moonslav59
-
Posts
105,308 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
134
Content Type
Profiles
Boston Red Sox Videos
2026 Boston Red Sox Top Prospects Ranking
Boston Red Sox Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits
Guides & Resources
2025 Boston Red Sox Draft Pick Tracker
News
2026 Boston Red Sox Draft Pick Tracker
Forums
Blogs
Events
Store
Downloads
Gallery
Everything posted by moonslav59
-
Clutch vs. choke - do these numbers mean anything?
moonslav59 replied to Bellhorn04's topic in Other Baseball
How do you prove it's the "environment" that caused the difference? Nobody knows why players slump and get hot during the season, but suddenly, when they do in the playoffs, we know for sure why. That really makes sense to you? -
Clutch vs. choke - do these numbers mean anything?
moonslav59 replied to Bellhorn04's topic in Other Baseball
Obviously. -
So, without Houck and Duran, our farm may fall in the rankings, this winter.
-
I didn't hand pick sample sizes. I took the largest sample sizes available. The sample sizes where 2 catchers caught the same pitcher a significant amount of time. I didn't discard any pitcher- catcher sample size that was large enough to evaluate. Even if you dive deeper into smaller and more unbalanced sample sizes, they nearly all show the same thing: each pitcher does better with almost anyone not names Vaz. I even took the career numbers of all the Sox pitchers with a lot of IP'd since Vaz came up and compared those. The numbers were frighteningly bad for Vaz. Go ahead and look at the overall season CERA, where one catcher catches some pitchers way more than others- some almost exclusively, and use those numbers- like they mean more. The fact is, pitcher by pitcher, the back up get better results.
-
Yup. Hard to hit that one, anyway.
-
Damn! Thought we had a big shot, there!
-
Did Shaw even have his eyes open on those swings?
-
What I'm saying is, there are plenty of reasons to be optimistic about this year's team. I should not be one of just a few that see that.
-
I'm not always an optimist. I knew we had zero chance, last year and was one of the first to jump ship on 2019. Don't give up on this year's team: it has shown grit and determination.
-
Well, Eovaldi is more effective the 4th time through than the third, so go figure. Sale is slightly better the 3rd time than 2nd. (career .652 to .653.)
-
And, when we were losing we played tougher teams. (Maybe. I didn't check- lol.)
-
It's the only way to use the data- the only way. Not "my way." If you don't understand the correct way to use the stat, just ignore it.
-
Finalmente!
-
They are wildly different things. One isn't even a stat.
-
Yes, Vaz is objectively terrible in both categories against every back-up catcher, except Swihart with just about every pitcher with significant sample sizes with 2 or more catchers.
-
You know my views on CERA and OPS Against by catcher. He also has just 1 year of control left.
-
Like what he does vs. KCR 1.881 TOR 1.014 CWS .944 LAA .922 OAK .900 MIN .889 NYM .883 (BAL just .811)
-
When does Houck lose prospect status? How about Duran?
-
We could also guess that with Duran ahead of Cordero on the OF depth chart and Schwarber moving ahead of Cordero on the 1B depth chart, going forward, Duran would be more likely to play more often.
-
No to Richards. Probably No to Perez. No to Andriese (DFA) Schwarber will decline player option. Yes to Vaz (and maybe trade him)
-
Well, you did say Bloom does not care much about catcher offense, and you said Wong may be our back-up, so I assumed you meant they were high on catcher defense- which they had been with TB.
-
The thing is, it's not that. We are 11th out of 15 AL teams in Hard Hit Ball Percentage at 31.0%- (really 4th best) -actually better than TRB and CHW. It's interesting to point out that the top 7 AL playoff contenders have the best 7 hard hit% numbers: 29.7 OAK & HOU 30.3 NYY 30.4 TOR 31.0 BOS 31.2 CWS & TBR 31.4 LAA 31.5 SEA (Even SEA and LAA are placed near the top in the standings, too!) LD% shows us looking pretty bad, but the difference bwteen being 2nd last and middle of the road is just 0.6%. Best 18.2 NYY 19.4 TOR 19.8 DET 20.4 CLE 20.5 SEA & HOU 20.7 TBR 20.8 CWS 20.9 MIN 21.1 KCR & OAK 21.2 TEX 21.5 BOS & LAA 21.9 BAL The Sox are also 3rd best in Soft Hit % at 17.6% (behind only NYY & CWS) We are 5th in HR/FB at 12.6%, 4th in GB% (43.5%)and 3rd in GB/FB at 1.25. We are also 4th in K% (24.8%), so less balls are put in play than most teams, thank God! Our K/BB rate is 6th (2.79)
-
More than Cordero.
-
True, but the bottom 5-15 slots on the 40 man roster during Marcus's time here was a bit weaker. Downs has no chance of being bounced off the 40 man, unless by trade, at least until 2023 or beyond.
-
So, suddenly, he looks like a plus defender at catcher?
