moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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Yes, I saw that. I did not disagree with that. I disagreed with spending $20M/2 on a 4th OF'er. 1. I doubt we have enough to even move the money you have for Myers to the pen. 2. If we do spend as much as you suggested, I would not spend that amount on lower need area. 3. Spending that $20M on other positions, either by adding 1 or 2 more FAs or by upgrading on one or two slots is a better way to spend. If we add Beni, our OF is not longer even close to a high need area. I'd even rather bring Vaz back or sign another catcher than a 4th OF'er, let alone someone like Myers.
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I want to improve the OF, too, along with many other positions. I fully realize that Ref could easily have been a flash-in-the-pan and counting on Duran or Rafaela as OF depth in 2023 is not something I want to do. We both agree we need an OF'er. I like Nimmo and have been warming up to a Beni return, just because there are so few other options out there, especially with decent OBPs. I just can't see placing the 4th OF'er/ part-time DH as a high enough priority to spend $20M/2 on. The more we have for the rotation, pen, SS, a starting OF'er and locking up Devers, the better.
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I have hopes for Ref, but I'm not sold on him. He may just be a flash. He may be a late-bloomer. I do, however, think we have much greater needs than improving on our 4th OF'er- certainly not for $20M/2. That kind of money can get you a good RP'er. I'd be fine starting the season with Ref as our 4th OF'er and possible DH platoon/partner.
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You really put a lot of blame on managers.
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Muscleman!
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Keep pumping up Myers, but he's a 1.2 per year WAR guy since 2019 and he's also 31, same as Ref.
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Yuck! I wouldn't give him $10M/2.
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bWAR since 2019: Kluber 1.8 (91 ERA+) Wacha 2.7 (91 ERA+) I know Kluber used to be a bull, but 2018 was a long time ago. I think a recent 4 year sample size is more telling than what a pitcher did over 5 years ago. Just my opinion.
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They would both be a gamble, but I'd go with one year of Wacha over 2 yrs of Kluber. I'd really prefer we trade for a starter with a record of durability.
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I never said I wanted Nate back. I said I'd give Wacha a QO. One year. It's a close call. Maybe he'd take $26M/2, instead. Yes, he scares me, but it's one year not 2 x a QO cost you suggested for Kluber. I think this looks safer: IP since 2019: 281 Kluber 412 Wacha
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SP's Awards, today: Brayan Bello: Graduate of the Year (Duran, Crawford and Winckowski were the only other grads) Xander Bogaerts: Homegrown Player of the Year (Devers was his only competition.) Mookie Betts: Ex-Prospect of the Year (No love for Beni!)
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Why is Kike worth $10M/1 and Myers $20M/2? The Kluber idea scares the hell out of me.
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What a complete dive off a cliff. Age 21-23 (1841 PAs) 162 gm avg: .278 40 104 (77 XBHs w 14 SBs) .369 OBP/.559 SLG/.928 OPS Age 24-26 (1143 PAs) .203 23 74 (31 XBHs w 8 SBs) .272/.376/.648
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I think signing Swanson, Nimmo, Wacha, Fulmer & Montero while trading for Lopez makes us "much better." We might even come close to re-setting.
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She can more than take care of herself.
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It was 4 games in early June: 1-1 w 1BB 1-1 w 4BB 1-2 w 2BB 1-2 w 2BB 4-6 w 9 BB in 4 games (2 triples & 5 SBs)
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Speaking of pitching, here are the best OPS Against numbers by Sox pitchers with 60+ IP: .559 Bello AA/AAA .584 Politi AA/AAA .593 Mata 4 Teams .616 Keller AAA .618 Stock A/A+ .623 Wikelman A/A+ .642 Encarnacion A/A+ .653 Winckowski AAA .656 Seabold AAA .657 Uberstine A/A+ .687 Murphy AA/AAA .690 Drohan A+/AA 50-60 IP .495 German AA/AAA .519 Polanco DSL .545 Kelly AAA .585 Walter AA/AAA .601 T Ward (4 Teams) .623 Paez FCL .626 L de la Rosa FCL/A .661 Webb (3 Teams) .663 Wallace AA .664 Talavera FCL/A .685 Thompson AA/AAA .686 Mosqueda AA Notables with under 50 IP .362 Simon Pacheco DSL 35.0 IP .416 Alvaro Mejias DSL 29.1 .454 Andres Ortuno DSL 24.1 .473 Inmer Lobo DSL 22.0 .481 Railin Perez DSL 23.1 .495 Henry Nunez FCL 30.0 .561 Elmer Rodriguez-Cruz FCL/A 38.1 .572 Kaleb Ort AAA 40.2
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I think that is fair, but all FA deals seem to be overpays, so $160M/6 seems okay, to me.
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Yes. I meant I said it earlier, today in a post, and said that is what the analytics say, which is what Kimmi relayed to us, long ago.
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He got his BB% from 8.5 to about 14%, this year. I remember he had one stretch where he had about 10 BB in 4 games.
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Interesting info in Bogey and the shift. The other thing about a long term deal is that Bogey will likely not be a SS for much longer. Getting top SS pay while playing 2B or 3B is not something many GM will sign up for.
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I don't think it matters at all what Bogey wants. The Sox will set a price and stick to it, like they always do. If another GM offers more, he'll be gone. I'm talking about what offer the Sox make that saves face (or half face, as I called it, since they already apparently low-balled him, already.) What do you think is a "fair offer." It should not have to do with what Correa is asking for or even gets.
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That's what I said: "2, 1, 5, 4, 3"
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Correa will likely get less than $35M a year, but it will be longer term. What's your fair offer TO Bogey?
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This is who and what we saw at our top 5 slots: PAs Batter OPS+ 1 204 Kike 79 (.275 OBP) 203 Pham 91 (.305) 165 Duran 89 (.285) 70 Refsnyder 120 (.357) 68 Story 56 (.279) 16 Arroyo 136 (.375) 2 455 Devers 112 141 Dugo 89 45 Vaz 78 24 Pham 79 17 Ref 143 13 Kike 113 12 Story 45 3 312 Bogey 123 290 JD 123 52 Devers 110 24 Dugo 113 4 301 Bogey 127 144 Dugo 121 122 JD 88 105 Devers 81 5 265 Dugo 110 165 JD 112 78 Story 94 39 Vaz 124 37 Arroyo 137 34 Kike 30 21 Dalbec 181
