I tend to agree, but if I think we take some salary back- hopefully not Pederson, maybe Urias or Ruiz could come back.
Pollock- owed $51M/3 but just $12M on Lux Tax line.
Kelly- owed $16.7M/2 ($8.33M for each of the next 2 seasons).
That allows for a better return but still without one of their best prospects.
While the trade simulator is far from perfect, it might offer some ballpark options on what the Sox could expect in return for Betts (+50) & Price (-55.3) for Pollock (-39.3) & ________. If you add Joe Kelly (-12.7)to soften the financial blow to LA by a little more, the remaining differential is such:
Pollock without Kelly: 34.0
Pollock with Kelly: 46.7
Here are some players that, in theory, could be mixed and matched to come close to those numbers:
(These guys are too highly rated: Lux 85.1, May 61.4, Seager 57.4 & probably Verdugo 50.1.)
44.7 Ruiz C
29.1 Urias SP- majors
21.9 Downs 2B
19.9 Gonsolin P
18.3 Gray P
12.2 Maeda SP-majors
10.3 Cartaya C
7.6 Busch 2B
5.4 Vargas 1B/3B
4.7 Santana 1B/3B
4.5 Estevez 2B
4.5 Rios 1B
4.3 Wong C
3.3 Beaty 1B/OF majors (nice platoon with Chavis at 1B?)
I admit, I don't know jack about Dodger prospects, but in terms of what we need, I'm thinking something like this looks best, in theory:
Just Pollock (34 total in return):
19.9 Gonsolin P
7.6 Busch 2B
4.3 Wong C
3.3 Beaty 1B
Pollock & Kelly (46.7)
21.9 Downs
19.9 Gonsolin
4.3 Wong
or
19.9 Gonsolin P
12.2 Maeda P
10.3 Cartaya C
3.3 Beaty 1B
These deals assume no money added to the deal. If we add money, we can sweeten the return.
Add about $10M and maybe...
21.9 Downs 2B
19.9 Gonsolin P
10.3 Cartaya C
3.3 Beaty 1B/OF majors