moonslav59

Ah yes, Tolle only went 5 IP (3ER) 14 games ago, and Bennett went 5.1 (2 ER) 13 games ago. My bad. For some reason I was thinking 5 IP was the cut off. The last bad start by a Sox pitcher was 15 games ago. Early vs TEX: 4.2 IP 11 Hits 6 ER 2 BB & 3K

Durbin had a great June, last year, too.

Several players from the 2025 team were approaching prime or at peak prime. They should have done better and not just the same. A few players were young enough that projecting improvement was not justified. Call it the "sophomore slump" and some players have down seasons year 3 or 4, too, but too many are doing worse (Durbin & Mayer), way worse (Narvaez) or are hurt (Anthony.) Blame Brez and ourselves for hoping for better than what these guys have given us, but these 4 hurt us badly. (Durbin is seeking redemption.) Abreu plateau'd in peak prime. Duran fell sharply just as he reached the "peak" years. Yoshida is in prime and got worse. Story was already past peak prime, but not so far past that this type of cliff dive was to be expected. The injury seemed like a near blessing, Wong bounced back. Rafaela continued the normal bell curve rise as he gets closer to prime.

You think Duran will be good in 2028 (his final arb year) ?

I wish these two the best, but honestly, I'm not counting on any value added. I'm not writing either off, but we can't plan on a return.

SEA holds the last WC slot at .500 (same +8 run diff as BOS) -1.5 HOU -2.0 MIN -2.5 ATH & TOR -4.0 BAL -4.5 BOS We've won 8 of 11 and passed nobody.

Isn't it 14, now?

He only works in June.

Soxprospeccts.com podcast listed the core 5 as: Crochet, Suarez, Tolle, Anthony and Rafaela (borderline) Next tier 1A: Early, Bennett & Abreu (They have confidence in the pitching pipeline, so maybe can trade Early or Bennett, since they can be replaced. "Big chips to get a bat." Need to balance with a RHP starter, at some point. Eyanson + vets Crawford-Houck-Oviedo) Core/Keepers? Contreras, Mayer, Whitlock, Slaten (Would listen on offers)

The Sox have won 7 of their last 10 games and have 13 straight quality starts. (June 15 to June 28) MLB Team ERAJune 15> 2.58 BOS 2.84 TBR 2.91 SFG SP Only: 1.87 ERA (43 ERA-) 0.84 WHIP Pitchers: 0.71 Suarez (16 ERA-) 1.53 Bennett (35) 1.69 Gray (39) 2.25 Early (51) 3.00 Tolle (69) All under 0.94 WHIP (The pen has a 4.32 ERA in these 13 games)

Sox are 7-8 in Suarez starts. He has 4.26 run support and some bad luck. The Sox lost these games with these Suarez lines: 4IP 3H 0ER 1BB 3K 5.1 4 9 1 8 6.1 6 1 0 6 6.0 7 1 1 9 The record could easily be 11-4 or 10-5 in his starts. There was one win with 4 ERs in 5 IP, so 10-5 or 9-6 is a fair estimate.

A. Wong is okay on defense. He has a career 20% CS rate, which is not great, but not horrible. B. Abreu just barely overthrew the cutoff man. He leads the league in OF assists and is a legit GG winner. Chapman should pat Abreu on the back for saving his ass a few times. (BTW, Abreu made a great catch earlier in the game.)

Last Offseason- not including draft picks and IFA: Traded: Harrison, Drohan, Fitts, DHam, Dobbins, Bernardino, Perales, Hicks, Grissom, C Murphy, Jh Garcia, Hoppe, Sandlin, Clarke, Fajardo, Travieso, L Guerrero, Aita, Reimer, Galle (lost and regained: Paez & Bastardo/ Gained and lost: T Gray) Acquired: Suarez, Contreras, S Gray, Bennett, Durbin, IKF, Coulombe, Monasterio, Seigler, Oviedo, T Guerrero, Samaniego, Watson, Gasper, Cheng, Kahnle, Ziehl, I Jackson, Thaiss, Delay, N Baez, Ro. Hernandez, L Heyman, A Guzman ________________________ 2024-2025 Winter: Traded: Teel, Montgomery, Meidroth, Booser, Gasper, E Valdez, Wikelman, Elmer Rod Added: Crochet, Bregman, Chapman, Buehler, J Wilson, Narvaez, Newcomb, Burdi, Moran, Eaton, Fajardo, Fulmer, Vogatsky _________________________ 2023-2024 Winter: Traded: Sale, Verdugo, Schreiber, Urias, Ammons, Robertson & Santos, Added: Giolito, O'Neill, Romy, Fitts, Weissert, Slaten, Hendriks, Criswell, Grissom, Joely Rod, Heineman, Sandlin, I Campbell, Judice I probably missed a few.

ARod- LOL Technically: Schilling, Foulke and Reese? Maybe 2003 was better: Ortiz, Mueller, Millar/Kim/Timlin

We need a real deal bat. Tibbs is an unknown value at the big league level. With so many teams still "in it," I'm not sure who the sellers will be or how we match up with their wants and needs, but here is a run down of the worst teams and who might help us with our offensive needs: Top players by 2025+2026 OPS- some are or may be untouchable or not in JH's price range. Under .800 are selected players of interest... COL .863 Rumfield/ .843 Goodman/ .842 Moniak KCR .841 Witt NYM .935 Soto/.790 Lindor DET .814 McGonigle/ .807 R Greene/.770 Torkleson/ .756 G Torres SFG .818 Devers (LOL)/.746 Chapman/ ,728 WAdames LAA .823 Trout/ .780 Neto CIN .805 S Stewart AZ .887 Carroll/ .851 KMarte/ .809 Perdomo WSH .847 Wood/ .780 CJ Abrams PIT .809 Horwitz/ .809 O'Hearn/.800 BLowe BAL .854 Alonso TOR ,869 Springer MIN .886 Buxton/.798 Jeffers ATH .980 Kurtz/ ..851 Langeliers/ .817 Cortes/ .815 Soderstrom/ .806 Baldwin HOU .953 Yordan/ .829 Pena/ .796 Paredes MIA .848 Stowers ____________________________ My short list of reasonable targets: CJ Abrams SS (WSH) High salary lowers return costs? BLowe 2B (PIT) Probably the most bang for the buck Paredes 3B/DH (HOU) 1.5 yrs of control Jeffers C/DH (MIN) 3 month rental lowers cost Torres 2B (DET) 3 month rental KMarte 2B (AZ) High salary lowers return costs? Adames SS (SFG) High salary lowers return costs? _____________________________ BTV accepts: Phillips, Romero & Alcantara for BLowe, O'Hearn and Comp A pick or To BOS: Abrams & Jeffers To WSH: Mayer, Buxton & Wong To MIN: Ford, Soto, Witherspoon & Valera or Duran & Witherspoon for Paredes or Casas and Monasterio for Torres

He just too unpredictable on so many levels- from offense to defense to emotional, mental and body type (Physical). He changed positions. He changed his stance and approach more than any player I have ever seen, and it's just been 6 seasons, including two tiny sample size ones. He missed the road trip to TOR during COVID. He's had numerous run-ins with fans. He's had countless base-running and defensive, mental blunders. He's had stretches, some very long, where he looks like a top 15 to 20 everyday player in MLB. Other times, he looks average. Still others, he looks totally lost- both on O and D. Nothing in baseball is predictable, but you try and get as close to it as you can, and with this guy, it's impossible.

I don't see how anyone's opinion has not changed, at least to some degree. We still have way too many teams between us and the WC berth, but looking at the run diff numbers of those teams, they are due to regress to their norm. +101 NYY (13 over .500) +24 TBR (15 over .500) +18 CWS (4 over, but are they really this good?) +5 BOS (13 under!!! Talk about snakebitten!) +4 SEA (1 under and the last WC berth) -3 DET (14 under is about as shocking as the Sox) -8 TEX (at .500 and the last 2nd of 3 WC berths) -8 CLE (4 over- go figure) -26 BAL (7 under) -30 MIN (just 5 under) -33 TOR (just 6 under) -36 LAA (13 under) -42 HOU (just 2 under is amazing!) -70 KCR (15 under is about right)

If the deadline was tonight, I'd buy. I would not trade Arias. I'd look at trading farm pitching for a bat upgrade or two. Close call.

Of course how this season ends will have something to do with how this game ranked in Sox-Yanks lore, but wow, what a finish! Duran Duran! Hungry Like a Wolf!

It was 4-2 into the bottom of the tenth, but yes, we never come back like that. On Chapman, they scored on a flyball to Abreu and a terrible throw, then a chopper up the middle for a fielder's choice, followed by 2 Ks. Chapman is more than fine.

Yup. The situation was similar to Bloom's, except Bloom didn't make 3 great moves like these in his whole time with the Sox! LOL

It's $40M

PLUS BENNETT!!! It might be the 3-4 best off seeason adds in a single season in Sox history. Note: we are just halfway through the season, so this could change. Add Durbin, Coulombe, Guerrero, Seigler, Monasterio & IKF. What have we heard a lot of? Harrison, Drohan, DHam and Jordan.

I mentioned this before. Also, Coulombe has done pretty well, too! After last night's Chapman performance, Coulombe now has the best OPS Against on the staff! 50+ PAs Against .580 Coulombe .581 Chapman .586 Tolle (hard to do as a starter) .605 Moran (done with rehab) .606 Bennett (second rookie leading the rotation) .607 Suarez (great signing by Brez) .614 Kelly (in AAA) .620 Whitlock (not a typo) .639 Guerrero (another hidden gem addition) .663 Gray (great trade, and got STL to pay $20M1) ____________________ .713 Samaniego (another Brez add) .725 Weissert (meh) .726 Early (3rd rookie in rotation) .764 Watson (double meh) __________________ .818 Crochet .852 Bello .871 Slaten Whodathunk these 3 would be the bottom-dwellers?

Agreed. All they look at is 3 months of Gray's value minus his salary vs 5-6 years of the average value of a B Comp Pick.