moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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We don't need a bat. We just need the ones we have to hit better when it matters. You can't trade for clutch. We need 2 pitchers, and that's beyond Eovalid's return. At this moment, we have D Hern & Ryan Weber on the 25 man roster. Those are easily the worst two players on the roster. Okay, maybe Johnson or Wright can replace one of them, but Walden needs to go down, too. Okay, Travis may be one of the bottom 4 on the roster, but Moreland will replace him. What hitter do we get, and where does he play? You want to bench JBJ? He's one of our hottest players over the last 2 months, and he's a great fielder. You want to bench or trade Beni? Chavis? Getting a batter is the last thing we need.
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He has not been "branded as being middle of the road," unless you use tiny sample sizes the makers of this metric expressly warns against using.
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It's not so much about the amount of plays hit to JBJ, it's about how many difficult plays he makes near or beyond the fringes of the CF zone. Betts takes some of those plaays away and the short LF wall may take away others. That's one point that notin has been making. My point is about how good is the #20 best defensive CF'er in MLB? How good is #25? #30? How good is a AAAA player on defense- some AAAA may be great- some may suck on defense.
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Looks about as up and down as his OPS, and that ain't odd. They say look at 2-3 years combined sample sizes anyway.
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They are less biases than I. They are more trained than I. A AAAA player can be an outstanding fielder with no hit tool.
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True, but they were supposed to be a strength to the club, and their pay reflected those expectations. The pen has been (overall) pitching like we expected, so it's harder to fault them, IMO. -
MLB players have those sort of slumps as well. How many dingers within that .207?
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It is kind of as flaw, since JBJ loses rating because of Betts, and UZR/150 is (I believe) supposed to somewhat take away the need for a fan to have to adjust the rankings due to park, nearby fielders or what sort of pitching staff you play behind (High K, high GB, high FB, etc...). I'm fine with UZR/150 and dWAR, but the fan must still make certain adjustments to make them seem more accurate or "real". It is a hell of a lot better than one person's view.
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Thanks boggs. Sometimes, I need a boost of confidence about our farm. At least there is hope on the distant horizon.
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It is subjective to a large degree, but I trust a subjective analysis by a group of unbiased, trained and calibrated people who watch every play of every game vs myself, who only watches Sox games and the players we face on those particular game days. I'm not saying I will always agree with their numbers 100%, but I'll believe them over any single person, including myself. If they have JBJ ranked 24th on defense this year, I may scratch my head, but I can't say I am certain they are wrong, because I don't know how good the other 23 guys are. I know enough to think 10-12 might be better in any given year, but some of the others I don't know jack about and may never have seen them make one play- let alone enough plays to make a definitive judgement. I'm satisfied with their 3 year ranking, which is what they recommend we use for comparative judgments.
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Brings back great memories! Rhanks.
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No "probably."
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A 2 inning "rebound" may be all we can expect.
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Actually, ...
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Bogey has been "the man" all year, but does anyone else fell like I do, that Devers will pass him in OPS by year's end? (Not a slight on Bogey, here.)
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Actually, my position was to give him more time at 3B, but I felt he'd eventually be moved to 1B.
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I was the clown I was talking about. I'd trade him tonight for the right return.
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It's one per year, no matter how much you are yo-yo'd. He has 1 left.
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He's a new man! BTW, who was the clown who wanted Devers moved to 1B?
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Chavis will move to 2B, when Moreland returns. Travis will be sent down. Pearce will likely be DFA'd, or we'll send Marco down.
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I'm assuming, yes. Plus, since most positions have negative WAR players among the bottom 5 or 6 players at each position, one could argue there are several MLB players playing below the level of replacement. We were just talking about dWAR and defense, though, and I'm assuming there are a ton of minor league players that are excellent fielders but never make it to the bigs, because they can't hit. It's hard to know what a "replacement level defender" is, because it doesn't really make sense. Are we talking about the average defensive skill level of AAAA players? The worst players are below replacement level, if their WAR is below zero, and there are many starting players below zero right now. It takes 180 PAs to get to 270 "qualifying" players (30 teams x 9 starters), and out of the 270 players on the list, 64 have a negative WAR and 70 are at 0 or below. According to fangraphs, 148 player have a negative dWAR, so maybe they set dWAR with zero as average not replacement level.
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Who was the clown that wanted Beni traded? Oops...
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That was just to get to the 51% win probability.
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7/14 Dodgers in Beantown
moonslav59 replied to Station 13's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
Assuming the bunt works. -
With Nunez gone, there is one less out-of-options player on the 25 man roster. Future choices: Eovaldi up- Weber down Johnson up- Walden down Moreland up- Travis down These all look simple. If we trade for a pen arm, a tougher choice may need to be made, unless we include Johnson in the deal.
