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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. When JH shows he's willing to spend like that, I'll change my tune.
  2. Very true. But you can't spend too big for too long, or you start getting penalized on drafting and IFA bonus money. It's not as easy as it used to be.
  3. This might cost $70-90M a year. I have us at about $60M below the lux line. It might not be all that far-fetched, but in a week FA market, maybe some of these guys will see their number bid up so high, Bloom will walk away.
  4. No problem. I was just responding to the "lousy before" comment.
  5. Again, only the JBJ and Diekman were a major part of the decline. The rest was all due to carry-over players who declined- some by a lot.
  6. Ref has the 6th best bWAR of the everyday players and is 0.1 away from having the highest BWAR among our OF'ers. Not easy to do when not playing much, but he has been far from irrelevant. A 0.5 bWAR from Hill at $5M is not as bad as it sounds. Strahm's 0.6 fWAR is 4th best among RP'ers and at $3M was a good signing, right?
  7. The thing is, it takes 3-5 years to really build up the farm, and depending on how many HS players you draft highly, it might take 2-4 or 5 more years to start seeing the results. By then, Bloom may be long gone, and the next GM reaps the rewards of his work.
  8. In terms of not resetting the tax for near future advantages, yes, but signing a good young player to 4-6 years should ot hurt a longer term strategy, per se.
  9. I did not say top closers are a crapshoot. I said planning for the closer position often turns out like a crapshoot, with 2018 and 2013 as prime examples. The "crappy plan" (Bailey/Hanrahan) worked out way better than the "master plan" (Kimbrel).
  10. True, and it's not the first topic everyone's views are thoroughly known, yet still repeated over and over.
  11. Why not at least mention all the good moves? Wacha Schreiber Refsnyder Strahm (Hill at $5M not bad) We are not even sure the Story signing was his choice. No doubt, the JBJ deal sucked, bigtime. What GM would have signed Rizzo when you had a young 1Bman with an OPS over .810, especially when you had holes open on the pitching staff and 2B? If he counted on Arroyo, instead of signing Story, we'd have seen Down almost all year at 2B, and people would be saying he didn't "fix the 2B problem." I do agree that this winter decides Bloom's fate.
  12. Bench Pham? Choose your sample size... .500 last 3 games .845 last 7 games .865 last 21 games
  13. To trade Sale, we'd have to take back salary, or offer a prospect with him. According to BTV, his value is -$26M, which is about the same as Bello's +$26M. Would we trade Sale and Bello for nothing, except to free up budget and tax space? How about Sale, Yorke, Duran and Jordan? I kinda think Sale is going to comeback strong.
  14. Schreiber only had a little over 30 IP at the ML level spread over 3 seasons, so it's hard to get a good read on how good he was before this season. He did have some very nice minor league numbers, so maybe this was not a fluke year: 2.41 AAA in 138 IP 2.49 in AA in 65 IP 0.54 in A in 50.1 IP 2.76 in A- in 29.1 IP 2.13 overall 283 IP with an 1.051 WHIP, 10.0 K.9 and 2.8 BB/9, 0.4 HR/9. From what I've seen, the guy has some very nasty stuff working for him. As with almost all RP'ers, he may go up and down going forward, but he looks for real, to me.
  15. Thanks. I think harmony discourages copying and pasting copyrighted material to a large extent.
  16. The Pirates entire season would be free, then. To me, we should be playing bubble players to get a better read on 2023. I'd be playing McGuire and Wong. I'd have called up Casas and played him at 1B. I'd play Arroyo at 2B and Story at SS to see if Story's arm is okay at SS, and give Arroyo more 2B reps. I'd play Dugo in LF, Kike in CF (to see about re-signing him, if he looks healthy) and ref in RF. Pham, Cordero, Dalbec at DH. Sorry Bogey and JD. However, I can see why this will never happen.
  17. I'd offer him a QO. I actually forgot to add him, but I added Abreu from my last suggested plan. Maybe QO Wacha and don't ask for Luzardo in the trade, and take back Yorke.
  18. Agreed, but I'm not sure winning is the plan, nowadays.
  19. Then, Arroyo at 1B it must be. Not OF. Not 2B. Not DH, although it might be his best spot- and the team's best line-up. No, Cora will not bench JD. He won't even move him to the 6th or 7th slot in the order.
  20. BTV accepted this trade as a minor overpay by the Sox: Casas, Yorke, Wikelman & RHern to MIA Lopez, Luzardo & Stallings (the catcher Bloom tried to trade for, last winter) Sign: Abreu 1B (1-2 years), Swanson SS (3-5 years), Nimmo CF/RF (5-6 years), Kike (3 yrs), Fulmer (3 yrs) & Rogers (3 yrs) SP1 Lopez SP2 Sale SP3 Paxton (Bello) SP4 Luzardo SP5 Pivetta Closer Houck Relief Ace Whitlock Set Up Fulmer Set Up Rogers Set Up Schreiber RP6 Barnes RP7 Taylor (Crawford, Wink, Murphy, Seabold, Kelly) RP8 German 1. R Swanson SS 2. L Nimmo RF 3. R Story 2B 4. L Devers 3B 5. R J Abreu 1B 6. L Verdugo LF 7. R Kike CF 8. L Cordero/R Arroyo/ R Dalbec/L E Valdez (Bench) 9. R Stallings C/L McGuire C I'm not sure how much this puts us over the tax line, and if we extend Devers, we'll be looking at a tight budget beyond 2023, unless we can get Abreu to sign a 1 year deal. (We lose Barnes after 2023.)
  21. I'm curious, too.
  22. Agreed, but I still think this is the best OF, right now: LF: Dugo CF: Kike RF: Refsnyder Ref is hitting better vs RHPs than Pham. He kills lefties. Pham can PH, be the 4th OF'er and maybe DH here and there. Ref is better, for now, anyway.
  23. I just called Porcello okay, along with Lackey and Nate, who both had worse numbers in many areas. Had we won a ring in Porcello's Cy Young year, I think the mood would have been different.
  24. That's what I would guess, and it's another reason why I don't hold Bloom to the fire as much as some do. Many of the major choices he made were forced on him. 1. Betts/Price deal and salary dump going into 2020. 2. The Story signing. 3. The severely restricted budget going into 2021, when we had 10+ slots in great need of upgrading. 4. A mandate to build up the farm, which makes it hard to add players via prospects for stud deals. 5. The uncertainty around spending going into 2022, then bam- sign Story, NOW! I'm not downplaying all the bad moves and choices Bloom made, although some of them are still open, due to the prospects we got. He made some bad choices. No doubt.
  25. Were Schwarber and Rodon your first 2 choices? Also, was Bloom's checkbook open early in the winter signing period?
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