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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. In April, most everyone thought the Yanks did a fine job with their pitching staff over the winter. They had a 3.09 ERA in April. May's 3.33 ERA was pretty good, too. Their June ERA is horrific: 4.96, including Cole's 4.65 June ERA (German 7.27 & Taillon 6.14). The Yankee rotation has a 4.06 ERA with an OPS against of .704 (95 OPS+). Starter ERAs listed in order of most IP as a starter (24 IP+ unless listed) 2.66 Cole 4.06 Montgomery 4.50 German 5.43 Taillon 3.04 Kluber 5.47 King (24 IP) 6.48 Garcia (8 IP) Sox team ERA by month: 3.59 April 4.46 May 4.29 June Starters: 4.50 ERA and .769 OPS against (114 OPS+) 3.41 Eovaldi 4.43 Pivetta 4.96 Richards 5.83 ERod 4.04 Perez 4.82 Houck (9.1 IP) The Yankee starters still look better on paper, unless you subtract Kluber.
  2. Makes me think they must view Duran as being very very close to being "ML ready" as many here have felt he is. (Some feel he is past his ML ready date.)
  3. They have a -42 run differential, which ranks them 21st. Their 43-39 record ranks them 12th, so yes, they are one of the luckiest teams in MLB.
  4. Current Run Differentials (MLB ranking by W-L %) 132 HOU (5) 110 LAD (3) 95 SFG (1) 95 CWS (4) 79 SDP (7) 75 TBR (8) 64 TOR (12) Rather unlucky 62 BOS (2) Tied with SFG in standings 35 MIL (6) 30 OAK (8) 21 MIA (22) The unluckiest team 15 ATL (18) Unlucky, too -2 WSH (15) -2 Cubs (13) -3 NYM (10) Almost as "lucky" than we are. -3 NYY (14) Differential between run diff ranking and W-L ranking: +6 BOS +5 NYM +2 SDP +2 TBR +2 NYY +2 OAK +1 LAD 0 CWS 0 Cubs -2 SFG -2 WSH -3 MIL -4 HOU -5 TOR -6 ATL -11 MIA
  5. Plus, I'm not sure if big club urgency is a major factor in making this type of call. The Olympics and his readiness may be the over-riding factors. We could have 2 OF injuries, and he still may not be the one we call up.
  6. This team has grit. No studies can quantify that, and one can argue it is a trait that is unsustainable. Hell, I'd argue that point, too, in most cases, but this team just seems special. It reminds me of 2013, and despite the fact that the 2013 Sox led the league in run differential, they were not viewed as the best team on paper.
  7. Whatever works! Keep that mojo risin'!
  8. What other teams had better rotations on paper before opening day? I liked the Yankee rotation more than the Sox, but I did feel it was closer than many thought it was. I think most liked Kluber over Richards. Taillon over Pivetta German > Perez Montgomery vs ERod was a big unknown Cole >>> Eovaldi King/Garcia> Houck/Seabold
  9. Current Sox Players by GM Acquisition Theo (2003-2011) (Pedey) Bogaerts Vazquez Barnes Ben (2012-2015) Devers ERod DHern Chavis Bazardo DD (2015-2019 Sale JD Eovaldi Taylor Houck Brasier Dalbec Casas, Duran, Jimenez, Bello, Mata, A Ramirez, Song, Bonaci, C Murphy, Lugo, T Ward, Wilson, Groome, Howlett, Decker, Feltman Bloom (2019-present) Verdugo Whitlock Renfroe Pivetta Arroyo Kike Hernandez Sawamura Marwin G Cordero Andriese Valdez Santana Plawecki Workman Rios Downs, Seabold, Yorke, Wong, Rosario, Jordan, Winckowski, F Valdez, Potts, Arauz, R Hernandez, Drohan, F German, G Gambrell, M Bleis, J Wu-Yellan, T Reed, K Ort
  10. If you had to name two from next year's FA market, who are the next Pablo-HRams? Our weak positions, as of now seem to be: (Assuming no extension for ERod, Barnes, Ottavino or option for Richards) SP1 RP1 SP5 (Houck/Seabold/???) RP2 1B (Dalbec/Casas? or Cordero?) 2B (Arroyo/Kike/Downs?) CF (Kike/Duran or Cordero by shuffle?)
  11. Letting Happ walk was very understandable. Replacing him with a choice between several up and coming in-system arms seemed fine. Paxton, not so much, but still, e wasn't a model of durability. Replacing him with Taillon looked good, to me. Replacing Tanaka with Kluber was a huge gamble. The thing is, keeping Tanaka, Paxton and Happ would not have worked out either- just as us keeping our 2018 rotation for 2019 did not work.
  12. I hope we extend Devers. I have no idea what value Bloom puts on Bogey and Devers and how that value relates to FA market value. I think we will extend Devers before he reaches free agency. I think Bogey opts out and walks.
  13. I like the return we got, and maybe Winckowski turns out to be the best part of the trade. It wouldn't surprise me, if KC ends up trading Beni at some point.
  14. Plawecki has a .775 OPS in 159 PAs since joining the Sox, last year. .704 since 2017 (525 PAs). Vaz .721 last 2 years combined (454 PAs) .718 last 5 years (1589 PAs)
  15. "in" and not "on" is actually the correct terminology.
  16. Plawecki caught Eovaldi a lot, before getting hurt. Here is a breakdown of 2021's numbers by catcher. Note: many sample sizes are small, tiny and very unbalanced: OPS against/PAs against Eovaldi .519/54 Wong .671/174 Vaz .718/179 Plawecki Pivetta .749/298 Vaz .756/66 Plawecki Perez .690/276 Vaz 1.129/56 Plawecki Richards .647/41 Plawecki .882/334 Vaz ERod .814/340 Vaz n/a Plawecki
  17. I wish I knew. I also wonder how much throwing he is doing.
  18. You may be on to something, and everyone knows I have been no fan of Vaz's staff-handling for years, but Nathan has had other good 2 game stretches, this year without Wong: First 2 games 12.1 IP, 2 ER, 4BB, 11 K 11-12th starts 11.1 IP, 1 ER, 1BB, 14 K Neither are quite as good as these last two starts, but still...
  19. Agreed. I was going low end, assuming Cora babies him as much as possible, and how that still may not be enough to keep Sale from over-extending himself. You can have 20 guys talk to him about the need to not overthrow, but I fear the competitor in him may take over for just long enough to cause harm. He's smart enough to know his limits, but they guy is a fierce competitor and has been out of the thick of things for a long time. It must be killing him. (Just my opinion.)
  20. If we draft Mayer or Lawlar, Bogey's team control will be expired by the time they are ML ready. (Devers, too.)
  21. Exactly, but we still won 84, which is lower than the Yankee pace, as of now. If you guys finish below .500 with this team on paper, it will be monumental.
  22. He may only be up to 40-50 pitches per outing by October, or even less, but if he’s between 80-90%, that could be a huge help.
  23. If he gets back near form, he will help in some way- just maybe not as a 5-7 inning pitcher, even by October. My major worry is not so much about him not returning to form, but more about him reaching back for that little extra, possibly for just one pitch. Cora can baby him more than he actually needs and tell him not to overthrow, but if it’s a key situation, I’m not sure Sale has “dial back” in his vocabulary.
  24. Are we sure they did?
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