moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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OPS+ adjusts to the new norm, so it would reflect the drop off in offense by the whole league from 2021 to 2022. The same OPS would be a higher OPS+ in 2022.
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I was for a massive fire sale. I know Red was not, so I did not mention it. I'm not sure if Bloom was on board with a fire sale or not.
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Sox Prospects, recent grads and players under 28 and with 3+ years of team control by position: Pitchers 19 Perales, Rodriguez-Cruz, Paez 20 Wikelman 22 L Guerrero 23 Bello, Mata, Uberstine 24 German, Winckowski, Murphy 26 Whitlock, Houck, Walter, Crawford 27 Kelly C 18 Brannon 23 Hickey 25 RHern 26 Wong 27 McGuire 1B 20 Jordan 22 Casas 24 Kavadas 27 Dalbec 2B 18 Coffey 20 Yorke, Paulino (OF), Bonaci 24 EValdez 25 Hamilton 27 Arroyo SS 16 L Arredondo 17 Y Cespedes, F Arias, Y Ruiz 19 Mayer 19 Romero 3B 21 Lugo 24 Koss 26 Devers OF 18 Bleis, Anthony 22 Rafaela 23 WAbreu 25 Duran 26 Verdugo
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Love it. Perfect analogy.
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I wish we had extended Bogey, earlier, but not knowing what it would have taken makes it hard for me to say it was a mistake. I agree, the $30M addition to the existing deal was a slap in the face, but we don't know $160M/6 would have gotten a deal done a year or two ago. We don't know if $170 or $180M would have gotten him to sign. ZIt seems like he would have, but it's all speculation. I wish we kept Bogey, too, but at what cost? I am pretty certain he'd have earned $160M/6 and even $180M/6, but even that is speculation. On Vaz, I thought you disliked trading him away, last summer.
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I adressed that comment to a non-believer.
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Like the Vaz signing, this winter. You don't like it, but you'll blame Bloom for letting Vaz go. Like the Bogey deal, but you blame Bloom for not signing him for less, earlier. Nee more?
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But, you fault the GM for not making deals you don't like.
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...and Vaz was a back-up on the Astros, too, so both of you can be right.
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Improving on Plawecki should not be hard to do.
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Is this a fair assessment to you? The bad decisions between 2021 and 2022: Renfroe for JBJ Paxton signing Diekman signing Spent money on Story not the pen and 1B bench Failed to trade for 1B or RF between May and July. The so-so/decent to good moves: Strahm signing Hill signing Wacha signing Refsnyder signing Schreiber signing (from '21 move) Diekman for McGuire trade It's not about the number of good vs bad, right? I agree the JBJ trade outweighs 2-3 good moves, but do you view the overall moves made by Bloom after 2021 as a net minus?
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I still think he was a net plus with us. A clear net plus. His defense was helped by his pitch-framing skills, blocking bad pitches and having a decent throwing arm. My only issue with him was how pitchers seemed to do worse with him than Leon and Plawecki. I'm not sure Vaz will be as good over the term of his next contract. I have a little more faith in the younger McGuire and Wong than Vaz and Plawecki, going forward, but I know it's just a guess. It's two different issue trying to determine if McGuire and Wong will be better than the 2022 catching tandem and which tandem would be better for 2023 and going forward.
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Nope. last place means we sucked.
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Here is another look that should factor in mushballs: OPS+ Listed in order of leading in PAs in 2021 Red+ Improved '21 Player '22 134 Devers 141 128 JD M 117 107 Dugo 102 129 Bogey 131 108 Kike 75 114 Renfroe> 60 JBJ 77 Vaz 109 107 Dalbec 80 53 Marwin> 102 Story 103 Arroyo 103 98 Plawecki 61 155 Schwarber > 86 Pham
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Again, you misrepresent my view. I was happy with Vaz. I never wanted him demoted to back-up or replaced via trade, until I wanted a fire sale of all expiring contracts, last summer. Just like Bogey, I liked both and wanted them on the Sox. I had an issue with their defense, and with Vaz's handling of the staff. I never said Vaz was not "good enough" or even implied it. I'm not sure McGuire will be an upgrade. I'm hopeful his defense and pitcher handling will outweigh the expected loss on offense, but Vaz was inconsistent from year to year on offense, so it's hard to know what the offensive bar is for McGuire.
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The two situations were a little different, but yes, not just Japanese players are ranked as prospects. Mocada was 18 when he left the Cuban league. Abreu played until age 25.
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I didn't say anything was wrong with it, especially if you think Bloom is always wrong. You say what you believe. There is nothing wrong with that.
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The regressions for just about every vet doomed the 2022 team and injuries forced us into 3rd and 4th depth chart replacements. OPS 2021>2022 Our top 4 PAs players both seasons: .890>.879 Devers .867>.790 JD .863>.833 Bogey .777>.732 Dugo Others: .792>.652 Dalbec .786>.629 Kike .769>.739 Arroyo .737>.574 Plawecki Only pluses: .659>.759 Vaz .578>.645 Duran .567 Mawrin> .672 Pham Ouch: .816 Renfroe>.578 JBJ .957 Schwarber> .737 Story
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Yes, that's always your point.
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Who is high on Wong? I think the bar being set at Plawecki makes a possible improvement not so far-fetched, but it's not about any great expectations for Wong.
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Dugo started declining in 2021, but yes the expectation was better going into '22 than going into '21 and now '23. Kike, too. Bogey had 23 Hrs and 79 RBI in 2021. That's not all that great, but yes, expectations were higher than _____, this coming year. JD had a nice 2021 season (.867 w 28 Hrs and 99 RBI), but did we really expect better in '22 than '21? Vaz was coming off a .659 OPS season. I expect better than that from McGuire and Wong. I know you had very low expectations for Dalbec and JBJ, so you should have much higher expectations for Casas and Yoshida. Arroyo led all players in PAs at 2B with 181. Story promised to greatly improve on that, for sure. Replacing Marwin's 271 PAs (9th on the '21 team" looked like a plus going into '22, but we were also without Schwarber .957, Iggy .915 and we knew Plawecki was not going to hiy .737 again.
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Agreed, I think the catcher jobs are McGuire's and Wong's to lose, which of course, could happen. I like the added depth signing of Alfaro and along with the Duvall signing makes me think improving OBP is not really the number one or over-riding priority for the 2023 offense look. Turner's .381 OBP since 2017 should be a big help. Yoshida rates to have a super high OBP, but who knows? Tapia's OBP since 2020 is .322- not bad for a 4th OF'er and better than our putrid OF OBP of .301, last year. Hopefully, more PAs from these guys will bring up our team OBP from last year's .322 number: .358 Casas .322 Arroyo .377 McGuire (w the Sox) .313 Wongs (Plawecki's was .287) Maybe steps up from ... .358 Devers (his career high was .361 in 2019, so maybe asking for an uptick here is asking for too much.) .328 Dugo (.355 '20-'21 and .341 career) .291 Kike (.322 '18-'21 and .314 career)
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I listed Hamilton, because he is on the 40 and, right now, our middle IF depth is close to zero. We all know the over under on Arroyo's first IL stint in April 9th. As for pitchers vs everyday players: last year 26 players got 1 PA or more- actually 12 or more. 28 non-everyday players pitched .1 IP (actually 3.1 or more). That's pretty close to even. We currently have 23 pitchers on the 40 man roster. 17 are everyday players with 13 of them starting on the ML roster. That leaves 4 in AAA/AA- most likely Rafaela, Hamilton, Duran, Abreu and Tapia or Alfaro added once Story head to the 60 day IL. As of now, our 4 man ML bench looks like: Wong C, Dalbec 1B/3B, EValdez 2B/1B & Refsnyder OF. Once we add a middle IF'er, Hamilton's chances will diminish, greatly, but I'd still put him above Feltman. I might even put Santos, Shugart, Drohan or Ryan Fernandez above Feltman
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I'd say Hamilton and Rafaela have a better chance than Feltman.
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OK. You said to "start the season," so I thought you meant April. We are way better than the line-up pre-Story. We had JBJ, Dalbec and Arroyo as FT'ers this time, last year.
