I have said all along, IMO, at no point in the process have the Sox felt Bogey was worth market price. Yes, the market prices changed and drastically in the last month or so. Not wanting to pay market price is not the same as not wanting Bogey or having him as a top or the top priority.
I'm sure Henry and others get some of their information from Bloom, as well as his opinions and recommendations. I don't think anyone knew the market was going to explode, including Bloom. They all got that wrong, but to me, it has nothing to do with us losing Bogey.
IMO, they did not think he was worth about $170M/6 over a year ago. They did not think he was worth $200M/8 during the season and maybe into November, and they certainly don't think he's worth what he got.
In hindsight, knowing what the market seems to be settling in at for the best of the best, $200M/8 looks like a good deal, and certainly one can rightfully blame Bloom & the rest of Sox management for not foreseeing the bubble bursting and locking Bogey up before it did. One can logically claim Sox brass for not seeing what was about to happen. I'm not sure many saw it coming, or all these guys might have been locked up long ago.
I seriously doubt Bloom was the main guy or only guy getting the market projections wrong. He may or may not have had a major hand in figuring out what they thought Bogey would get. IMO, all along the way, whatever number they thought he'd get- right or wrong, they never felt he was worth paying that or near enough to get him to sign to stay here.
We don't know, but maybe, if they had to do it again, they still would not pay him $200M/8, which might be the least he'd have agreed to. Call that a mistake. Call that a major mistake. It's a valid opinion, and when comparing that price to what others are making, it looks like a good deal. My point is, even if it looks like a good market deal, that, alone, does not mean we made a mistake not offering it, especially if they don't think he's worth it. Only time will tell, if he will be worth it, but with inflated salaries, the odds are, in 8 years, he will be, but again, being worth it does not mean we should have done it.
There is a 40 man roster and a 26 man roster to think about. There is the future to think about. I think they see Mayer in our system and chose not to spend large and long on a SS who does not want to be moved off SS, whether he's worth $200M or not. Call that a mistake, too. Fine. It very well may be. I'd guess in 8 years we will say it was. We know, now, the Lester situation was a mistake, but certainly he could have declined, and few would still be talking about it.