It never ceases to amaze me how so many people assume we are only as good as our last 10 games, 3 games or even one game, unless we are doing well, then there still are nay-sayers.
We started off 17-2 last year, and then the Yanks took over first place by May 9th. You'd have thought the sky was falling.
This year, we went 8.5 games behind the division. Now, we are just 3 back. We currently hold the second wild card slot, if the season ended today. Cleveland seems to be the stiffest competition for that last slot, and they lost Kluber.
It's a 162 game season. Every team looks good for a while- some much longer than others- and bad for a while- some much longer than others. I don't know why some people assume a team will only continue to repeat what they look like in their most recent sample size, despite countless examples that prove them wrong. Sure, every now and then, a blind squirrel finds a nut, but come on! This team is essentially the same as last year's team. No way losing Kimbrel turns us into a non-contender. Yes, teams return almost in full and have major swings in wins and losses, but it is rare, unless there are injuries or major aging issues. Our team is young and almost all in prime or near prime. Our oldest players have marginal roles or have capable back-ups.
We should not see a steep decline. We are making the playoffs- barring major injuries. When October comes, I like our team's experience, coaching, leadership, offense, defense, pitching, base-running and overall chances.
Our oldest players:
36 Steve Pearce (short platoon 1Bman with Chavis as back-up)
35 Pedroia (who counted on him anyways? Holt/Nunez/Chavis/Lin in reserve)
33 Moreland (barely past prime. Pearce & Chavis is reserve)
33 Price (currently on a cautionary IL, but has looked good for over a year)
32 Nunez (currently hobbled, but he's just a sub.)
Everyone else is 31 or younger!
We aren't declining. We could get even better.