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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    Yes, I mentioned him being up and down. I caught a lot of hell for suggesting he might be in decline. I walked that back, but I still worry & wonder.
  2. moonslav59
    I'm guessing nothing major or significant happens, but I'm going to wait until opening day to judge the winter as a whole. (As of now, it looks like a C or C-, since we failed to add a top quality 3B/2Bman and did not really get a great middle order bat. (Contreras is good but not great.) Adding Paredes, Hoerner or Shaw brings us to the plus side- like a B+ to B.
  3. moonslav59
    Why do some assume this? GMs have multiple talks going on at once, as they seek the best one they can make. They also might be haggling about who gets added onto a deal, but have a solid framework already worked out. I'm not saying the odds are high for a February trade, but there are a few teams with a surplus of infielders, and we have a surplus of SP'er depth many teams would die for. We also have 4 FT OF'ers and Masa at DH making $18M x 2. Granted, I'd put the odds at under 50% and maybe even under 33% a major deal gets done, but here are some past FEB deals by the Sox: 2024: Schreiber for Sandlin (a roster numbers move) 2023: (Jan 30) Barnes for Blier 2021: Beni for Wink, Franchy and others- plus- Springs & Mazza for Ro. Hernandez & Sogard (depth deal) 2020: Betts & Price for Verdugo, Downs & Wong (We are 2 days from the anniversary of that infamous deal.) Agreed, this list does not support the idea that big additions via FEB trades are common, but the need is present.
  4. moonslav59
    You don't think GM have talks where they are thinking, "I'll make this deal being offered, but I'm first going to try and improve on it or see how this other deal is moving along that I like better."
  5. moonslav59
    Good post, as always. The thing is, every team has players where it can be asked, "What if ___?" I'm not expecting a better offense than 2025. We lost too much to think that. I don't even expect the same runs scored or ranking on offense. I'm thinking 14-17th seems about right, as is. There is a pretty high ceiling, and I think the ceiling goes higher than #14 by more than the floor does from #17. Adding Paredes, Shaw or Hoerner would get us closer to even with 2025, which by the way, was not all that great, when adjusted for park factors.
  6. moonslav59
    Agreed. Not all players improve as they near 26-29, and the one year players are even harder to project. I think we can all agree Rafaela is too hard to project. Narvaez, Anthony and Mayer, too. The injury issue with Casas makes him a total guess. One should probably expect regression from Story, and maybe fewer games played, too. (One good reason to add IKF.) Masa may have peaked out around .750-.775. That's most of the everyday players on the roster. One could add Romy & DHam as hard to project, as well. Only Duran (who has also been up and down,) Abreu (several minor injury issues over the years,) and Contreras (getting older) seem like they are easier to project. I'm not saying the group as a whole will improve, but I do think there are no tangible reasons to "expect" the OF will decline. (Yes, I moved the goalposts by adding "expect.")
  7. moonslav59
    Yes, and we don't need everyone of these guys to become great. It does look like the odds 1 or 2 will/might be is better than we've seen in a long time- at every level on the farm!
  8. moonslav59
    I don't think we should be dismissing the chances a February deal gets made. There is a chance Brez already has an agreement in place, but is trying to get a better deal or work a deal with another team he'd prefer. Of course, maybe not, too. I haven't heard his say he's "working the phones" or the like.
  9. moonslav59
    I did think the o.2 projection was very low.
  10. moonslav59
    Just the extra 300 PAs from Anthony could help a lot, even if he hits the same as '25. If Mayer can play FT and hit .720 in his first full season, that will be helpful. The more IKF plays the worse the offense will be- but better the D. There is no reason to think the 4 OF'ers (Duran at DH) won't do better than 2025 as a whole. Narvaez & Wong are hard to project.
  11. moonslav59
    Fangraphs has the Sox projected as the 8th best team in MLB (4th best in AL.) That 0.2 for IKF helped us jump the O's. We are ranked 17th on offense and 1st in pitching. Sounds about right, to me.
  12. moonslav59
    And have Framber for 2 more years than Skubal.
  13. moonslav59
    We can't afford to trade for Seager or Buxton, and injury issues are concerning. Muncy? Wood? Chisholm?
  14. moonslav59
    I know KMarte is "off the table," but is Rooker really on it? The best bat "available" might be Paredes. He'd allow Mayer to play 2B or platoon it with Romy and I K F/Mayer to back up SS, too.
  15. moonslav59
    1. Moving Devers off 3B. 2. Signing I K F 3. ______? Not sure it's a trend yet, but maybe....
  16. moonslav59
    We better trade him, then.
  17. moonslav59
    Ahhh... genius.
  18. moonslav59
    BTV accepts Bello & Phillips for Shaw.
  19. moonslav59
    Bello & DHam gets to a yes! LOL
  20. moonslav59
    Why would Ken Boyer care?
  21. moonslav59
    I'm not sure about the pipe, but maybe a bong dream.
  22. moonslav59
    I did not need to imply experience matters more than nasty stuff, but as pitchers age, sometimes it compensates for losing some of the edge off their previously super nasty stuff. I have no idea if Bello will get better. I have seen many pitchers have their best seasons between 27-31.
  23. moonslav59
    Our #1 DH for a #3 SP! LOL
  24. moonslav59
    That would make Paredes like an 8 war player.
  25. moonslav59
    I agree, but it's hard for me to think a 26 year old can't keep getting significantly better. Sometimes, it's more about smarts and experience than nasty stuff and secondary pitches.
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