moonslav59

A look at Bobby Dalbec For all the issues with Bobby Dee's strike outs and defense, it's hard to totally give up on this 27 year old. The 35% K-Rate is awful, and it wasn't much better in the minors. I doubt he ever rids himself of high K-Rates, but the question has always been, "Can he hit, hit for power or get on base enough to make up for the Ks?" We hoped his defense would improve when moved from 3B to 1B, but it's really only gotten worse, and to the point where it is a clear drag on his value as a non DH. His .360 career OBP in the minors did not translate well to the bigs, where it sits at .318. The SLG has faired better but still dipped from .507 to .456. The 45 HRs and 85 XBHs in 814 career ABs is decent, and would normally be enough to keep anyone in the bigs for a while, but the horrific D and lowering OBP makes him a big question mark on being good enough to outweigh the massive K totals. Let's face it: this guy looks pathetic at the plate for super long periods of time. It's his streakiness that bugs the hell out of us, but those hot streaks have been good enough and sometimes long enough to keep some hope alive. Here are his numbers by cherry-picked time periods: .959 first 92 PAs of career (the 2020 season) .595 first 173 PAs of 2021 .881 next 78 PAs in '21 .487 next 55 in '21 1.104 in last 147 PAs of '21 (0.00 in 12 PAs in the 2021 playoffs) .578 first 164 PAs of '22 .715 last 189 PAs of '22 Overall, if you look at his 650 PA average for his 898 career PAs and think this is just his start to MLB, one might think the guy looks very promising: .232 33 96 (62 XBHs) He has options left, so giving him another chance to work his way back up into another change in the bigs makes sense, to me. Previously... A look at Josh Taylor I've always liked this guy, but the injury bug has bit him hard, of late. His 2019 and 2021 seasons are two of the best seasons we've seen from our pen in the last 4-5 years: 2019 (47 IP) 3.04 ERA 3.11 FIP 1.18 WHIP 11.8 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 2021 (48 IP) 3.40 ERA 2.83 FIP 1.43 WHIP 11.3 K/9 and 4.3 BB/9 He may never recover from his serious injury, but I can understand why we are holding onto him on the 40. (He still has 2 options remaining, so why not?) A look at Ryan Brasier Many of us wonder how this guy is still on the 26 and 40 man roster year in and year out. No doubt, he has look good and very good, at times, but that seems to be fewer and fewer times or so long ago, it's almost forgotten. He's had some stretches of very good pitching, and his 34 IP in 2018 were excellent (1.60 ERA/ 0.772 WHIP), but since then his numbers have been: 155 IP (4 yrs) 4.82 ERA 1.32 WHIP 9.5 K/9 2.8 BB/9 3.92 FIP (which might be the answer to why he's still here) It was 3.61 in 2022 & 3.07 after May 17th. I keep thinking he might be the next guy DFA'd or traded for scraps, but it never happens. Maybe, this will be the year.

I'm think we can expect... 28-33 GSd from Pivetta 25-30 Bello & Whitlock 23-28 Kluber 0-24 Sale & Paxton The good thing is all 6 are seemingly healthy, right now. ??? Winckowski, Crawford, Mata, Walter, Murphy

RIP Lee Tinsley. He was 53.

You don't have to. I just thought the word "extremely" was over the top. You don't. That's fine. To me: Extreme >> Substantial.

When Ellsbury came up, he struggled on defense, especially getting bad breaks and taking wrong routes to fly balls. He ended up doing okay and even pretty good on D. It's not yet time to give up on Duran, but he shouldn't be our starting LF'er, let alone CF'er. He needs to re-earn a starting slot.

It wasn't in a flattering way...

Agreed, but we have 18 first basemen/DHs and 3 OF'ers, one of which might be starting at middle IF. I also said, I'd trade Dalbec not DFA him before DFA'ing Duran. Again, it's not out of any love or hope for Duran. We have Turner and Casas. Even Arroyo can play 1B better than Bobby Dee. Yoshida might, too, someday.

I see it as having less faith in Brasier and Ort and liking our pitching depth way more than our OF depth and middle IF depth which may force Kike to 2B or SS. If we added Andrus and Michael Taylor, I'd think a bit differently about who goes next. People gave up on Dalbec and look what happ... oh, wait!

I was never high on him and must have traded him on BTV 20 times, but I've lost almost all faith in him. I do, however, think a few others should go before I totally give up on him. I'd start with Brasier and Ort. I'd try to trade Dalbec before I'd cut Duran, especially when we have such weak depth in the OF and may need Kike in the middle IF, this season. CF is insane, though, and again, I'm not sure why we keep overloading on LF-only types.

Yes, that post was from 3 days ago.

335 PAs is that definitive?

My only issue was the word "extreme" not "injury prone."

They'd have to think Seabold was better than their #40. The O's must have felt DHern was better than their #40, so who knows?

I heard that before, but it wasn't mentioned again. It may bring down the AAV, some.

Yes, it's the best time to get a deal done, quickly. We just DFA'd DHern, then traded him, days later.

I'm not going to argue semantics. "Extreme" seemed a bit to much. I fine with "substantial." Most Sox fans seemed thrilled we signed this "extreme risk."

BTV has accepted these two trades and both seem to be liked by people on both sides: This one has 3-0 approval on theMarlin's side and it's 5-1 on the Sox side: Murphy, Dalbec & Seabold for Wendle & Bleier This one is 2-1 Marlins and 3-2 Sox Duran, Brasier, Dalbec & Seabold for Wendle & Bleier This one is 6-0 Sox and 5-0 O's Murphy & Seabold for Jorge Mateo

LF would be sad- CF is frightening.

So, that automatically makes him "an extreme injury risk?" True, he has also had hip surgery, but I still don't view him as an extreme injury risk- just a plain old risk.

fangraphs has us 12th in CB, but we could pass 2-4 teams with a couple signings or trades for higher salaries: 365 NYM 292 NYY 267 SDP 253 PHI 242 TOR 240 ATL 237 LAD 221 LAA 220 TEX 214 CHC 213 SFG 211 BOS 209 HOU 205 CWS

He'll have to greatly improve his offense to be good enough to DH. I'm not sure the PR role is enough to carry him on anyone's 26 man roster. Was he that bad at 2B? What about moving him back? He's been in the OF long enough to start showing something. I can see why he was held back so long.

He keeps putting up decent numbers in the minors, and now speed is more important. He has just 335 PAs in MLB, spread out over 2 seasons and 3 call-ups. His OPS in 2022 was .645, but in today's game, that's almost like the old .700. It's his defense that just plain looks hideous, to me.

The talk is which is more deserving of parting ways with the team.

It looks that way. That being said, we have a lot of ML ready and recent grads on our roster and in our system, right now. I'm not sure how many GM want these guys, and it looks like keeping our best prospects has been a high priority from before DD's tenure ended. I see 15, maybe more... 6 Recent Grads: Bello Wong Ort Wink Crawford Duran 3 Prospects with ML experience already: Casas Kelly German 6 Prospects expected to reach MLB by season's end: Mata Walter Murphy EValdez Rafaela Ro Hern 2-3 Possibles from... Mayer Abreu Hamilton S Scott Kavadas

We are currently about $37M below 2022's CB number. That's basically: 20 Bogey 17 Nate