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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. If he stays healthy- bif if- he could hit .790 to .840, yes.
  2. No. I only said he could be "the key," if he does.
  3. I knew you'd like that one. I'd call projecting 4th place, because we added Contreras not Alonso is worse than "Chicken Little."
  4. Nobody I remember liked it here. It's his performance after he left I'm referring to. Had he done great, we'd still be hearing how we botched the early negotiations and how he would have taken $___ or $___.
  5. You do realize I was agreeing with the use of the word "suspect" for Mayer. You aren't "the only one:" I am one, too.
  6. Agreed, but these two additions don't account for the nearly 550 PAs lost from Devers and Refsnyder. Anthony could get 300 more PAs, and Abreu will start hitting vs LHPs, so there is still some doubts. I do think the Chicken Little cry-outs are a bit overboard, but not without a bit of merit.
  7. I thought KMarte was worth it, but apparently, AZ wanted someone other than the greatest offensive player in the universe.
  8. Anthony has a 9 year contract, if you count the 2034 club option season. I think he turns 30, his last control year. Seems perfect, to me. Mayer has not been extended for a reason, and if your term "suspect," which You’ve made this statement several times already, so good for you, was ever true, it is for Marcelo.
  9. Next, you'll tell us you were "right about Bogey."
  10. Yes, I get what you mean about the long deals. Add 1 WAR and it adds 7.
  11. They must not use 2025 FWAR or bWAR to project.
  12. I think BTV wonders how much WAR Rafaela will put up.
  13. That's been a point I've been making for a while. We know our team inside and out. It's easy to concentrate on the faults or be hypercritical. I don't see how many other AL teams got better, especially those that were good in 2025. The O's did, but they sucked last year.
  14. Haven't heard much pining for Bogey, lately.
  15. The Cards are paying $4M this year and next.
  16. I think almost every GM wants Rafaela at that cost. Even the last 2 years are fine: $10.5M in 2030 $13M in 2031 $16M option in 2032 w $4M buyout. Some team would look to trade him by 2030 or before 2031.
  17. Contreras has 2 years plus an option.
  18. Why wouldn't we be better if we got an equal bat in return, but someone who plays 2B or 3B?
  19. Assuming he plays it was well as a couple years back.
  20. Everyone healthy, I think our depth chart in the infield is... 1. IKF 2. Romy 3. Monasterio 4. Sogard 5. Seigler (also C) / Eaton (also RF)/ Cheng (maybe #2 as SS) Non 40: Rodgers & Romero
  21. Smallish sample sizes... Career: .642 v R (379 PAs) .727 v L (213) A bigger split in 2025 but better on both: .709 v R (85) .837 v L (50)
  22. There is also the component of years of control and cost. I'm not saying Rafaela is better than Duran, but bWAR and fWAR put them pretty close. fWAR 3.9 Duran (.0056 per PA is number 4 per PA) 3.8 Rafaela (.0065) 2.7 Anthony (.0089) 2.4 Abreu (.0058) bWAR 4.7 Rafaela & Duran (Rafaela in less games and PAs) 3.2 Abreu (higher bWAR per PA than Duran & Rafaela) 3.1 Anthony (#1 in bWAR/PA)
  23. I'd say Catcher, CF, RF and SS should be about the same on defense. IKF adds better defensive depth at SS. 1B: Improved with Contreras 2B: improved with Mayer/Romy/IKF 3B: worse than Bregman but not bad with Durbin/IKF/Mayer LF: improved with Anthony> Duran
  24. I meant better or equal bat, but I think KMarte & Paredes will be better bats in 2026- probably Neto, too. Better offense, adds baserunning, and maybe Duran passes a few batters on the top O list. I know OPS is not a perfect stat, but out of 274 samples of qualifying players in the 2024 and 2025 seasons, here is where Duran's two seasons placed: #49 Duran in '24 at .834 #109 Duran in '25 at .774 KMarte #11 in 2024 and #18 in 2025 Combine 2024 and 2025 (500+ PAs) 6. KMarte .913 48. Duran .805 61. Bregman .791 69. Chisholm .784 78. Neto .776 Others: 9. Schwarber .890 16. Devers .860 25. Refsnyder .833 27. Alonso .830 40. Willson .813 47. E Suarez .806 65. Romy .786
  25. I think Contreras will help fill the "clubhouse" void left by Bregman's departure. Sonny Gray and Suarez might, too. While much of the roster turnover was on the fringes, except for Bregman and Gio, there has been a lot of departures. Before the 2025 season even ended, we lost Devers, Newcomb, Buehler, DMay, Burdi, Sabol, and several to injuries. After the season, we lost... Bregman & Gio Dobbins & Fitts Wilson & Matz Lowe & Refsnyder Bernardino, Hicks & Murphy Jh Garcia, ICampbell, Criswell &Sandlin Perales, Drohan, Clarke, Guerrero, Mata & others. Houck may not pitch for the whole season. That's over 14 players who saw MLB action in 2025.
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