 14 1- DET: 17 1- PIT: 19 1- MIL: 20 1- SFG: 22 1-PHI: 27 1- STL: 33 41-100 4- SD: 48, 49, 72, 74 3- CWS: 40, 47, 80 3- HOU: 44, 80, 97 3- PIT: 46, 87, 96 3- AZ: 60, 73, 83 3- BAL: 64, 71, 90 3- TOR: 65, 76, 98 3- TX: 85, 88, 89 2- OAK: 42, 45 2- CWS: 47, 80 2- NYM: 51, 58 2- DET: 52, 78 2- TB: 55, 84 2- SEA 56, 91 2- NYY: 57, 66 2- PHI: 59, 77 2- LAD: 69, 70 2- HOU: 62, 97 2- Cubs: 67, 100 1- CLE 41 1- SEA: 43 1-CIN: 53 1- KC: 54 1-STL: 61 1- LAA: 63 1- MN: 68 1- WSH: 75 1- BOS: 79 1- SF: 92 1- Cubs: 94 1- COL: 95 1- MIA 99
  22. Good read... https://www.bostonglobe.com/sports/redsox/2019/01/23/tom-werner-defends-baseball-owners-spending-free-agents/B3z9Wgs2QRw4OSEW5Q6yxN/story.html
  23. The CBA is a major reason the cliff is so near.
  24. We'd be way over the $40M mark had he done so. It's hard to know what we'd have done had he said yes. No Eovaldi? Trade Porcello? Pay the tax?
  25. While both are out of options, I'm not sure we can save a spot for Guerrero in a pen we may need depth (with options) to compensate for the lack of quality.
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