moonslav59

Walden & Taylor did well, too.

Johnathan Diaz had an ERA of 8.22 in early May. He ended the season at 3.86. In the playoffs, he's gone 12.1 innings without allowing a run (15 Ks). He's a Rule 5 Player, this year. Do we add him to the 40 man?

We don't need JD to opt out to reset, but it would give us more wiggle room. My guess is he opts out after 2020, and if we reset next year, I guess it wouldn't really help having him here in 2020, unless we surprise everybody and compete during the reset. It's not impossible. Losing Porcello and Cashner are additions by subtraction (looking at just 2019 vs 2020). Losing JBJ, Holt, Moreland & Pearce could hurt, but we'll still have a solid 7-8 everyday players.

We just had good hitters at every position plus some on the bench. Our pitching let us down. My hope is all these down years were just that- one year downs. Our top 4 players by PAs are all over .909. 7 of our top 10 players by PAs are over .807 OPS. 9 of our top 10 are over .766. All 10 are over .724. No black holes until you get to #12 in PAs, Leon, at .536. We also have Marco at .781. He'll end up 14th in PAs. That's 11 guys over .724 and 10 over .766. If we lose JBJ (.724 at 6th in PAs), Moreland (.838 and 9th in PAs) and Holt (.815 at 10th in PAs), we may still have 7 returning guys over .766, this year and all 9 over .700. C .767 Vaz 1B .766 Chavis 2B .781 Marco 3B .932 Devers SS .955 Bogey LF .701 Travis CF .807 Beni RF .909 Betts DH .968 JD

Maybe $12M/2, but even that would put us over the luxury tax.

Me, too. My point was about this likely being JBJ's last year, so why not look at some possible role players for next year (I hope not GH!).

Nope on DD for 2020.

Rule 5 Players This Year Christopher Acosta Fabian Andrade Yoan Aybar Roldani Baldwin Eduard Bazardo Gary Calvo Marino Campana Pedro Castellanos Rusney Castillo CJ Chatham Jake Cosart Ricardo Cubillan Bobby Dalbec Enmanuel De Jesus Chad De La Guerra Jhonathan Diaz Jerry Downs Devon Fisher Matthew Gorst Kyle Hart Trenton Kemp Matt Kent Adam Lau Nick Lovullo Everlouis Lozada Tate Matheny Samuel Miranda Oddanier Mosqueda Josh Ockimey Angel Padron Yorvin Pantoja Keibert Petit Roniel Raudes Austin Rei Hildemaro Requena Jeremy Rivera Kleiber Rodriguez Jake Romanski Jagger Rusconi Alberto Schmidt Andrew Schwaab Nick Sciortino Kevin Steen Cole Sturgeon Kervin Suarez Luke Tendler Josh Tobias Marcus Wilson Minor League Free Agents Victor Acosta Cody Asche Trey Ball Bryce Brentz Edgar Corcino Keith Curcio Joey Curletta Anyelo Gomez Daniel Gonzalez Oscar Hernandez Dedgar Jimenez Tommy Joseph Kevin Lenik Robinson Leyer Deiner Lopez Isaias Lucena Austin Maddox Daniel McGrath Jenrry Mejia Joseph Monge Jhon Nunez Zach Putnam Erasmo Ramirez Tony Renda Teddy Stankiewicz Domingo Tapia Dylan Thompson Konner Wade Jordan Weems Tom Windle Jantzen Witte

We're going to be adding Dalbec before the rule 5 deadline. I'd like to see him this year, but if it takes away a year of control, then no.

We won't come close to passing even 1 team ahead of us. Two was a pipe dream.

Nope & nope. Reset in 2020!

They don't call 'em "pin stripes" for nothing. Each stripe has tiny needles to deliver the juice.

Apparently, 31 is only old, if it's a Sox player. This "kid" has never pitched over 161 innings, and he's about to turn 31. He won't pitch 150 this year. Somehow, he's going to magically get better and stronger as he ages.

Oh, so now you "inject" one month sample sizes. No, it was Sale-Price-Eo over Happ, Tana & Pax not Sevy or German or "anything you had." If you want to go 1 by 1: Sale> Pax Price> Tan (close) Eo=Happ

The funny thing is, even with less innings, they do have better WARs! Yes, I injected ERod and German and Sevy, but I'll stick to the Sale+Price+Eovaldi>Tanaka+Paxton+Happ in 2020 position. I know I'm putting a lot of faith in their health, and all 3 have "issues", but so do your 3.

I guess he's getting a long look at our marginal pen arms for 2020. That's about it. Marco & Travis should be playing nearly everyday. Let's see what Centeno, Dalbec and maybe even Ockimey or Chatham have. Let DHern go a few more innings deep.

The fat lady was singing after the sweeps to the Yanks and Rays weeks and weeks ago. Take off the ear plugs, my friend!

Paxton is getting better? Lights out stuff? Like Sale, ERod and Price don't have lights out stuff? Look at the K rates and xFIP. Paxton turns 31 next month, has still never pitched over 161 innings and won't this year either and has seen these numbers decline (somehow, I know if he was a Sox pitcher, you'd be pointing out his age, his lack of durability and decline): WAR 4.4 '17 3.7 '18 2.9 '19 (should go up some but not to 3.7) xFIP 3.25 '17 3.02 '18 3.92 '19 ERA- 71 92 90 ERA+ 140 108 106 K/9 10.3 11.7 11.5 You see improvement: I see decline and age and lack of durability. Things you only see in Sox pitchers.

And yet with the limited injuries, Price or Sale or both ended up with better ERA-, xFIP and WAR. Who's kidding who? (Remember, German & ERod were not part of the equation, but they are listed below) 2019: WAR 3.6 Sale 2.9 Paxton 2.9 Tanaka 2.6 ERod 2.3 Price 1.7 German 1.0 Happ ERA- 79 ERod 89 Price 90 Paxton 91 Sale 91 German 96 Tanaka 111 Happ xFIP 2.93 Sale 3.73 Price 3.92 Paxton 4.19 German 4.30 ERod 4.32 Tanaka 4.84 Happ K/9 13.3 Sale (Best ever and while injured) 11.5 Paxton 10.7 Price 9.6 German 8.8 ERod 7.6 Happ 7.3 Tanaka I've admitted health is a huge concern, as it is with Sevy, Paxton and Tanaka, but even with our top 3 having "down years," they still did better than yours. Expecting down years again may turn out right, but I like our odds better on the rotation ONLY. Plus, even if they have down seasons, they may still end up better, AGAIN!

Top AL WAR Players Sox 3. Bogey 6.4 4T. Betts 5.7 7T. Devers 5.5 25. JD M 3.2 T38. Vaz 2.8 T43. Beni 2.6 3 in top 7, 4 in top 25 and 6 in top 43. Astros 2. Bregman 6.8 6. Springer 5.6 (just 486 PAs) 10. Brantley 4.5 24. Gurriel 3.3 31. Alruve 3.0 (475) 34. Correa 3.0 (310) 39. Alvarez 2.8 (293!) 3 in top 10, 4 in top 25 and 7 in top 39. Without the injuries, maybe 7 in top 25. Yanks 9. LeMahieu 4.9 18. Torres 3.5 19. Judge 3.5 (just 374 PAs) 26. Gardner 3.2 (471) 47. Sanchez (423) 1 in top 10, 3 in top 25 and 5 in the top 50. Many injuries held many down. AL Pitching (Lance Lynn #1 at 5.9!!!) Sox T8 Sale 3.6 23. ERod 2.6 27. Price 2.3 40. Workman 1.7 46. Cashner 1.6 (2 teams) 3 in top 27 Astros 2. Cole 5.6 4. Verlander 5.2 (Greinke 2 leagues 4.4 would be 6th in AL) 34. Miley 1.9 3 in top 6! Yanks 16. Paxton 2.9 19. Tanaka 2.9 31. Chapman 2.0 42. German 1.7 2 in top 20.

Nice to see Salem & Lowell have had nice seasons. I know wins and losses mean little on the farm, but some of our kids are stepping up and looking pretty good. Minor Stats: 160+ PAs OPS .980 Owings .943 Corcino .905 de la Guerra .863 Jimenez .847 Wilson .832 Casas .817 Dalbec .813 Ockimey .813 Tobias .800 Belen .799 Decker .794 Travis .787 Cottam .778 Duran HRs 27 Dalbec (21 2B+3B in 471 ABs) 25 Ockimey (19 in 376) 20 Casas (31 in 428) 18 Brentz (17 in 310) 17 Castillo (26 in 460) OPS Against (100+ IP) .562 McGrath .583 Ward .651 Mata .651 K Wade .678 K Hart .686 Haworth .691 Reyes .691 J Diaz (not counting today's 6 IP 0 ER 2 H 3 BB) .724 Houck

NO! According to the non homer Yankee fan, jacko, Happ comes on at the end of the year, and inconsistency and age do not count for Yankee pitchers.

It's funny how Sale's injury means he's toast, but Severino is expected to be great next year. Sale still had one of the best xFIPs in MLB, this year. If he didn't have such horrible run support, we'd not be so down on him. He still has almost the same IP'd this year as "inning eater" Porcello. Yes, Price and Eovaldi are huge question marks, but both are not so old that they can't still have some great years in them. ERod is stepping up and could get even better. No doubt, 3 of our starters had down years, but there's no reason to think all 3 will repeat the 2019 season in 2020. Happ will turn 38 next fall. His ERA+ has gone 134>127>116>83. Paxton turns 32 next November (140>108>107) and has yet to pitch over 161 IP. Tanaka turns 32 next November (140>95>112>100) and hasn't been over 179 IP since '16. Severino will likely be a beats, if he can get healthy. Sox: Sale will turn 31 early next year and has missed time for 2 straight years, but his numbers are still better than the first 3 on list above (121>157>209>110). He's got just about the best K/9 and K/BB in MLB history. Price will turn 35 next year, and doesn't look like Justin Verlander. I get that. He did come up with some money games less than a year ago. His ERA+ has been better than the 3 on the Yankee list: 164>112>135>123>113. His K rate has been better than his career 8.8 all 4 years in Boston. (Career high, this year, at 10.7) Eovaldi is a stretch, I admit. His first full season, like Paxton, will be his first. (112>84), Career K/9 is 6.9. 2019: 9.1. It's all about health. ERod has become the horse we hoped he'd be. He turns 27 next year- peak prime. (95>109>116>127: constant improvement) He's on pace for 190+ IP. I know I'm a homer, but thinking that all 3 starters with down years will continue being down is Yankee homerism.

You'd take Tanaka (4.42), Happ (5.34) and Paxton (4.16)? And, I'm the "homer?" I did not say I'd take any one of our SP'ers over yours, I said those 3 vs your 3. (Add ERod and Severino and I'll take our 4 over your 4.) Stick to gloating over your pen, where your top 3 are all over 31. Look, you guys have a better farm. You have a better 25, this year. You have a better team, on paper, than us next year. I'm not talking about 2020, except for our rotation over yours. Let's see how your vaunted rebuild works out. My guess is, after you lose to the Astros, you'll be roasting Cashman for not getting SP'er help at the deadline. There are times when strategic spending, even known to be overpays, are needed to get you over the top. The "drunken" Price & JD signings won us a ring. Maybe the "drunken" Sale, Bogey and pending Betts signing maybe will in 2021 or 2022. If not, maybe we retool for 2023 or 2024. Spending big helps.

This playing it halfway solves nothing.