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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    I almost spit up my cornflakes on this one. You crack me up.
  2. moonslav59
    Actually, Bogey played 3B for the Sox before his first full season, after just playing 10 games in AAA there. Many felt he'd eventually end up at 3B due to his poor projections at SS defense. He has worked his way to respectability on defense at SS (barely).
  3. moonslav59
    It didn't matter. They've been platooned their whole lives.
  4. moonslav59
    One could argue it cuts the risk in half.
  5. moonslav59
    I agree, and I don't pretend to know more about players than the coaches and managers know. I'm just saying, from my distant point of view, Devers seems to not be bothered by much.
  6. moonslav59
    You could ask him.
  7. moonslav59
    I understand my example is "hindsight," but I am just wondering what you think he'd need to do to earn it. This is not about what we think he will do. I'm wondering, if our disagreement is more about what we think $300M is in terms of production or more about not thinking he'll put up similar numbers as this one example. BTW, the numbers I listed seems about like what I'd expect him to put up. My thinking is this, if he's making $32M a year, he's probably worth $45M for 4 years, so we're up $$52M after year 4. Maybe he earns $32M for 3 years, so we're still up $52M after 7 years. Maybe his last 3 years, he's worth $25, $20 and $15. That's minus $32M. Overall, we're still plus $20M in terms of value. Of course, one year being out with an injury flips it from plus to minus, unless it's year 9 or 10.
  8. moonslav59
    Nothing seems to bother Devers.
  9. moonslav59
    What would Betts have to do, in your opinion, to earn $320M/10? Would this be enough? No seasons under 145 games. .900 to 1.100 OPS for 2 seasons .850-.950 OPS for 4 more seasons .800-.900 OPS for 2 more seasons .750-.850 OPS for last 2 seasons. (No more than half his seasons on the low ends of these ranges)
  10. moonslav59
    Yes, I mistyped. Thanks.
  11. moonslav59
    Dalbec is the best defensive 3Bman out of Dalbec, Devers & Chavis. Maybe Chavis's stock rose a bit due to his hot first 3 weeks in MLB and timely hitting thereafter. If I was going to trade any of the 3, it would be Chavis, but since we have a need at 2B and 1B, we might just keep all 3. To me, Travis is all but gone. I'd give Ockimey a look-see as a possible 1B platoon (or DH, if we trade JD), but I think I'm in a small minority on him. Not thinking of player psyches or anything, our best alignment might be 3B Dalbec, 1B Devers, 2B Chavis, but I wouldn't mess with Devers, at this point. He improved a lot over 2019 on defense, and I don't want to distract him at all. If we plan to trade Dalbec or Chavis, I vote Chavis. We have Lin, Marco & Chatham to fight for the 2B job, or we can sign a cheap 2Bman, if they flop.
  12. moonslav59
    So, JBJ to the M's for.... (Oh, NO! Not again!)
  13. moonslav59
    Betts is just 1 year- Eovaldi 2. The Astros have tons of money due to not spending for several years. They do have some stars nearing free agency and big arb years, but they are losing Cole, this year.
  14. moonslav59
    This was from Sept 30th, before the playoffs, and it mentions the Dodgers getting desperate, if they don't win in 2019. Hosuton was rumored to have wanted Eovaldi last winter. How about Betts & Eovaldi for Marisnik and a couple prospects? Then, we resign Betts after 2020 with the money saved from JD's opt out and Eovaldi's lost contract.
  15. moonslav59
    We only have to make budget room for 2021. We can reset in 2020 with Betts or without him. JD will opt out after 2020, but I'd trade him now. We can let Leon & Hembree go. We can trade Price and Eovaldi for some relief, but from the rumors I saw, some of the players we'd get back drop off the budget after 2020 or 2021, so that would help, if we sign Betts after 2020. Once we reset, my assumption is we can go over again- just not the max line (probably). We lose Pedey's deal after 2021.
  16. moonslav59
    I hope LSU wallops 'em, but I would not bet on it.
  17. moonslav59
    At the time, Kimbrel was paid like the top closer in MLB, but it was 3 years. Teams have given up a lot for great players. I'm not sure many teams will or can pay $28M for Betts, but he's worth way more than that to any team. We should get a few very good offers- better, if we take back some salary or give some cash.
  18. moonslav59
    Yes, per year, easily. People come to see him and the others play. They don't come to see Henry. Many come just to see Betts. They buy his jersey. They watch NESN, because of him, or even if just to watch all 25 players, he's worth 1/25th of that revenue per year. I'm estimating, but I'm pretty sure Betts brings in way more money than Hembree.
  19. moonslav59
    Betts likely makes over $50-60M for the Sox, alone. Of course he's justified to make $30M+.
  20. moonslav59
    But, you have a back-up in place.
  21. moonslav59
    True, but on last final very generous extension offer would speak for its self. (The anti-Lester maneuver.)
  22. moonslav59
    Agreed. Cots is all I ever use, being a "budgie" and all.
  23. moonslav59
    It's not really "small market" anymore. The Dodgers did it with Joc. That Yanks do it. Put the best team on the field as much as possible.
  24. moonslav59
    That's how I see it. First, I make him one final very generous extension offer, and let him know we value him and want him. Before trading him, I'd tell him we appreciate him and will be better in 2021 because of this trade. By 2021, we should have plenty of budget space to re-sign him. (By waiting until the season starts, however, we won't get a penalty for signing him in 2021.)
  25. moonslav59
    He only has started less than 10% of his games vs lefties, so you may be right (476 to 49 GS'd). He's basically played 5 seasons and only has 377 total PAs vs LHPs. Besides, I'm fine with platoons, and it's easier to find a matching player who hits lefties well and can defend the OF for real cheap.
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