moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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Looking over the all time leaders in K-BB%, I found the Sox have 4 pitchers in the top 10, 5 in the top 14, 6 in the top 16, 7 in the top 22 and 8 in the top 23. Also, 9 in the top 30. 1. Sale 24.9% 4. Pedro 21.0% 6. Schilling 18.1% 10. Price 17.2% 14. Clemens 15.3% 16. Peavy 15.2% 22. Beckett 14.8% 23. Smoltz 14.5% 30. Lester 13.9%
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Hard to argue, except maybe 2018.
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Just one of thousands of maybes.
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Saw the movie American Underdog," yesterday. Made me think how many potentially great players never got a shot and missed the glory.
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The guy had a .935 OPS in 95 PAs (most at DH), that year, but then fell off a cliff. Left MLB with a career .814 OPS. (I don't remember him either. Daubach, Offerman and Stanley played 1B, that season. Rico Brogna played more 1B than Morgan, that year.)
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soxprospects has JBJ listed as the 4th OF'er with Verdugo in RF and Kike in CF. They also have Arroyo on the bench. They have 4 slots listed as "Acquisition:" 2B LF Closer RP2 Houck and Whitlock are listed as "Rotation/Long Relief."
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Which Non 40 Man Roster player has the best chance to make a positive influence on the 2022 Red Sox- not counting possible acquisitions? Some choices: Casas Feltman Cordero Munoz K Hart B Keller Z Kelly M Feliz F German K Ort T Cole R Fitzgerald D Hamilton J Mieses K Cottam P Castellanos Refsnyder D Granberg B Howlett T Dearden
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I don't think anyone is.
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Who is #7? Seabold? Groome? Jordan? Winckowski? Mata? Jimenez? Bleis? Song?
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So, six in maybe the top 110 or 120. Not bad! Thanks Bloom and DD!
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Plus, back then, 2Bmen and SSs often had low OPS. Burleson's .688 was probably about average for SSs in that era.
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Yes, I did not mean my list to reflect who are the worst players. It only shows the worst offensive players during my time as a Sox fan. Rick Burleson was my favorite Sox player, and Jerry Remy was a net plus player, IMO. Others are not even close to being among the very worst. (Same with some pitchers on that list- like Wake.)
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I know! A few I don't remember at all, but most I blotted them out. Only researching brought back these bad memories. I remember the Smoltz-Penny fiasco.
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PAs from 2021 to 2022 (as of now) 664 Devers >664 634 JD M> 634 604 Verdugo> 654 +50 603 Bogey> 653 +50 585 Kike> 650 +75 498 Vaz> 498 453 Dalbec> 528 +75 181 Arroyo> 381 +200 173 Plawecki> 173 112 Duran> 312 +200 75 Arauz> 75 That's 600 more PAs from this group. The rest... 572 Renfroe>0 271 Marwin> 0 168 Schwarber>0 136 Cordero> ?0? 127 Santana>0 82 Chavis, 64 Iggy, 48 Shaw > 0 Who gets these "extra" 900 or so PAs the top list can't make-up? ?450 JBJ ?450 Acquisitions in the OF and/or 2B? Casas, Cordero, Refsnyder, Downs, Munoz, Wong?
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Could happen, especially if his splits don't improve, but if he doesn't get benched for slumping, I'm thinking he gets more PAs in 2022. Tough call. Casas may squeeze him out of some, but as of now, there is no Danny Santana (44 PAs in 2021 at 1B), Marwin (44), Schwarber (38), Shaw (22) or Chavis (21) on the roster. Will we see JD play some 1B? Could Dalbec get some more PAs at 3B? (More than the 21 he got in 2021?)
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How about the worst Sox pitchers since 1972 by ERA: Increasing IP threshold... 40.50 Scott Cassidy (0.2 IP) 36.00 Keith Shepherd (1.0) 27.00 Ryan Cook (4.1) 22.24 Zach Stewart (5.2) 16.87 Jim Dorsey (8.0) 15.55 Kyle Hart (11.0) 11.77 Jermaine Van Buren (13.0) 11.10 Jack Billingham (24.1) 10.80 Todd Frohwirth (26.2) 9.53 David Pauley (28.1) 8.50 John Leister (36.0) 8.33 John Smoltz (40) 6.80 Tim Van Egmond (45) 6.65 Doug Bird (68) 6.50 Sun-Woo Kim (71) 6.25 Allen Webster (89) 6.07 Vaughn Eshelman (212) 5.87 Jeff Suppan (221) 5.57 Mike Brown (238) 5.43 Mike Smithson (270) 4.97 Jeff Sellers (330) 4.82 Felix Doubront (418) 4.62 Al Nipper (694) 4.51 Mike Torrez (1012) 4.43 Tim Wakefield (3006)
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It's hard to know how long a leash he may have, if he struggles, like he did last Spring. Maybe the fact that he bounced back might convince Cora to stick with him through a long slump. How well Casas is doing might affect the decision, too. Looking at my projection, I think that is on the high end of what I think will happen: Maybe 500 PAs and .240 28 88 is more likely (.790 OPS.)
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Pretty close!
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What Sox player has the highest OPS since 1972? (1+ PAs) 2.000 Roger Clemens! (in 1 PA) Okay, how about the worst (non pitcher with 5+ PAs)? .000 Gary Gaetti (11 PAs) .000 Ivan de Jesus (8) .000 Ryan Shealy (7) .077 Dave Coleman (13) Higher and higher PA sample sizes... .166 Craig Grebeck (43) .301 Danny Sheaffer (68) .380 Cesar Craspo (79) .444 John Flaherty (100) .463 Mark Lemke (100) .432 Allen Craig (195) .494 Marc Sullivan (397) .556 Mario Guerrero (537) .567 Ed Romero (727) .572 Jackie Gutierrez (788) .603 Doug Griffin (1786) .603 Tony Pena (1849) .635 Glenn Hoffman (2125) .668 Jerry Remy (3118) .684 Marty Barrett (3816) .688 Rick Burleson (4491)
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Can we count on anyone 100%? (Not that you asked about 100%.) I like Dalbec. I think there are good odds he can put together a good 2022 season- maybe with some slumps or prolonged slumps- maybe not. If I had to project, now (assuming 550 PAs vs 453 in 2021): .250 30 95 (.310/.500/.810) Of course, he could do much worse or significantly better.
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Maybe Dalbec is like JBJ without the superb D. He might just be streaky. So far, he has been. .959 first 92 PAs in MLB (2020 season) .595 middle 173 PAs (start to 2021) .916 last 280 PAs (end of 2021) All in all, maybe that 173 PA stretch was the outlier. He's had two nice streaks combined to make 372 PAs, which is over double the PAs of his cold streak.
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Yes, but almost all answers have a qualifier, as the worst player was probably one that got 2 or 3 PAs. Worst with 100+ PAs? Worst with 300+? 600+?
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Maybe...
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I mentioned Edgar and what amounted to us paying him about $40M for one forgettable season. Per dollar spent, he, Pablo and Carl Crawford are top 3 or 4, IMO.
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He did end up pretty much being benched for the playoffs. (12 PAs total)
