moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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It doesn't look like a strength, but it has been, so far this season. I would not bet that continues.
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On the farm... Chatham 2-4 Duran 1 for 5 2B Tendler 1-4 HR Rivera 1-3 HR Houck 6IP 3 ER 4H 4BB 3K Lowell C Marrero 3-5 (3 rbi) Northcut 2-5 (3 rbi) Cubillan 3-5 3B Arnold 1-4 HR DSL2 Gonzalez 4-6 Santana 3-4 Marcano 3-5 2B Prado 3-6 DSL1 (won 9-0) Pineda 4 IP 0 ER 1H 0BB 5K Velez 3 IP 0 ER 1 H 1BB 2K Zapete 2-3 3 runs Flores © 2-3 Romero 1-6 HR
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Mal, I hope you can stick around longer, but I understand how hard it must be. We'll miss you, for sure!
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As bad as we've looked, as many fans that have all but throw in the towel, as ugly as we have looked for long stretches this year, we are just... 4 games behind the Rays. 5.5 games behind the Yanks. Tied for the last WC slot with a team likely to have been playing over their heads- the Rangers. (We're 2.5 up on the A's and 1.5 up on the Guardians.)
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I'm not sure $60M/4 is all that much lower than what he may get on the open market, but he will probably view it as a "hometown discount." I would not be surprised, if DD has decided he's not worth that much and will offer him something like $50M/4, and if he says no, go with the QO. -
150 pitchers have 180+ IP since 2017 (5 per 30 teams). 180 IP is not a lot, but here are Porcello's more recent rankings: fWAR 2. Sale 16.5 49. Porcello 5.4 (Mid #2) 54. ERod 5.2 57. Price 5.0 xFIP 1. Sale 2.59 49.Price 3.96 53. ERod 4.06 78. Porcello 4.32 (Mid #3) ERA- 1. Sale 60 21. Price 80 50. ERod 91 76. Porcello 99 (Mid #3) WHIP 2. Sale 0.93 26. Price 1.17 71. ERod 1.30 74. Porcello 1.30 (Mid #3) All together, since 2017, these numbers show he's a better than average #3 starter. It's interesting to see he has a higher WAR than Price.
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Well, 46th places him in the 31-60 category, or right smack in the middle of #2 starters in MLB. He still is not a #3. Sale is a #1- maybe the best or 2nd best (to Scherzer) Price is a solid #1. Porcello is a solid to upper end #2. ERod is a solid #3 when using the 30 pitchers per category methodology.
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I agree, and Porcello is not in prime after this year. His last deal was perfect. All his years were in prime. I don't think he's worth $22M. I don't think anyone will offer him $20M x 4 or more years (or even 3 years). I'm thinking $15-17M x 4 is what he will likely get. I don't think I'd go any higher than $15M x 4 (and I've come up recently).
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CBS Sports suggests... Boston acquires Beal in blockbuster deal Celtics get: Bradley Beal Wizards get: Marcus Smart, Aron Baynes, Guerschon Yabusele, No. 22 pick in 2019 draft, 2020 first-round pick (via Memphis)
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Ahh, yes. I did. Thanks. Well, it will help when he comes back.
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It's been a strength not a weakness.
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We'd have never heard the end of it, if we lost the game. It makes me wonder, if the "hindsighters" now think they were good choices, of if Cora just got lucky. I do have a question: is Hembree hurt? The guy has been pretty good, but we hardly use him. He's only faced 12 batters since May 29th (19 days) In his last 8 games: 5.2 IP 0 ER 4H 0 BB 8 Ks He hasn't been used since June 10th.
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Porcello's better WAR ranking than other categories is in large part a result of IP. 2016-2019 IP 749 Scherzer 748 Verlander 698 Porcello 689 Sale 669 Kluber 663 Greinke Only 22 pitchers have 595+ IP (Less than 1 per team) Only 52 pitchers have over 500 IP (less than 2 per team) Only 93 teams have 400+ IP (about 3 per team) I'm not downplaying innings. They are a huge asset, and that's why WAR has him as more valuable than the other categories I listed.
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6/17 @ Twinnesota Mins
moonslav59 replied to Thunder's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
Huge win! Good to see Brasier getting some redemption. We got some key hits in a low hit game. That's something we haven't seen a lot of recently. Porcello was buttah! (I'd have left him in for the 8th.) -
On how Porcello ranks... From 2016-2019 (144 pitchers with 350+ IP) WAR: 21st at 10.6 (ahead of Lester, Price & Archer) WHIP: 32nd at 1.21 ERA-: 48th at 90 xFIP: 69th If you go by 1-30 are number ones, and 31-60 are number twos, then one can easily argue Porcello is a solid #2 or even a low #1. I would never call him a #3. He's way better than just about every team's #3, if not all of them.
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Some might argue Cole is better (Verlander 1/ Cloe 2).
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Our OPS is .999 the last 7 days, but here is an OPS breakdown of the last 28 days: 1.057 JBJ 1.013 Bogey .990 JD .975 Holt .959 Pearce (22 PAs) .909 Devers .775 Beni .766 Betts .750 Marco .660 Vaz .655 Nunez .633 Chavis .590 Leon (19 PAs) Now, that 7 day list... 1.553 Bogey 1.209 JBJ 1.174 JD 1.169 Devers 1.068 Holt 1.008 Chavis .957 Vaz .900 Betts .794 Beni .473 Nunez .385 Marco .200 Leon OPS Against last 28 days (50+ PAs unless noted) .401 Shawaryn (35 PAs) .441 Workman .480 Sale .547 Hembree (35) .647 Price .698 Porcello .719 Brewer .752 DHern (18) .778 Brasier (34) .793 ERod .806 Lakins (32) .813 Barnes .881 Walden .917 Velazquez (28) .928 Johnson (15) .990 Weber 1.000 Taylor (30) 1.167 Smith (35) 1.286 Poyner (16) Can we end the Taylor-Smith experiment and trade for a solid RP'er very soon?
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I know Smoltz played one more year after Boston. I think it was STL.
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It's not China Jack; it's back to back Jack!
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We have Porcello, Price and then ERod for the next 3 games. IP per start 6.0 Sale 5.8 Porcello 5.6 ERod 5.1 Price (was pulled very early in two games and is 5.9 in his other 10 starts)
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I was surprised they spent big on Verlander, and I think they view that deal as the one splurge they will do.
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6/17 @ Twinnesota Mins
moonslav59 replied to Thunder's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
Total R-L-R line-up, today. I like our chances. -
6/17 @ Twinnesota Mins
moonslav59 replied to Thunder's topic in Mike Grace Memorial Game Thread Forum
He's got to get over his 1st inning yips. The first batter of the game has a .143 BA and OBP vs Rick, but here are his runs allowed by innings: 10 in 1st (14 games) 7 in 2nd (14) 10 in 3rd (14) 8 in 4th (13) 5 in 5th (13) 2 in 6th (10) 1 in 7th (5) 2 in 8th (2) Seems worse than this lin inning one, ately. -
I can understand the Rays, but the Astros are needlessly cheapies.
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Sale was grossly underpaid before his raise: Porcello is not being overpaid, right now. Many felt Sale would make more than $30M per year, and with the deferred money, his $29M a year is really less than that. I do not think Porcello will make $20M+. I could be wrong, and comparing him to the older Keuchel was not a good comp on my part. I could see him making $16-17M tops, but I would not offer him more than $15M x 3 or $14M x 4 years, and I'm a big Porcello supporter. I loved the extension when many did not, because he was in prime the whole time. I'd start with an offer of $50M/4. Second offer: $42M/3. If he says no, maybe I'd go as high as I said above, or maybe I just offer him a QO and be fine with either way it ends up.
