Recent past performance has never indicated future results, especially pulling out an obscure stat that does have meaning but is surely not something odds makers use as their top factor. How far back do you go?
Why is the deadline the date you pick? (Not that the yanks don't still blow us away in shorter sample sizes, but longer ones, not so much.)
I've just never bought into the recency effect. Yes, it has value and meaning, but it's not the major factor.
What if the Yanks lose 5 of their last 6 vs "stronger teams?" Does that change the factor, or does the magic date of July 30th overpower everything?
We've gone 6 and 7 in our last 13 games. Before we played the yanks we were 6-4 vs winning teams, but how did that help?
If the Yanks go 2-4 in their last 6 games, they'll be 5-8 in their last 13 vs winning teams. Why would this not matter? If they go 3-3, they will have the same record as us vs winning teams in the last 13 games vs winners: 6-7. (They are 3-4 in their last 7 vs winners. They are 3-6 in their last 9.)